Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

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wxman22
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2341 Postby wxman22 » Sun Jan 18, 2026 7:19 pm

The end of the 18z Euro run.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2342 Postby Quixotic » Sun Jan 18, 2026 7:21 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Quixotic wrote:


Is that an ensemble?


Yeah ensembles mean GEFS 18z. Snow depth can sometimes be more telling than snowfall amounts. They are saying surface is well below freezing, retention.


Thanks for clarifying. I got rid of all my bookmarks for weather during the five year snow drought 2015-2020. Even had to look up easterly QBO to make sure it was negative on one of the posts.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2343 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Jan 18, 2026 7:54 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2344 Postby Brent » Sun Jan 18, 2026 7:56 pm

TWC has a potential winter storm for Saturday already :double:

Even the big storm last year here sort of came out of nowhere. It wasnt here til it was
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2345 Postby Portastorm » Sun Jan 18, 2026 7:58 pm

gpsnowman wrote:https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/2013048934940164374?s=20
Maue is on a roll today.


The answer to his question is: "you sign up to be a Storm2K member and go on the Texas winter weather thread!" 8-)
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2346 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:05 pm

Portastorm wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/2013048934940164374?s=20
Maue is on a roll today.


The answer to his question is: "you sign up to be a Storm2K member and go on the Texas winter weather thread!" 8-)

Exactly. That's why I am here after 15 years. It's the best.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2347 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:18 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/2013048934940164374?s=20
Maue is on a roll today.


The answer to his question is: "you sign up to be a Storm2K member and go on the Texas winter weather thread!" 8-)

Exactly. That's why I am here after 15 years. It's the best.


I had to look it up, I've been here longer than you I didn't even realize that, 2009 was my join year. Does that make me old?
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2348 Postby rwfromkansas » Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:18 pm

Where is the 32 line compared to 12Z? Trying to see if there is a warming or cooling trend. Guess 18 isn't on Pivotal free.

Also looks like I joined in 2005 but really didn't post until 2018 lol
Last edited by rwfromkansas on Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2349 Postby BAY29 » Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:20 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
The answer to his question is: "you sign up to be a Storm2K member and go on the Texas winter weather thread!" 8-)

Exactly. That's why I am here after 15 years. It's the best.


I had to look it up, I've been here longer than you I didn't even realize that, 2009 was my join year. Does that make me old?

Wow some of y’all joined before I was even born
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2350 Postby TexasF6 » Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:21 pm

Portastorm wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/2013048934940164374?s=20
Maue is on a roll today.


The answer to his question is: "you sign up to be a Storm2K member and go on the Texas winter weather thread!" 8-)


Porta? How is Champ The Charger? And will there be Grey Goose flowing? Maue got nothing on S2K!!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2351 Postby HockeyTx82 » Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:36 pm

BAY29 wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Exactly. That's why I am here after 15 years. It's the best.


I had to look it up, I've been here longer than you I didn't even realize that, 2009 was my join year. Does that make me old?

Wow some of y’all joined before I was even born


I think it opened October 2002, I was in college. I found the board in 2009.

Oh, and get off my lawn!!!! :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2352 Postby Tireman4 » Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:40 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:
BAY29 wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
I had to look it up, I've been here longer than you I didn't even realize that, 2009 was my join year. Does that make me old?

Wow some of y’all joined before I was even born


I think it opened October 2002, I was in college. I found the board in 2009.

Oh, and get off my lawn!!!! :D



I.must be an elder at 2005. Lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2353 Postby wxman22 » Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:51 pm

I've been here since 2004, but I lost my original account and made a new one in 2006.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2354 Postby gpsnowman » Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:53 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
The answer to his question is: "you sign up to be a Storm2K member and go on the Texas winter weather thread!" 8-)

Exactly. That's why I am here after 15 years. It's the best.

Yes. :ggreen:
I had to look it up, I've been here longer than you I didn't even realize that, 2009 was my join year. Does that make me old?
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2355 Postby BTAYLOR5021 » Sun Jan 18, 2026 8:58 pm

It’s official Pete has a 50% of Wintery Mix for DFW.. /36/29… hopefully this trends colder…. The fact this system is a week away is amazing…..
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2356 Postby emings » Sun Jan 18, 2026 9:20 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2357 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Sun Jan 18, 2026 9:24 pm





Heyoooo… yeesh!
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2358 Postby Quixotic » Sun Jan 18, 2026 9:26 pm

Roller coaster week for all of us as we ebb and flow with each run at least until we get in NAM range. Personally the HR models are when I stop.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2359 Postby Quixotic » Sun Jan 18, 2026 9:28 pm

With two disturbances, does anybody worry about one shearing out the other? I mean a phase would be like almost unprecedented.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2360 Postby Brent » Sun Jan 18, 2026 9:32 pm

Quixotic wrote:With two disturbances, does anybody worry about one shearing out the other? I mean a phase would be like almost unprecedented.


I will say I definitely have the memories of recent events where the Arctic air flooded the area dried up the precip rather quickly and there wasnt a big event. Yeah it snowed but not historic or anything. The story was the wind chills and the fact it was 5 degrees in the middle of the day :lol: we saw this in February last year... In January of 2024... In December 2022... To me that's the fail mode up here. That it dries up

In January last year the cold air was marginal to begin with so that was different. It was so warm here the snow wasn't even sticking til it got dark but somehow it was the biggest snowstorm in years

We'll just have to see if the big ensemble members can hang on for a few days. That's my big issue and why I'm cautious is how far away it is. It seems to me during those events about 2-3 days out the ensembles backed off and started showing just dustings basically

Believe me how aggressive the models are has my attention but at the end of the day it's still next weekend when this weekend isn't even fully over yet :lol:
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