Texas Winter 2025-2026

[wxman57]

I will win against any winter temperatures! With the help of a space heater on my desk and a closed office door, I've managed to raise the temperature to 81.5F. Ah, thawing out a little. Only problem is the rest of the house is at 74F - freezing.

Taking a look at the predicted 500mb flow in the 12Z EC, I see no evidence of any pattern change that will bring any significant cold down to Texas over the next two weeks. Take a look at the EC 500mb flow at 288 hrs vs. the GFS. GFS has a deep upper low moving across northern Mexico - thus the ice in Texas. Euro has a weak upper low moving across northern Colorado and east to Nebraska. GFS has a record of being consistently wrong with the 500mb flow beyond 4-5 days. Believe it at your own risk.

[rwfromkansas]

Do like that the EPS has been shifting from mostly east coast to a more central trough. Once the Pacific changes the ensembles are lining up, at the moment, for better cold trajectory. Count me in for Ridging off the west coast and east coast!

That’s good news.

[txtwister78]

Keep in mind folks with that much blocking over the top models will suffer from feedback error as this all transitions but this is going to take some time before things begin to really reflect in model land but there are some signals already showing up on the ensembles and certainly the weeklies. Nothing has changed in that regard. In fact it looks even better to me.

Until then get ready for another warm up. 87 here by Friday with more seasonal to mild weather to follow for a week to 10 days and then we wait.

[vbhoutex]

I will win against any winter temperatures! With the help of a space heater on my desk and a closed office door, I've managed to raise the temperature to 81.5F. Ah, thawing out a little. Only problem is the rest of the house is at 74F - freezing.

Taking a look at the predicted 500mb flow in the 12Z EC, I see no evidence of any pattern change that will bring any significant cold down to Texas over the next two weeks. Take a look at the EC 500mb flow at 288 hrs vs. the GFS. GFS has a deep upper low moving across northern Mexico - thus the ice in Texas. Euro has a weak upper low moving across northern Colorado and east to Nebraska. GFS has a record of being consistently wrong with the 500mb flow beyond 4-5 days. Believe it at your own risk.

Wxman57 you and my wife would get along famously based on the bolded statement!!
Now, back to the weather. I am not a cold weather fan, but an occasional occurance of normal winter weather for our area would be nice!

[Cpv17]

I will win against any winter temperatures! With the help of a space heater on my desk and a closed office door, I've managed to raise the temperature to 81.5F. Ah, thawing out a little. Only problem is the rest of the house is at 74F - freezing.

Taking a look at the predicted 500mb flow in the 12Z EC, I see no evidence of any pattern change that will bring any significant cold down to Texas over the next two weeks. Take a look at the EC 500mb flow at 288 hrs vs. the GFS. GFS has a deep upper low moving across northern Mexico - thus the ice in Texas. Euro has a weak upper low moving across northern Colorado and east to Nebraska. GFS has a record of being consistently wrong with the 500mb flow beyond 4-5 days. Believe it at your own risk.

Hell, even 74 in the house is a bit too warm for me. Perfect temp for me in the house is about 72.

[Tireman4]

I will win against any winter temperatures! With the help of a space heater on my desk and a closed office door, I've managed to raise the temperature to 81.5F. Ah, thawing out a little. Only problem is the rest of the house is at 74F - freezing.

Taking a look at the predicted 500mb flow in the 12Z EC, I see no evidence of any pattern change that will bring any significant cold down to Texas over the next two weeks. Take a look at the EC 500mb flow at 288 hrs vs. the GFS. GFS has a deep upper low moving across northern Mexico - thus the ice in Texas. Euro has a weak upper low moving across northern Colorado and east to Nebraska. GFS has a record of being consistently wrong with the 500mb flow beyond 4-5 days. Believe it at your own risk.

Hell, even 74 in the house is a bit too warm for me. Perfect temp for me in the house is about 72.

We are at 70 downstairs and 71 upstairs

[Sambucol2024]

I will win against any winter temperatures! With the help of a space heater on my desk and a closed office door, I've managed to raise the temperature to 81.5F. Ah, thawing out a little. Only problem is the rest of the house is at 74F - freezing.

Taking a look at the predicted 500mb flow in the 12Z EC, I see no evidence of any pattern change that will bring any significant cold down to Texas over the next two weeks. Take a look at the EC 500mb flow at 288 hrs vs. the GFS. GFS has a deep upper low moving across northern Mexico - thus the ice in Texas. Euro has a weak upper low moving across northern Colorado and east to Nebraska. GFS has a record of being consistently wrong with the 500mb flow beyond 4-5 days. Believe it at your own risk.

Hell, even 74 in the house is a bit too warm for me. Perfect temp for me in the house is about 72.

68 for the house temp here!

[wxman22]

Before we have a chance of arctic air/winter weather.We *may* have to deal with some severe weather and/or heavy rain.Models are showing a potent shortwave moving in around Jan 8th.Something to watch. Some rain would be greatly appreciated.

[Iceresistance]

What have I missed? Been on vacation for a couple of days

Not much. Just weather..lol. How was your first semester at OU?

My first semester was in Fall 2023 lol, never mentioned that.

[Iceresistance]

This is the most ridiculous GFS run I've ever seen


https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bhTcg.png

[Harp.1]

Was that the 18Z run?

[Cpv17]

Was that the 18Z run?

Look at the top right hand corner of the pic.

[Harp.1]

Ok. That was this morning’s run.

[Tireman4]

What have I missed? Been on vacation for a couple of days

Not much. Just weather..lol. How was your first semester at OU?

My first semester was in Fall 2023 lol, never mentioned that.

Ok, how was your fall 2025 ?

[wxman57]

This is the most ridiculous GFS run I've ever seen

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bhTcg.png
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bhTcg.png

I agree with that statement. It's ridiculous.

[gpsnowman]

This is the most ridiculous GFS run I've ever seen

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bhTcg.png
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bhTcg.png

DFW would cease to exist if that were to happen. Funny to look at though.

[Golfisnoteasy75]

Once we get into January, the clock starts to tick lol. I hope we will cash in on a winter event of some sort at some point

[Brent]

Theres definitely still a signal here around the 10th 11th

I think it's gonna be later in January for a better setup though. It's just so far out still

Again what is disturbing me is the lack of moisture the last few weeks

Apparently even with the cold start OKC will make the top 10 warmest Decembers... Right behind last year...

[Stratton23]

I mean true winter in texas is january and february , i have a pretty good feeling that we will be discussing some fun times ahead with this pattern change mid january, wont be surprised if we have several chances for wintry fun going forward

[starsfan65]

I mean true winter in texas is january and february , i have a pretty good feeling that we will be discussing some fun times ahead with this pattern change mid january, wont be surprised if we have several chances for wintry fun going forward

How warm are we going to be Early January?