NATL: MELISSA - Aftermath - Discussion: Josh Morgerman video of Melissa is up

[cycloneye]

This is me on X.

 https://x.com/CycloforumsPR/status/1983132979489599509

[jlauderdal]

Definite ENE motion now.

Kingston looks like it's in for a rough ride.

These big systems like to lean right, don't think Kingston gets the eyewall but ricks cafe feeling better.

[ronjon]

Lightning intensifying around eyewall as it approaches coast. This tells me Melissa may still be deepening.

[Hurricane2022]

 https://x.com/zeb199818/status/1983066064541077587


 https://x.com/zeb199818/status/1983146187902595352

[grapealcoholic]

[prediction]
892 first pass

[sbcc]

I have never seen radial and toroidal gravity waves simultaneously.
Perfect symmetry.
Absolutely deadly.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined

I saved that 24 frame loop. Breathtaking. Thanks for posting it.

[Chemmers]

[prediction]
892 first pass

Think i will go for 889

[chris_fit]

Not having much luck trying to find a live stream of Webcam and/or Chasers near the Western/Central part of Jamaica - anyone got anything?

[ATDoel]

[prediction]
892 first pass

Think i will go for 889

I'm going to say the final advisory before the Jamaican landfall is 895 @ 185 mph. The forward velocity is going to add to the max wind speed, wind speeds haven't been measured since the storm started moving at a decent speed.

[StormPyrate]

Not having much luck trying to find a live stream of Webcam and/or Chasers near the Western/Central part of Jamaica - anyone got anything?

Bryce Shelton, but I cannot find his stream on tube, he is in mandeval

[Sunnydays]

Not having much luck trying to find a live stream of Webcam and/or Chasers near the Western/Central part of Jamaica - anyone got anything?

Not sure if they are showing any videos...but they are live and speaking to officials and reporting from citizens calling in to the station.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_nEVRorNT7s

[michelinj]

I think she'd have gained a few mb this morning during eyewall merger, maybe up to 905ish. My guess will be 896 from the plane, good for 899/900 from the dropsonde.

[Hurricane2022]

I'm betting 162 kt FL 893.7 extrap

[PavelGaborik10]

I'll go with a pressure of 907

[kevin]

The next update in about 8 minutes should have eye or at least eyewall data.

[StormWeather]

I’m going to go 155 kts/898 mb

[cycloneye]

Ok folks, the next set will be in the eye.

[Sunnydays]

Im gonna say 899 mb 150kt surface

[Beef Stew]

Recon is closing in now. Should have center pass data within 10 minutes.

I'm guessing 155 FL and 906 mb extrap with a drop supporting 908 mb.

[chris_fit]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ov6mC9CdGVE

Live Chaser - "Covering Hurricane Melissa from Jamaica with Veteran Storm Chaser Bryce Shelton." They are in the crosshairs.