NATL: MELISSA - Aftermath - Discussion: Josh Morgerman video of Melissa is up

[LarryWx]

For much of the time hurricane force winds extended outward only 30 miles. Now it is up to 60 while TS force extend about the same as they’ve been.

From NHC 11PM advisory:

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles
(295 km).

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/PettusWX/status/1983733755249619239

[cycloneye]

 https://x.com/FerragamoWx/status/1983761227693060465

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1983741901879833084

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/tornadartz/status/1983440412686856282

[GCANE]

Looks like she will be cut off from High TPW Air due to the mountains of Hispaniola.
Intensification may be minimal from here on out.

https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/ ... anim=html5

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/foxweather/status/1983624883587444759

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/AndyHazelton/status/1983682413764214854

[Nimbus]

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1983746411142509004

Josh always delivers the goods. Or maybe the bads. That's kind of insane for not being the peak of the storm.

The place he was staying is reinforced concrete with heavy doors.
That palm tree looks like ~100 mph winds just before landfall, hasn't lost all its fronds so he bolted the door at cat2.

https://www.bedroomvillas.com/property/ ... C-13175609

[GCANE]

Marginal Cat 3

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 114kts (~ 131.2mph) which was observed 38 nautical miles (44 statute miles) to the SE (131°) from the flight level center at 10:32:00Z

[Kazmit]

Marginal Cat 3

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 114kts (~ 131.2mph) which was observed 38 nautical miles (44 statute miles) to the SE (131°) from the flight level center at 10:32:00Z

We’d be in trouble if it hadn’t been consistently west of the forecast the past few days.

[GCANE]

Marginal Cat 3

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 114kts (~ 131.2mph) which was observed 38 nautical miles (44 statute miles) to the SE (131°) from the flight level center at 10:32:00Z

We’d be in trouble if it hadn’t been consistently west of the forecast the past few days.

Shear vector is SW to NE. So, heaviest convection is east of the CoC.
Looks like you will get some heavy weather out of this.
Stay safe.

[kevin]

 https://x.com/iCyclone/status/1983746411142509004

That's some insane footage for not being during 'peak' winds. The more footage I see of Melissa during landfall and the damage afterwards, the more I'm convinced that it tied or surpassed Allen as the strongest landfall in the Atlantic in terms of wind speed. An upgrade to 165 - 170 kt in post-season analysis is definitely on the table imo.

[storm_in_a_teacup]

 https://x.com/weatherdak/status/1983629157381894297

AAAAAGH!
I find these so unsettling to watch…they look…wrong to me. Almost alive and writhing in there.
This is also how I felt seeing the eyewall mesovortices of Harvey…which is why when I drew him making landfall I significantly toned them down

[AnnularCane]

 https://x.com/weatherdak/status/1983629157381894297

AAAAAGH!
I find these so unsettling to watch…they look…wrong to me. Almost alive and writhing in there.
This is also how I felt seeing the eyewall mesovortices of Harvey…which is why when I drew him making landfall I significantly toned them down

I think it looks like the inside of a washing machine.

[GCANE]

 https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1983866725104832550

[Teban54]

Trying to close off a full eyewall again:

[Kazmit]

Definitely a MH again- don't know why the NHC didn't upgrade it at 8am.

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Well-defined eye, definitely a category 3 now which is restrengthening as most of the models predicted. Will pass to the northwest of Bermuda, but strongest winds are in the southeastern quadrant. Most models still keep the strongest winds offshore but not as far offshore as the center. There is a small chance we could see Cat 3 winds on the island.

[sasha_B]

2025OCT30 134020 6.2 932.2 119.8 5.4 5.8 7.0 0.5T/hour ON FLG OFF OFF 3.25 -74.04 EYE 11 IR 40.7 27.26 71.90 ARCHER GOES19 32.0

Melissa truly refuses to give up. The eye was already beginning to clear out between 06z and 09z this morning; if she wasn't a Category 3 then, it seems very probable that she is now.