Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

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Quixotic
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4101 Postby Quixotic » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:11 pm

We look at weather in 2D or 3D (if you’re lucky) but really this is 4D. And all the ingredients for each point of measurement. This is something legitimate AI can help with. Doubt we are there yet since it can’t even sort HR resumes with accuracy yet, but I see the potential.
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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4102 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:14 pm

Quixotic wrote:I want all of Tulsa’s 16 inches.

That's what Dallas said
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4103 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:15 pm

I don't remember seeing this kind of consistency before

Image
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4104 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:18 pm

Iceresistance wrote:I don't remember seeing this kind of consistency before

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif


Don't worry, it will shift South at the last minute.
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Gotwood
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4105 Postby Gotwood » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:20 pm

I notice the GFS still isn’t backing off of prolonged cold.
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Gotwood
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4106 Postby Gotwood » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:21 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:I don't remember seeing this kind of consistency before

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif


Don't worry, it will shift South at the last minute.

Typical Oklahoma trying to steal all of Texas talent.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4107 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:23 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:I don't remember seeing this kind of consistency before

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif


Don't worry, it will shift South at the last minute.

Don't even dare jinx that to go to DFW, I wouldn't be happy if I get rugpulled like that
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

HockeyTx82
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4108 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:24 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:I don't remember seeing this kind of consistency before

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif


Don't worry, it will shift South at the last minute.

Don't even dare jinx that to go to DFW, I wouldn't be happy if I get rugpulled like that


Hey, you were the one complaining about the consistency. :lol:
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Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.

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cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4109 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:26 pm

Iceresistance wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:I don't remember seeing this kind of consistency before

https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif
https://s12.gifyu.com/images/bk3L6.gif


Don't worry, it will shift South at the last minute.

Don't even dare jinx that to go to DFW, I wouldn't be happy if I get rugpulled like that

We in DFW would be happy to welcome another member to the rugpull club. Still a little bitter about last year’s system. Join us, we have cookies.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4110 Postby Quixotic » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:31 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Quixotic wrote:I want all of Tulsa’s 16 inches.

That's what Dallas said


Throw out a softball and someone will hit it.
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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4111 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:33 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:
HockeyTx82 wrote:
Don't worry, it will shift South at the last minute.

Don't even dare jinx that to go to DFW, I wouldn't be happy if I get rugpulled like that


Hey, you were the one complaining about the consistency. :lol:

In my defense, I was legit worried about being suppression busted, now the bullseye is trending towards me right now
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4112 Postby gpsnowman » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:34 pm

Quixotic wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
Quixotic wrote:I want all of Tulsa’s 16 inches.

That's what Dallas said


Throw out a softball and someone will hit it.

I'm a sucker for cheap jokes :ggreen: Back to the weather
Last edited by gpsnowman on Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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orangeblood
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4113 Postby orangeblood » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:35 pm

Quixotic wrote:We look at weather in 2D or 3D (if you’re lucky) but really this is 4D. And all the ingredients for each point of measurement. This is something legitimate AI can help with. Doubt we are there yet since it can’t even sort HR resumes with accuracy yet, but I see the potential.


Agreed, absolute game changer when it comes to a complex system like this planets atmosphere
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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4114 Postby rwfromkansas » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:46 pm

Saw Dan Henry post on social media for people not to complain to him “that’s it, it’s over?” after round one. That’s a great point. So many don’t pay attention so they just assume the wrong thing with timing. Heck half my class thought it was supposed to snow tomorrow lol.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4115 Postby BTAYLOR5021 » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:51 pm

Saw Pete post on X stated DFW stays below freezing Untill Tuesday 11 AM… impressive…
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4116 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Jan 22, 2026 11:57 pm

Quixotic wrote:We look at weather in 2D or 3D (if you’re lucky) but really this is 4D. And all the ingredients for each point of measurement. This is something legitimate AI can help with. Doubt we are there yet since it can’t even sort HR resumes with accuracy yet, but I see the potential.


A quantum computer would be helpful for weather forecasting.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4117 Postby iorange55 » Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:00 am

Seems like a lot of local Austin Mets are hugging the Euro hard.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4118 Postby dhweather » Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:04 am

iorange55 wrote:Seems like a lot of local Austin Mets are hugging the Euro hard.


There are people that hug the Euro hard NO MATTER WHAT.
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The above post and any post by dhweather is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4119 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:04 am

Here's the current 0z models and snowfall for my area
GFS: 15-17 inches, more to my east
CMC: 14-17 inches
UKMET: 15-17 inches
ICON: 14-18 inches, more to my north
RGEM: 17-18 inches
NAM: 7-10 inches (Crazy outlier)

Waiting for Euro
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4120 Postby txtwister78 » Fri Jan 23, 2026 12:09 am

iorange55 wrote:Seems like a lot of local Austin Mets are hugging the Euro hard.


They do here in San Antonio also. Unfortunately you don't have as many of seasoned mets on TV anymore like we used to that can forecast based off pattern recognition as opposed to just model watching alone.
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