Texas Winter 2025-2026

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Edwards Limestone
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4581 Postby Edwards Limestone » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:31 am

Temp has dropped to 46 near Canyon Lake. Getting some much needed rain.

I have a weird feeling this icing event might over perform down here if the hi-res models continue their trends.
Last edited by Edwards Limestone on Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:32 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4582 Postby Browndog » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:31 am

Just wait till the morning for Dallas. Things will turn.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4583 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:34 am

Browndog wrote:Just wait till the morning for Dallas. Things will turn.


Yeah it's 12 degrees here

At some point that air is gonna get into Dallas
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4584 Postby Captmorg70 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:34 am

Browndog wrote:Just wait till the morning for Dallas. Things will turn.


Agreed. Best Advice for tonight is to go get a few hours of sleep now to be ready for tomorrow
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4585 Postby Edwards Limestone » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:34 am

Did the ULL dig to about where the models thought it would? Is it done digging?

Lots of convection firing near Del Rio…
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4586 Postby Browndog » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:36 am

Brent wrote:
Browndog wrote:Just wait till the morning for Dallas. Things will turn.


Yeah it's 12 degrees here

At some point that air is gonna get into Dallas


Dallas will get a ton of sleet. Big event in the evening and overnight tomorrow is going to be legit. Y’all will get 4” of sleet no problem. It’ll be cobblestone ice redeaux on steroids.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4587 Postby txtwister78 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:38 am

Stratton23 wrote:txtwister78 next weekends system at least on the ensembles looks similar to last january, wouldn’t that be something to get a big snowstorm just a few days later? Its amazing how december was one of the warmest on record, first half of january was extremely warm, and now we just completely flip the script


Yeah it would be, but this fits some of these la nina patterns (warm overall but hidden in there some big ticket winter weather events). When you eventually flip the script as we've clearly done these can sometimes come in close proximity to each other when you get that polar jet to crash like it's doing now and the AO still cooperating.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4588 Postby Edwards Limestone » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:43 am

Radar potentially showing sleet falling out near Mason and Brady already…
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4589 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:44 am

Urban core holding strong. I would guess this is the last stand for DFW, and freezing temps will soon overtake it all.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4590 Postby Browndog » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:45 am

[imgur] https://imgur.com/a/CMEhtz3[/imgur]

Definitely a sleet snow mix here. This is with low end radar returns.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4591 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:46 am

Good precip uptick showing up southwest of the metro on radar. That big plume coming in from San Angelo isn't far behind.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4592 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:48 am

bubba hotep wrote:Urban core holding strong. I would guess this is the last stand for DFW, and freezing temps will soon overtake it all.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G_aMGufWkAE5vjO?format=png&name=small

Yeah I think temps are dropping slightly under precip, allowing for a changeover to sleet, then slightly rising when the precip passes. With the UHI, the urban core is just under/over freezing in those respective instances. Think this bigger batch moving in might help push us under and keep us there.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4593 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:50 am

I have been stuck at 32 for a few hours basically, so it is being stubborn to drop, but seeing nearby stations dropping more and a colder line coming down from Denton. Feeling pretty good. Should be pretty cool after 4-5 or so.
Last edited by rwfromkansas on Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4594 Postby Edwards Limestone » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:50 am

Radar estimates 5 inches of rain has fallen near Medina in Bandera County this evening- hence the flash flood warning.

Atmosphere is certainly primed.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4595 Postby Edwards Limestone » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:53 am

I’m already down to 42 deg near Canyon Lake. This is coming in well ahead of schedule.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4596 Postby downsouthman1 » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:53 am

Edwards Limestone wrote:Radar estimates 5 inches of rain has fallen near Medina in Bandera County this evening- hence the flash flood warning.

Atmosphere is certainly primed.


Absolutely insane overall setup and pattern. In all my years of being in Texas.... i say no more for now.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4597 Postby Fifty Rock » Sat Jan 24, 2026 1:57 am

Down to 17.4 degrees near Albany and roads are treacherous.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4598 Postby JayDT » Sat Jan 24, 2026 2:03 am

32 degrees in southwest Dallas county.. Slowly but surely :lol:
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4599 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 24, 2026 2:09 am

Y'all got so much precip down there I think it's actually cutting into our snow a bit :lol:

Though I had a feeling it would be a slow start and everyone would declare bust and tomorrow night was always gonna be the peak

So far I'm not wrong

I mean it's ok but it's not like some epic storm
Last edited by Brent on Sat Jan 24, 2026 2:09 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4600 Postby TropicalTundra » Sat Jan 24, 2026 2:09 am

37 here. Just pure rain so far which I will gladly take. Already seems areas like Abilene, WF and Oklahoma are getting some snowfall in, happy for yall!
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Snow in Texas? What’s that?

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All observations I note are for Temple, Texas unless otherwise stated.


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