Texas Winter 2025-2026

[Ntxw]

40/35 was the coldest day of winter was in December (1st of the month wow!) for DFW. Not sure the highs on Saturday will top but the low temp should. So technically this would be the coldest air mass, to date, for the season...bar is not high. We take.

[wxman57]

Looking at the 12Z and 18Z GFS & Euro, y'all may need to head to the Florida Panhandle if you want to see some snow on Sunday.

[Brent]

Seriously what are the odds that happens again in Florida? I can't imagine it has in back to back years

People here still talking about around the 25th

[wxman22]

The weekend system on the 0z GFS

[Stratton23]

Very interesting, especially since this is 72 hours out, surprising to be honest

[Ntxw]

Very interesting, especially since this is 72 hours out, surprising to be honest

5h continues to improve, as long as that happens moisture may find it.

[HockeyTx82]

So wait, it might snow here this weekend......

I step away for 3 hours and look what happens.

[Ntxw]

So wait, it might snow here this weekend......

I step away for 3 hours and look what happens.

2 days from now. Inching closer, pun intended.

[Stratton23]

Snow way this happens right?

[Cpv17]

So wait, it might snow here this weekend......

I step away for 3 hours and look what happens.

And yet, we’re trying to look at operationals for precip 10+ days out. Hell, they can’t even get it right inside of a few days.

[wxman22]

It will be interesting to see what the HRRR and WRF models show once in range.

[txtwister78]

If it wasn't coming from the GFS I'd be a little more inclined to buy in but there has been some shifts west obviously in time now regarding the trough however being it's still positively tilted when it moves down into Texas so I wouldn't expect much in the way of moisture until it taps into the gulf and you get that sw flow (negatively titled trough transition) across the SE

This may end up being a scenario where the further south you are the better your odds are should other models fall in line.

[Harp.1]

Yeah, but it's hard to ignore the consistency of the last three runs

[Stratton23]

SREF modes are very aggressive

[txtwister78]

Yeah, but it's hard to ignore the consistency of the last three runs

For areas across the SE yes.

[Harp.1]

Interestingly enough, the high res models aren't showing this unless I'm missing something.

[Stratton23]

most high res models arent in range of this yet

[Harp.1]

most high res models arent in range of this yet

The NAM and the RGEM are.

[Cpv17]

most high res models arent in range of this yet

The NAM and the RGEM are.

Those are atrocious.

[Stratton23]

Cpv17 yeah, for this potential event, the HRRR will probably be the best one to follow