Texas Fall 2025

[snownado]

Got a beautiful-looking week on tap.

[snownado]

BTW, 2025 will end up being the 4th warmest October record for DFW (2024 was the warmest). The last week or so really knocked down the average.

[Brent]

Officially the first freeze of the season here. Pretty close to average after yeah a hot October

Also suddenly the GFS has a huge front next weekend(we go from 70s to 40s for highs with some snow around Kansas City) although the brunt of the cold air is still east of us

[Ntxw]

Climo will win! Warmth (for November) mid to late week before another cold shot to knock it back down next weekend.

Evidence still favors the possible pattern that may deliver a winter-ish pattern late month into December as the EPO and Pacific domain shifts. Plenty of time to watch what kind of air mass builds up there in the coming weeks.

[wxman22]

Climo will win! Warmth (for November) mid to late week before another cold shot to knock it back down next weekend.

Evidence still favors the possible pattern that may deliver a winter-ish pattern late month into December as the EPO and Pacific domain shifts. Plenty of time to watch what kind of air mass builds up there in the coming weeks.

If the 1030+mb surface high moves down the plains into the state like the models are showing. I can see a lot of areas having their first freeze if such a scenario occurs. Especially if things slow down a bit and become less progressive.

While the official recording station for the city didn't hit freezing the other day ( got down to 35F). The western areas of Wichita county did get to freezing though. So i don't think they will issue another freeze warning here.As they are usually only issued for the first freeze of the season (excluding hard freeze warnings).

[Stratton23]

To follow up to NTXW’s post, it seems or id argue that we may try to flip to a cooler/ cold pattern maybe just before thanksgiving, looking at ensemble trends the past 2 days and while we got a ways to go, the ensembles clearly are trending towards a - EPO pattern with a trough setting up over the western- central US around the 17th

[Ntxw]

Air mass next weekend looks like a lobe that originates from the Arctic, moderated of course glancing shot. Areas outside the big population centers that haven't seen a freeze will probably come close.