Texas Winter 2025-2026

[Brent]

The GFS has three winter storms here in a week

Can one just verify?

What I'm noticing is how Thursday is trending wintry

I wasn't even expecting a threat til Saturday at the earliest

Go to Tropical Tidbits and compare the previous runs for any of those events. Zero agreement run to run. Don't use the GFS beyond 3-4 days out if you don't want to be disappointed.

I'm completely aware and no I dont believe it but do you realize this entire joke of a winter we haven't even had one storm really show up inside 10 days

Just to see something showing up for once. It's been beyond pathetic and embarrassing. I just want one consistent signal before it's not winter anymore. Im sorry but I didn't move to Tulsa to see the whole winter just go on by

Several Arkansas pages just lit up with posts about it

[Iceresistance]

Speaking of moving to Tulsa Brent


https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bhXPY.gif

[Harp.1]

So far on the current GFS, the flow looks zonal at hour 216.

[Stratton23]

The GFS cannot handle arctic air, dont worry about it lol, ai modeling and the CMC have the arctic air pushing into central texas ,

[Brent]

Some flurries on the north side of the metro just now

That's the first time in 6 weeks there's been anything frozen around here. Maybe a sign of change?

I said last night the GFS is gonna be lost with this pattern. The fact it even showed 3 storms here earlier was more shocking than anything haha

[Cpv17]

So far on the current GFS, the flow looks zonal at hour 216.

Hour 216? Why are you paying attention to an operational model 216 hours out?

[Harp.1]

So far on the current GFS, the flow looks zonal at hour 216.

Hour 216? Why are you paying attention to an operational model 216 hours out?

I'm bored.... no gig tonight

[Stratton23]

GFS does bring the cold and looks like its breaking out a big winter storm across the state lol

[Cpv17]

So far on the current GFS, the flow looks zonal at hour 216.

Hour 216? Why are you paying attention to an operational model 216 hours out?

I'm bored.... no gig tonight

Lol do you know how to access the ensembles on Tropicsl Tidbits? Just curious.

[Harp.1]

Hour 216? Why are you paying attention to an operational model 216 hours out?

I'm bored.... no gig tonight

Lol do you know how to access the ensembles on Tropicsl Tidbits? Just curious.

Not really, but holy poop!!! Look at the GFS now! LOL!

[Harp.1]

Enjoy it for the next 6 hours!

[Iceresistance]

I'm bored.... no gig tonight

Lol do you know how to access the ensembles on Tropicsl Tidbits? Just curious.

Not really, but holy poop!!! Look at the GFS now! LOL!

Oh yeah, this is absolutely wild!
More snow than me! That's one thing for sure! DFW, Austin, and Houston get blanketed with snow? What kind of winter wonderland dream is this!?

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bheL2.png

[Brent]

The GFS just shows how loaded the pattern is

Yeah I'm sure it'll be gone by the time most people wake up but it just shows that the winter precip may not just be limited to up here

[Cpv17]

I'm bored.... no gig tonight

Lol do you know how to access the ensembles on Tropicsl Tidbits? Just curious.

Not really, but holy poop!!! Look at the GFS now! LOL!

Lol ok, that’s what I was thinking.

[Stratton23]

Regardless of what this euro run does with the cold, that is a freaking massive area of barney colors on the Euro, absolutely bitter cold air and definitely much colder than its 12z run, by day 8 the leading edge of the arctic air is already in oklahoma, it’s definitely going south, thats so much cold air getting dislodged

Ensembles 00z : Continue to come in even colder than todays afternoon runs

[Brent]

Euro has a snow band Monday Night here all the sudden. Just out of nowhere

Pattern is loaded

[Harp.1]

The Euro looked better than it ended,,,,

[txtwister78]

Models/ensembles continue to trend colder. Yes, southern jet will be active with the AO cooperating. It will just he a question of timing and how cold do we get.

Fun times ahead for tracking but we're still in the laying the groundwork stages here in terms of modeling.

[Brent]

The Euro is way below normal to end January here. Even the warmup is muted

[Brent]

1:10 AM - Light snow continues to move across Stillwater and vicinity this morning. Reduced visibilities are possible with this activity. Little to no accumulation is expected as this moves southward.

Definitely flakes flying around here