WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

Detailed discussion and tracking of all WestPac basin storms with special input from staff of our partner site, WesternPacificWeather

Moderators: S2k Moderators, WesternPacificWeatherMods

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
dexterlabio
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3498
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#181 Postby dexterlabio » Sat Nov 08, 2025 9:15 am

If Fung-wong maintains current trajectory and intensity (about the same as Vamco in 2020) then I expect the same wind and rainfall impact as what was experienced in Metro Manila during that storm. Although I expect Fung-wong will be a much stronger typhoon.
1 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4796
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#182 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 08, 2025 9:20 am

mrbagyo wrote:Latest SAR pass (no wind info plot though)
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b3GAj.png

It seems to be about 53 m/s = 103 knots based on the info txt
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148441
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#183 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 08, 2025 9:22 am

Track moved more south at 15z. Moving west at 275.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3953
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#184 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Nov 08, 2025 9:29 am

Hayabusa wrote:
mrbagyo wrote:Latest SAR pass (no wind info plot though)
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b3GAj.png

It seems to be about 53 m/s = 103 knots based on the info txt


idk if it's mps, SAR max wind speed on the info txt from the previous pass was even higher at 100
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4796
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#185 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 08, 2025 9:39 am

Latest ADT raw but could be overestimating, not considering a large eye...
2025NOV08 140000 6.4 930.9 124.6 6.4 7.2 7.5 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -5.92 -83.03 EYE 24 IR 21.1 13.50 -127.57 FCST HIM-8 21.9
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4796
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#186 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 08, 2025 10:11 am

mrbagyo wrote:
Hayabusa wrote:
mrbagyo wrote:Latest SAR pass (no wind info plot though)
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/b3GAj.png

It seems to be about 53 m/s = 103 knots based on the info txt


idk if it's mps, SAR max wind speed on the info txt from the previous pass was even higher at 100


I just opened the .nc file itself it says the units is in m/s and indeed the max wind is 53.218 m/s or 103 knots
1 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
xtyphooncyclonex
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3889
Age: 24
Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
Location: Cebu City
Contact:

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#187 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sat Nov 08, 2025 10:26 am

Increasingly worried about the impacts and disruptions here at the Metro. Looks like it could pack a punch.
0 likes   
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3953
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#188 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Nov 08, 2025 10:32 am

There still seems to be some mid-level dry air present ahead of the storm, as indicated by the latest Legaspi sounding. This could explain why convection in the northwestern quadrant hasn’t developed as strongly as it has in the southern quadrants.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4796
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#189 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 08, 2025 10:47 am

CI and Raw increasing
2025NOV08 123000 6.1 937.7 117.4 6.1 6.5 7.0 2.7T/12hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -28.73 -82.29 EYE -99 IR 21.1 13.22 -128.44 ARCHER HIM-8 21.0
2025NOV08 130000 6.2 935.5 119.8 6.2 6.5 7.0 2.7T/12hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -37.63 -83.85 EYE -99 IR 21.1 13.26 -128.30 ARCHER HIM-8 21.2
2025NOV08 133000 6.2 935.5 119.8 6.2 6.5 6.8 2.7T/12hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -36.07 -81.26 EYE -99 IR 21.1 13.09 -127.44 ARCHER HIM-8 21.7
2025NOV08 140000 6.4 930.9 124.6 6.4 7.2 7.5 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -5.92 -83.03 EYE 24 IR 21.1 13.50 -127.57 FCST HIM-8 21.9
2025NOV08 142000 6.4 930.8 124.6 6.4 7.2 7.5 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF -8.35 -83.38 EYE 21 IR 21.1 13.55 -127.69 ARCHER HIM-8 21.9
2025NOV08 150000 6.8 920.7 134.8 6.8 7.3 7.6 1.7T/6hr OFF OFF OFF OFF 0.97 -83.63 EYE 24 IR 21.1 13.60 -127.30 FCST HIM-8 22.2
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4796
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#190 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 08, 2025 10:52 am

Moved pretty fast for the past 3 hours on 15z JMA update
T2526(Fung-wong)
Issued at 2025/11/08 15:45 UTC
Analysis at 11/08 15 UTC
Grade TY
Scale Large
Intensity -
Center position N13°30′ (13.5°)
E127°30′ (127.5°)
Direction and speed of movement W 40 km/h (22 kt)
Central pressure 955 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 40 m/s (80 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (115 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area 220 km (120 NM)
Radius of 30-kt wind area NE850 km (450 NM)
SW500 km (270 NM)
1 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148441
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#191 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 08, 2025 11:56 am

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3757
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#192 Postby Teban54 » Sat Nov 08, 2025 12:02 pm

Impressive cloud tops (as always), but some shear is still affecting it.

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148441
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#193 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 08, 2025 12:48 pm

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4796
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#194 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 08, 2025 1:49 pm

JMA upped the intensity
T2526(Fung-wong)
Issued at 2025/11/08 18:45 UTC
Analysis at 11/08 18 UTC
Grade TY
Scale Large
Intensity Very Strong
Center position N13°50′ (13.8°)
E126°25′ (126.4°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35 km/h (20 kt)
Central pressure 950 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 45 m/s (85 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (120 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area SE260 km (140 NM)
NW220 km (120 NM)
Radius of 30-kt wind area N650 km (350 NM)
S500 km (270 NM)
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4796
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#195 Postby Hayabusa » Sat Nov 08, 2025 2:12 pm

18z/2am local update, signal #3 raised over the capital region, last time it was STS Nalgae of 2022
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148441
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#196 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 08, 2025 2:17 pm

32W FUNG-WONG 251108 1800 13.7N 126.6E WPAC 110 949
3 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148441
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#197 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 08, 2025 4:19 pm

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148441
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#198 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 08, 2025 5:32 pm

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3953
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#199 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Nov 08, 2025 6:26 pm

this one has more info.
RMW contracted to a still wide 33 nmi from a very wide 54 nmi

Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
Image
2 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3953
Age: 33
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: FUNG-WONG - Typhoon - Discussion

#200 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Nov 08, 2025 6:46 pm

There's mesovortex that can be clearly seen on IR and visible sat imagery.

Image
Image

convection on the northwestern quadrant really failed to take off due to mid level dry air intrusion
7 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.


Return to “Active Storms - WestPAC/Asia”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 20 guests