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chaser1
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Re: Florida Weather

#17941 Postby chaser1 » Mon Nov 10, 2025 2:59 am

Abdullah wrote:MIAMI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT KMIA NOVEMBER OVERVIEW

The total number of days that the daily minimum temperature has been at 59 degrees Fahrenheit or lower in the month of November:

16 total days over the past ten winters (2015 to 2024)
89 total days over the past thirty winters (1995 to 2024)
492 total days over the past ninety-nine winters, since the unbroken record began (1926 to 2024)

The average number of days that the daily minimum temperature has been at 59 degrees Fahrenheit or lower:

2 days per year over the past ten winters (2015 to 2024)
3 days per year over the past thirty winters (1995 to 2024)
5 days per year over the past ninety-nine winters, since the unbroken record began (1926 to 2024)

The percentage of days that the daily minimum temperature has been at 59 degrees Fahrenheit or lower:

5% of days over the past ten winters (2015 to 2024)
10% of days over the past thirty winters (1995 to 2024)
17% of days over the past ninety-nine winters, since the unbroken record began (1926 to 2024)

The total number of days that the daily minimum temperature has been at 49 degrees Fahrenheit or lower:

0 total days over the past ten winters (2015 to 2024)
1 total days over the past thirty winters (1995 to 2024)
66 total days over the past ninety-nine winters, since the unbroken record began (1926 to 2024)

The average number of days that the daily minimum temperature has been at 49 degrees Fahrenheit or lower:

0 days per year over the past ten winters (2015 to 2024)
0 days per year over the past thirty winters (1995 to 2024)
1 days per year over the past ninety-nine winters, since the unbroken record began (1926 to 2024)

The percentage of days that the daily minimum temperature has been at 49 degrees Fahrenheit or lower:

0% of days over the past ten winters (2015 to 2024)
0% of days over the past thirty winters (1995 to 2024)
2% of days over the past ninety-nine winters, since the unbroken record began (1926 to 2024)




All in all, if what is projected occurs, it will be an extraordinary event as the thermometer goes below 50 degrees Fahrenheit on the morning of Tuesday, November 11. The last time this occurred on a November day was in November 22, 2006, when the temperature reached 45 degrees Fahrenheit.

That was the only occurrence of this phenomenon in the previous 40 years. Before that, it happened in 1984. However, it once was quite commonplace, and looking at the overall climatological record in the last century, one could expect it to have been an annual event.


Wow?? Thats a lots of historical data. Is all of it exclusively comparing November low temperatures? Thanks for digging up those few dates in Miami where temps did dip into the 40's. I had forgotten that did occur. The fact that Miami had far more frequent occurances of November low temps in the 40's prior to 1984 does fit with my fuzzy recollection when living down there since 1970. That implies any or all of three possibilities.
1) NHC may have needed to move the exact location of the MIA reporting station at some point during the '80's, which might have impacted minimum temperature readings.
2) Heat Sink affect. Population and construction expansion over several decades have contributed to higher temps.
3) Global Warming
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Re: Florida Weather

#17942 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 10, 2025 7:34 am

Prepare for the cold temperatures. :cold:

 https://x.com/AndyHazelton/status/1987859663656755352

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Re: Florida Weather

#17943 Postby cycloneye » Mon Nov 10, 2025 7:44 am

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Re: Florida Weather

#17944 Postby chaser1 » Mon Nov 10, 2025 9:42 pm

I'm looking all around the State atm but not quite seeing the precipitous fall in temperatures as I thought I'd see by 9:30pm tonight. Here in Central Fla., the Orlando/Sanford airport reading was 51F at 9:00pm, but only dropped 1°F in the past hour. One interesting note though. While looking at the WV Satellite loop, it's clearly obvious that the entire state still has SW'erly winds in the upper level blowing across the entire state all the way up to JAX. Maybe the upper level will become more WNW or NW by morning? On the flip side, what little cirrus clouds is rapidly evaporating so heat loss should be pretty efficient
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Re: Florida Weather

#17945 Postby Abdullah » Mon Nov 10, 2025 11:02 pm

The forecast for KMIA Miami International Airport for tonight's low is 48 degrees Fahrenheit.

We'll compare in the morning.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17946 Postby chaser1 » Tue Nov 11, 2025 9:11 am

Abdullah wrote:The forecast for KMIA Miami International Airport for tonight's low is 48 degrees Fahrenheit.

We'll compare in the morning.


Looks like it misses it by one-degree. Lowest that I saw was 48.9F.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17947 Postby HurricaneBelle » Tue Nov 11, 2025 9:50 am

36 at Clearwater Airpark and 37 at my house this AM, a few degrees colder than forecasted.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17948 Postby LarryWx » Tue Nov 11, 2025 11:23 am

Jacksonville’s official station (KJAX airport) obliterated the daily record low for Jacksonville with 28! The old record was 35. This is the 2nd coldest so early in the season. Records go way back to the 1870s. Only ~10% of ENTIRE Novembers have had a colder temp!!

Nearer to downtown, lows were largely 30-32. So, way back when, that would have been the official low (still quite cold).

My city’s official low (KSAV) as of 7AM EST was way down to 28 F, which beats the 31 record low for the day (records back to 1874). Not only that but also:

-last time it was this cold or colder this early in season was 1976

-colder than 78% of coldest for ENTIRE November

-last time it was colder in entire November was 2014

It looks like Hunter AAF base, ~6-8 miles closer to the ocean, went down to 29. So, way back when, the official low would probably have been closer to 29. Still very cold!
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Re: Florida Weather

#17949 Postby TomballEd » Tue Nov 11, 2025 11:41 am

I had a paper route in 1976. That was a cold winter.
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Re: Florida Weather

#17950 Postby Abdullah » Tue Nov 11, 2025 9:34 pm

This morning the temperature reached 48 degrees officially, tied for the record low on a November 11 morning.

 https://x.com/NWSMiami/status/1988359765970293157


https://x.com/NWSMiami/status/1988359765970293157
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Re: Florida Weather

#17951 Postby chaser1 » Tue Nov 11, 2025 10:01 pm

Abdullah wrote:This morning the temperature reached 48 degrees officially, tied for the record low on a November 11 morning.

 https://x.com/NWSMiami/status/1988359765970293157


https://x.com/NWSMiami/status/1988359765970293157


Whelp, I guess I learned something today. The NWS posts the hourly weather obs for the past 3 days. The lowest reading that MIA shows for last night's chill was 48.9° F. I did not know that the NWS considers 48.9 = 48. I thought that 48.9 = 49. In fact, The Miami NWS also displays the 6 hr. high & low temps, where 48.9 was again displayed :double:
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Re: Florida Weather

#17952 Postby Abdullah » Tue Nov 11, 2025 10:47 pm

chaser1 wrote:
Abdullah wrote:This morning the temperature reached 48 degrees officially, tied for the record low on a November 11 morning.

 https://x.com/NWSMiami/status/1988359765970293157


https://x.com/NWSMiami/status/1988359765970293157


Whelp, I guess I learned something today. The NWS posts the hourly weather obs for the past 3 days. The lowest reading that MIA shows for last night's chill was 48.9° F. I did not know that the NWS considers 48.9 = 48. I thought that 48.9 = 49. In fact, The Miami NWS also displays the 6 hr. high & low temps, where 48.9 was again displayed :double:


This is because those observations are only the hourly ones. Many weather stations (maybe all, but I'm not sure) report automatic observations every 5 minutes.

The 48 degree marking came from the 5-minute observations that are visible on this website. It stated that the temperature fell there from 6:55 AM to 7:15 AM.

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
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