Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3346
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5521 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Jan 27, 2026 4:45 pm

Stratton23 wrote:ICON has a band of light snow in association with the next Arctic front

Which portion of portions of Texas?
0 likes   

Stratton23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3408
Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
Location: Katy, Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5522 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jan 27, 2026 4:48 pm

Gpsnowman north texas, and drfiting down towards eastern texas before eventually weakening to just spotty rain showers
4 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5977
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5523 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Jan 27, 2026 4:50 pm

Ntxw wrote:Even though the weekend trough is mostly dry, got to watch for snow flurries in Oklahoma and maybe North Texas. Will be cold :cold:.


The ICON smells what you are cooking.

Image
6 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

BTAYLOR5021
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 52
Joined: Mon Jan 09, 2017 9:34 am

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5524 Postby BTAYLOR5021 » Tue Jan 27, 2026 5:05 pm

DFW Last 4 January’s has seen winter Precip in excess of at least 1 inch… so uncommon being that prior to Jan 2023 , the last time 1 inch or more was observed at DFW Airport in the month of Jan was 2003…. Most of DFW winter precip occurs in Feb. has not been the case since 2022….

Also very notable to see Jan Record Low set back in Jan 2024 was the first low minimum since Jan 1985….. DFW set Low Maximum Jan 25Th, 2026 before that other Low maximums were Jan2024, Jan 2017 Jan 1997 Jan 1985. I say all of this to say these recent Arctic outbreaks are impressive to challenge records from the Vintage hard Winters of yesteryear.
4 likes   

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3346
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5525 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Jan 27, 2026 5:10 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Even though the weekend trough is mostly dry, got to watch for snow flurries in Oklahoma and maybe North Texas. Will be cold :cold:.


The ICON smells what you are cooking.

https://m3o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/icon/2026012718/120/sn10_acc-imp.us_sc.png

Perhaps we can squeeze and inch or two out of this before it is all said and done
3 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 23420
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5526 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 27, 2026 5:15 pm

12z EPS, you have to like that look.

Image
7 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9954
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5527 Postby Portastorm » Tue Jan 27, 2026 5:34 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:My neighbor who owns the local coffee shop was videoing me my son and I playing, and caught me doing a pretty epic goal, as my younger brother said you're living The Glory Days. Hahaha

It's been amazing I have played more hockey in these last 3 days with my sons then I can count. It's been an awesome time!

https://youtube.com/shorts/HXtM7KdUWak? ... 0nTpeUcazU


LOVED this video! And the goal celebration as well!! You looked like a real Dallas Star out there, HockeyTx82. 8-)
1 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

mmmmsnouts
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 212
Joined: Tue Sep 05, 2023 10:04 pm
Location: Arlington, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5528 Postby mmmmsnouts » Tue Jan 27, 2026 5:35 pm

Kids’ school district (where my wife also works) closed for tomorrow. Glad I spent 3 hours clearing the driveway.

By the way, it should be at least warm enough that you can use your garden hose to help melt the ice. Running water works great when you don’t have heat, as long as it has somewhere to run off before it gets below freezing again.
1 likes   

Stratton23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3408
Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
Location: Katy, Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5529 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jan 27, 2026 5:39 pm

Ntxw yup! I love especially seeing that strong- NAO block on the EPS, that would trap the cold air in place but also force the storm track southward, could be looking at a 2-3 week period of well below normal temperatures starting around the 10th through the end of the month potentially and maybe lingering into march somewhat depending on what happens with the PV
2 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5977
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5530 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Jan 27, 2026 5:49 pm

BTAYLOR5021 wrote:DFW Last 4 January’s has seen winter Precip in excess of at least 1 inch… so uncommon being that prior to Jan 2023 , the last time 1 inch or more was observed at DFW Airport in the month of Jan was 2003…. Most of DFW winter precip occurs in Feb. has not been the case since 2022….

Also very notable to see Jan Record Low set back in Jan 2024 was the first low minimum since Jan 1985….. DFW set Low Maximum Jan 25Th, 2026 before that other Low maximums were Jan2024, Jan 2017 Jan 1997 Jan 1985. I say all of this to say these recent Arctic outbreaks are impressive to challenge records from the Vintage hard Winters of yesteryear.


IIRC, 2021 broke a crazy long stretch of no record lows for DFW.
2 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Tejas89
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 436
Joined: Mon Dec 28, 2009 9:25 pm
Location: DFW, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5531 Postby Tejas89 » Tue Jan 27, 2026 6:04 pm

At one point in the last couple of years I added up the record highs and record high minimums at DFW against the record lows and record low maximums. Since 2000.

It’s really incredible and scary the difference between those numbers. Some will say UHI has an effect on the trends. That’s true to some degree but you can run a similar analysis on any weather station in Texas (rural or urban) and get similar findings.

Anyway, here’s hoping we buck the trend the rest of this winter. “Summer is coming” and the chances of duplicating last year’s tame version are small as we know.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 23420
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5532 Postby Ntxw » Tue Jan 27, 2026 6:21 pm

18z GFS, yes I know it's 300+ hours out but another piece. Look at that -AO.

Image

Image
6 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38674
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5533 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 27, 2026 6:30 pm

Some of this snow up here might make it to the weekend front at this point haha

And to think again... We were pretty much the worst case scenario for snow amounts here. The very low end of the projections :lol: it's really funny when you look at it from that perspective
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
wxman22
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1819
Joined: Mon Jan 30, 2006 12:39 am
Location: Wichita Falls, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5534 Postby wxman22 » Tue Jan 27, 2026 6:36 pm

Brent wrote:Some of this snow up here might make it to the weekend front at this point haha

And to think again... We were pretty much the worst case scenario for snow amounts here. The very low end of the projections :lol: it's really funny when you look at it from that perspective


Yep the ground here is still completely covered with snow, very little melting has occurred.
3 likes   

User avatar
JDawg512
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1098
Age: 45
Joined: Mon Aug 26, 2013 8:56 pm
Location: Austin
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5535 Postby JDawg512 » Tue Jan 27, 2026 7:40 pm

There's still some crusted sleet clinging on in the shady and north facing areas here at the Rain Cave. Hopefully that's all I see this winter. I would prefer an extended wet period but nothing frozen.
1 likes   
Resident Rain Miser

I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.

User avatar
Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5197
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5536 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Jan 27, 2026 7:50 pm

Ntxw wrote:18z GFS, yes I know it's 300+ hours out but another piece. Look at that -AO.

https://i.imgur.com/gbMlHws.png

https://i.imgur.com/JNy4toh.png


Also far out, but it does look like the cold will exit Canada into MT this time around, so maybe a more favorable PNA for the central U.S..
1 likes   

Stratton23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3408
Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
Location: Katy, Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5537 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jan 27, 2026 7:50 pm

Thats a crazy big beauford sea High, I say bring on the whole arctic again in february! Loved these 30’s and 20’s the past couple of days, just used the last of my hot chocolate packets haha!
0 likes   

User avatar
Quixotic
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 905
Joined: Tue Feb 14, 2017 12:27 am
Location: Frisco

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5538 Postby Quixotic » Tue Jan 27, 2026 8:03 pm

This next Arctic high is an oozer.
2 likes   

Belmer
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 3
Age: 33
Joined: Wed Jan 22, 2025 2:50 pm
Location: Arlington, TX (360/183)

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5539 Postby Belmer » Tue Jan 27, 2026 8:35 pm

Ntxw wrote:18z GFS, yes I know it's 300+ hours out but another piece. Look at that -AO.

[url]https://i.imgur.com/gbMlHws.png

[url]https://i.imgur.com/JNy4toh.png



It is in lala land, but remarkable agreement from the 12z Euro and 18z GFS at hour 360 (though not quite the -AO on the Euro)

12z Euro


18z GFS
1 likes   
Boomer Sooner

Ralph's Weather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3370
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Dec 13, 2013 11:55 am
Location: Lindale, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5540 Postby Ralph's Weather » Tue Jan 27, 2026 8:46 pm

Topped out around 40 today under constant clouds. Had a band of snow on radar but nothing reached the ground. Highways are mainly clear. Side roads are slushy. Another day of no school for kids. Baseball practice tomorrow on our teams private field could be fun to let them play a bit on the ice before sending them inside to finish practice.
1 likes   
Follow on Facebook at Ralph's Weather.


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Captmorg70, Cpv17, Harp.1, Marion Morrison, rwfromkansas, wildbill and 94 guests