2025 NATL hurricane season is over

[cycloneye]

The last TWO of the 2025 season.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the Tropical
Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2026. During the off-season,
Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions
warrant.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

[KirbyDude25]

Assuming no more storms form in December, 2025 is the first season whose last storm to form is a Cat 5.

I'd like to note that 2020 briefly held this distinction before Iota was retroactively downgraded in its TCR

[WeatherBoy2000]

Interestingly, shear in the Caribbean/tropical Atlantic was below normal throughout the peak of the hurricane season, and yet Melissa was the only hurricane to actually develop at a low latitude:

 https://x.com/MichaelRLowry/status/1995220572759007338

[cycloneye]

Bravo for the crews of the missions in 2025.

 https://x.com/53rdWRS/status/1995580836037509473

[ConvergenceZone]

Season is over!!! The U.S was not affected by a hurricane same as Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic and Lesser Antilles. Also, the gulf was inactive.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/track_maps/atl_season_2025_sm.png

yep 2025 will be known as "the year of out to sea storms".

[Category5Kaiju]

Season is over!!! The U.S was not affected by a hurricane same as Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic and Lesser Antilles. Also, the gulf was inactive.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/track_maps/atl_season_2025_sm.png

yep 2025 will be known as "the year of out to sea storms".

Back in August, I was initially doubtful that the CONUS would be spared direct hurricane impacts, but after Erin recurved and then Gabrielle, Humberto, and Imelda (minus the Fujiwhara interaction it had with Humberto), it became pretty clear that the easterly position of the Bermuda High and the stubborn-as-a-mule East Coast trough were going to be the saving grace for the CONUS. As much as I like tracking hurricanes, I hate the destruction and torment they can cause to human lives and property, so this was an unanticipated but very welcome sight to see.

At the same time, this general recurving pattern also arguably and unfortunately put Jamaica right in the bullseye of a northward-traveling Melissa, and as we saw with that storm, it only took one storm to enter the Caribbean, take advantage of a pocket of ultra-favorable conditions, and stain what could've easily been a very low impact year. 2025 will go down in history not for CONUS impacts but for the rare meteorological feat it achieved by generating 3 Category 5 hurricanes, one of which became the most intense landfalling hurricane in 90 years and, depending on the TCR's conclusions, possibly the strongest Atlantic hurricane by 1-min windspeed.

[al78]

Season is over!!! The U.S was not affected by a hurricane same as Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic and Lesser Antilles. Also, the gulf was inactive.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/track_maps/atl_season_2025_sm.png

yep 2025 will be known as "the year of out to sea storms".

Back in August, I was initially doubtful that the CONUS would be spared direct hurricane impacts, but after Erin recurved and then Gabrielle, Humberto, and Imelda (minus the Fujiwhara interaction it had with Humberto), it became pretty clear that the easterly position of the Bermuda High and the stubborn-as-a-mule East Coast trough were going to be the saving grace for the CONUS. As much as I like tracking hurricanes, I hate the destruction and torment they can cause to human lives and property, so this was an unanticipated but very welcome sight to see.

At the same time, this general recurving pattern also arguably and unfortunately put Jamaica right in the bullseye of a northward-traveling Melissa, and as we saw with that storm, it only took one storm to enter the Caribbean, take advantage of a pocket of ultra-favorable conditions, and stain what could've easily been a very low impact year. 2025 will go down in history not for CONUS impacts but for the rare meteorological feat it achieved by generating 3 Category 5 hurricanes, one of which became the most intense landfalling hurricane in 90 years and, depending on the TCR's conclusions, possibly the strongest Atlantic hurricane by 1-min windspeed.

It oculd be argued Jamaica was really unlucky with Melissa. If it had moved a bit further west before turning north, it would have sideswiped the island but the core winds would have stayed offshore. There is a large amount of luck that plays a part when it comes to how impactful a season ends up, which probably means it will never be possible to predict the destruction potential of a season in advance with any meaningful skill, even if you could predict the total activity perfectly.