NATL: MELISSA - Aftermath - Discussion: Josh Morgerman video of Melissa is up

[Kazmit]

It looks like it's trying to take the path of least resistance over Jamaica, and hence the northern motion to maximize time over water.

[PavelGaborik10]

Any chasers out there live streaming?

[TeamPlayersBlue]

It looks like it's trying to take the path of least resistance over Jamaica, and hence the northern motion to maximize time over water.

Yeah, i think the jog to the north is due to interaction with the mountains.

[Beef Stew]

She's coming ashore now. If this due north wobble continues, Montego Bay could be in the direct path of the eyewall.

[Beef Stew]

Any chasers out there live streaming?

Jeff is live here.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XpE7rs9Nkg8

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Where can I find the stream from Treasure Beach? Thank you.

https://www.youtube.com/live/z2HfoQ_HMfY

[CrazyC83]

From the AF Hurricane Hunters Facebook page:

A 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron crew (call sign TEAL 75), known as the Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters, is returning to it's forward operating location in Curaçao after encountering heavy turbulence today while entering the eye of Hurricane Melissa, a Category 5 storm.
During the event, the aircraft briefly experienced forces stronger than normal due to turbulence. While this does not automatically indicate damage, standard safety procedures require an inspection before returning to operations.
The 53rd WRS is an Air Force Reserve unit assigned to the 403rd Wing, Keesler Air Force Base, Miss.

[Hurricane2022]

 https://x.com/WeathermanAAA_/status/1983191114824696091

[FireRat]

Holy cow!!! I cannot believe what I'm waking up to, SUB 900 landfall!!? No way, this is the Atlantic's Haiyan - are we seriously tying 1935, or even beating the 892 mb landfall!?

Melissa might just be the mother of all landfalling Atlantic hurricanes, prayers for Jamaica!!

I’m kinda disappointed Melissa got stronger than Labor Day as Labor Day is one of my main hurricane characters.

Especially given it’s kind of in poor taste to have a recent hurricane with survivors in living memory as a protagonist.

(Humor=tragedy+time and all that)

It really is crazy, we'll see if 1935 really gets beaten, but so far looks like a tie!... there is that one-off account in Willie Drye's book Storm of the Century, however, that a survivor looked at his barometer maxed out, reading 26.00 hg, and throwing it away in fear.

Perhaps 1935 had it even lower than the official 892 mb. It's practically a legend.

[timmeister]

What a monster!
https://imgur.com/a/YHfHM7z

[Sanibel]

The eyewall may have made landfall at the end of a category 5 intensification surge...

[Zonacane]

Comment from the VDM:

EXPERIENCED SEVERE TURBULENCE INBOUND FROM SE AND EYEWALL HAD SAWTOOTH APPEARANCE ON ALL SIDES BUT NW

Can’t even imagine how strong those mesos are

[Michele B]

It looks like it's trying to take the path of least resistance over Jamaica, and hence the northern motion to maximize time over water.

I cannot remember the exact phrase about the phenomenon, but John Hope used to talk about what the imminent land interaction with the storm does to its trajectory.

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/BNODesk/status/1983185052675813831

[Beef Stew]

In terms of pressure at landfall (in the Atlantic), we're watching a once-in-a-century event right now.

[kevin]

Wow, it's coming ashore exactly where Josh Morgerman is positioned. We might get historic data from his measurements.

[Michele B]

She's coming ashore now. If this due north wobble continues, Montego Bay could be in the direct path of the eyewall.

In my NON-professional opinion, I don't believe the northerly jog will continue. I think once the eye comes ashore, she'll correct and move more east/northeast again.

[cycloneye]

From the Air Force.

[Hurricane2022]

Josh M may be right in the E Eyewall right now. I'd estimate winds of 165 kts and 890 mbar now as the peak. Perhaps a case for 170 kts could also be made, but I don't feel very comfortable with that estimate. Anyway, this will be a storm to be remembered for centuries.

[mrbagyo]

Wind on the Treasure Beach doesnt look as bad as I expect, it narrowly missed the dreaded Eastern inner eyewall due to the northward jog.
Josh's location in Crawford will get the full brunt