Texas Winter 2025-2026
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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txtwister78
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Quixotic wrote:That -AO is impressive.
It is and it can drive a pattern as we move later into winter so as important as the EPO can be as it relates to our winter, we don't need a tank to get some cold and active weather especially when the PNA begins to cooperate as it looks to do by mid month.
Last edited by txtwister78 on Thu Jan 29, 2026 10:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Side note, cold front came through today. Thought I was going to get a heat stroke but thank goodness it is cold again now...
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Ntxw wrote:Side note, cold front came through today. Thought I was going to get a heat stroke but thank goodness it is cold again now...
Seriously. I was sweating at 58 degrees earlier. It's weird, the older I get the more warmth bothers me. For some people it's the opposite, like my wife, daughter and 57. I think I need help.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
I didn't really need the heat on during the cold snap. It was on mainly for my family. I never got cold once , except for my feet at times.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
To back up txtwister, the AO arguably is even more important in February for cold than the EPO is, which is the reason it raises an eyebrow the upcoming -AO. Using DFW history 1978, 2010, 2021, and even the coldest blast of last year, occurred because of severe -AO, where the EPO was meager in all of these cases. -AO's near the end of the season have more influence because source region is vastly colder and expanse is greater than early winter.
None of these cases accounted for any dive in -EPO, though some Pacific favorability is definitely helpful which there should be. -EPO is great for ice, -AO is better for snow.
https://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/cwlinks/norm.daily.ao.index.b500101.current.ascii
https://downloads.psl.noaa.gov/Public/m ... resent.txt
None of these cases accounted for any dive in -EPO, though some Pacific favorability is definitely helpful which there should be. -EPO is great for ice, -AO is better for snow.
https://ftp.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/cwlinks/norm.daily.ao.index.b500101.current.ascii
https://downloads.psl.noaa.gov/Public/m ... resent.txt
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Stratton23
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- Location: Katy, Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
GFS and Euro operational runs show the spiking of the ridge In Alaska, exactly what we were looking for in our last outbreak , once that ridge balloons and sets up over Alaska, its game time, of course operational runs dont mean anything that far out, but it is a good sign to see the euro showing that - EPO popping off
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