Texas Winter 2025-2026

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Get this trend a little more south. We are not far off.

https://i.imgur.com/zwIdxWs.gif

This is a great gif to show how im getting a very solid snow in CB before my week of skiing.

[jaguars_22]

Man that ULL on the Nam is taking its sweet time! And digging more…

[bubba hotep]

18z HRRR has moved up advancement of the freezing line by a few hours.

Change in frz rain coverage from 12z to 18z for 12z Saturday

[bevolon]

Man that ULL on the Nam is taking its sweet time! And digging more…

Is this better for DFW area? Sorry. I try to learn and follow along but, not sure what all the different scenarios mean. Thanks in advance!

[jaguars_22]

Freezing rain coverage has spread and thickened in your area…

[bevolon]

Freezing rain coverage has spread and thickened in your area…

Thank you!

[Snowman67]

Question of the day: does this thread make it to 200+ pages by midnight?

I believe it does so with ease.

[wxman57]

Any future posts on how many pages this thread will make it to face deletion. Don't clutter up the thread or I'll have my minions reinforce the wall and keep you snow-free.

[Iceresistance]

I think this is a good reminder that the NAM model has a bad undermixing bias

This is a 3 hour difference, in one run in Central Oklahoma

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bkwfJ.png

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bkwft.png

[cheezyWXguy]

Although the initial wave is largely unchanged in the 18z nam, the reinforcing shot of cold air on Saturday is way faster. I do still think it is too delayed on dragging down the freezing line for the first wave, but this is a step in the right direction if we want to see more sleet/snow in ntx. I know I do.

[hurricane2025]

Any future posts on how many pages this thread will make it to face deletion. Don't clutter up the thread or I'll have my minions reinforce the wall and keep you snow-free.

Why is the euro so warm? Do you trust it right now ?

[jg5894]

But seriously why the hell are people buying up toilet paper? Are they going to use it to keep drafts out?

They can always wrap themselves up to keep warm. Or burn it in the fireplace.

[jaguars_22]

Well the NAM just went somewhat colder in my area earlier maybe by 3-5 degrees… I believe now is the time we start to see models drop quicker and earlier…

[Yukon Cornelius]

Norman updated totals. We get an Ice storm, Sleet storm, and Snow storm all in one. LOL

https://i.ibb.co/yF1gtXXn/IMG-0620.jpg

I think NWS-Norman is overestimating the warm nose

100%

[wxman22]

The NAM now shows the freezing line reaching WF around 4 pm Friday. The precip shield is massive.

[Wthrfan]

Norman updated totals. We get an Ice storm, Sleet storm, and Snow storm all in one. LOL

https://i.ibb.co/yF1gtXXn/IMG-0620.jpg

I hope they are overestimating the warm nose!

[Portastorm]

Well the NAM just went somewhat colder in my area earlier maybe by 3-5 degrees… I believe now is the time we start to see models drop quicker and earlier…

There is a notable trend of faster and colder between the 12z and 18z runs for your area of Texas, and basically overall.

[txtwister78]

NAM definitely playing catch up in terms of advancing colder air faster/deeper into Texas. I expect those trends to continue leading to more ice further south into central and portions of SC TX

[iorange55]

Really is looking like (at least in the hill country) that the initial wave of precip will be mostly a cold rain, which will have people thinking the forecast was a bust, and then that second precip shield comes in and hammers everyone.

[Tireman4]

Here's a test. Which model looks clueless for Houston's temps? Just got a text saying my generator is "exercising". Come on, generator, get ready for the cold!

https://wxman57.com/images/Models12ZJan22.jpg

https://wxman57.com/images/Models12ZJan22.jpg

Wait, you get a text? I have an app that allows me to see it tested. You must have the high fallutun generator

Sometimes someone knocks on my door to tell me it's running and there are no issues. You don't have that?

We have a visit once a year. Lol. Other than that, nope.