Texas Fall 2025

[TomballEd]

HRRR shows semi-discrete ahead of the front in the near N and W suburbs of Houston by mid-afternoon. HREF favor a smidge further N.

[cstrunk]

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2222.html

MD out for SE Texas where there are some areas of clearing. Best threat looks to stay along/south of a Fairfield, TX to Shreveport, LA line. Northward extent of the threat is limited by how far north the warm front can make it.

[rwfromkansas]

Got another 1.6 inches. Looks like me up through McKinney was the “dry” spot this time.

[Ntxw]

~1.07" for DFW airport which brings the total around 5.06" for the month to date. We'll probably finish the year with December's numbers close to 40" close to last year. Feast or famine but this current -PDO has not been as punishing as the one from 2007-2014 where the lakes suffered greatly.

[TomballEd]

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2222.html

MD out for SE Texas where there are some areas of clearing. Best threat looks to stay along/south of a Fairfield, TX to Shreveport, LA line. Northward extent of the threat is limited by how far north the warm front can make it.

That is a watch now. Brief warned storm.

[TomballEd]

I have been hearing thunder for an hour. Main part of cell looks an hour away.

[TomballEd]

The interesting part looks like it would pass no more than about 8 miles N of me on its current path. Will watch for any deviant R hand movement which could bring it closer.

[cheezyWXguy]

Observed tornado warning on that cell headed towards Spring, with cc drop. Rotational signature seems to be weakening some but it’s definitely one to pay attention to

[snownado]

Observed tornado warning on that cell headed towards Spring, with cc drop. Rotational signature seems to be weakening some but it’s definitely one to pay attention to

Aside from The Woodlands area and Conroe, fortunately, it should just miss most of Greater Houston

[snownado]

Got another 1.6 inches. Looks like me up through McKinney was the “dry” spot this time.

Pretty much.

The quick hitting squall line at the onset was the brunt of the event in this part of town, aside form several hours of lighr/moderate stratiform rains.

Equillibriums are funny though, because it was the southern suburbs and Denton that got screwed last time (they got the heavier amounts this time).

[TomballEd]

Never did see a tornado. Trees in the way but it lifted just before or soon after. I know the neighborhoods with damage reports. Hoping 'structure collapse' refers to a shed.

 https://x.com/OfficialYallbot/status/1993044700417126547

[cstrunk]

9 times out of 10 you can bet on an east Texas warm front lifting north much slower than expected. Especially if you see a bunch of rain in east Texas during the morning.

Models a day or two ago had this about 120+ miles north. It's still early but besides that Houston cell that produced at least one tornado, everything looks like junk (most of it is north of the warm front still).

[Brent]

Guys some of these forecasts up here next week are crazy

First off it rains again Saturday into Sunday(the moisture has really woken up lately which is also making me wonder).. and then Arctic air floods in at some point Sunday and there's multiple days below freezing with a winter storm threat into next week I'm concerned it's gonna be way more ice than snow but well see

Gonna be interesting to see if our first taste of winter is actually legit