Texas Winter 2025-2026

[Texas Snowman]

Merry Christmas everyone! Hope you have had a great day with family, friends and good food.

And the air conditioning working!

[txtwister78]

Latest European weeklies looking much colder from the Rockies points east mid Jan beyond to end the month including Texas.
.

[Stratton23]

yup, 00z GFS rolling and looking at the run through hour 288, monster ridge spiking up in alaska, getting hard to ignore that models are starting to get a little bit noisy mid january

[Stratton23]

Man if we get the kind of storm track that the euro 00z is showing for the start of the 2nd week of january, we could be in for a fun month! I absolutely love what im seeing on this run, trough reloads constantly out west with a flattened se ridge to our east, pretty chilly run , im just sayin

[Brent]

GFS definitely looking more interesting and heck there may be a wintry mix around here Sunday Night as the cold air floods in

Right after people started cancelling the entire winter here yesterday(something I would never do up here in December anyway) Imagine that

[Portastorm]

Hope everyone here had a Merry Christmas!

When does winter start?

[Brent]

Hope everyone here had a Merry Christmas!

When does winter start?

Sunday night here

[HockeyTx82]

Hope everyone here had a Merry Christmas!

When does winter start?

I think it was last weekend?

[wxman22]

The ICON is very cold here Sunday night and Monday night.

[Brent]

The ICON is very cold here Sunday night and Monday night.

https://i.ibb.co/tTBxj1Mz/IMG-0557.png

https://i.ibb.co/6JpwTCnj/IMG-0558.png

And to think people were cancelling winter up here yesterday. Like people who have actually done weather professionally here. I don't understand

I'm really figuring out who to ignore finally

[bubba hotep]

Merry Christmas!

Finally, a GFS run that I can believe in

[wxman22]

LOL I haven’t seen a fantasy winter storm show up on the GFS in a while. Hopefully it’s a sign of a pattern change.

[Ntxw]

Hope everyone had a fun Holiday...it's still hot today. We'll likely finish out the month +3F to +5F, after starting the first half of the month about the same below normal. Warmth won in the end, it was an arctic outbreak in reverse.

-NAO and awakening STJ soon will likely give us opportunities for storms, need to time it with some cold air. Think the big shift is still somewhere near mid-month when the Pacific becomes favorable. We are likely not done with 60s and 70s in between cold fronts to start January. Models will tend to rush, we have to contend with an extending Pac jet first as the catalyst for change at some point.

[Stratton23]

Bam weather is a good source to follow and his youtube, he’s basically saying that, we get a + EAMT to force a pacific jet extension, which should lead to a flip in the EPO/ PNA, i just hope we get a storm track like what the euro kinda shows, that would be something else

[Ntxw]

Bam weather is a good source to follow and his youtube, he’s basically saying that, we get a + EAMT to force a pacific jet extension, which should lead to a flip in the EPO/ PNA, i just hope we get a storm track like what the euro kinda shows, that would be something else

What we don't want is the EPS/GEPS lingering lower heights over Alaska and into the Bering Sea. That's a Pacific jet extension that floods Pacific air into North America and you will get another ridge popping up over the west-central conus. I wouldn't favor it right now, but it is a risk.

[TomballEd]

Merry Christmas!

Finally, a GFS run that I can believe in

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2025122612/324/sn10_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Reject, it screws Fort Worth.

[rwfromkansas]

Merry Christmas!

Finally, a GFS run that I can believe in

https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2025122612/324/sn10_acc-imp.us_sc.png

The Tarrant snow hole makes it believable lol

[Stratton23]

oh man i really really love that 500 Mb pattern on the 12z euro, a classic western gulf low train type pattern with blocking across canada and greenland, would love to see that type of setup

[Harp.1]

oh man i really really love that 500 Mb pattern on the 12z euro, a classic western gulf low train type pattern with blocking across canada and greenland, would love to see that type of setup

Is that what the Euro shows?

[Stratton23]

Harp.1 yes, that type of pattern wouldn’t deliver extreme cold to us, but definitely cold, and a southern storm track undercutting blocking to its north, you’d tend to get gulf lows forming off of brownsville and moving east, that is one of the best patterns you can have if you want deep south winter weather across the gulf coast states including texas