I’ve seen that look before back in December and it never came south. Won’t get my hopes up.
Texas Winter 2025-2026
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
I’ve seen that look before back in December and it never came south. Won’t get my hopes up.
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
of course you need the AO to be a bit more negative this time of the year, but their is so much blocking over the top on the models and ensembles , including the NAO, that cold air has to go south somewhere eventually, AI Euro ensemble is very expansive with the cold, taking up all of canada , AO has been negative and still will remain so, but last week ensembles were taking the AO up to neutral to weak positive, over the past 2-3 days it now looks to stay negative with ensembles showing some hints at yet another drop in the AO on ensembles, we will see
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Stratton23 wrote:of course you need the AO to be a bit more negative this time of the year, but their is so much blocking over the top on the models and ensembles , including the NAO, that cold air has to go south somewhere eventually, AI Euro ensemble is very expansive with the cold, taking up all of canada , AO has been negative and still will remain so, but last week ensembles were taking the AO up to neutral to weak positive, over the past 2-3 days it now looks to stay negative with ensembles showing some hints at yet another drop in the AO on ensembles, we will see
Where’s 11 at from Stranger Things to open up a gate when you need one!?!
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Cpv17 wrote:Quixotic wrote:Brent wrote:
Haha yeah other than the derecho a few summers ago there hasn't been anything notable(although that derecho was about the worst thing I've ever seen even growing up in Dixie alley more like the hurricanes I remember 20-30 years ago). The winter storms have otherwise honestly been the most impactful events each year haha
Schools closed a week several times
But personally I've seen enough severe weather from Alabama and Dallas. Don't really miss it. I got someone the other day when I told them I was in Alabama in April 2011. It gets a reaction of disbelief because there were multiple tornadoes that month that killed more than Moore and El Reno ever has
I’m with you. I’ve seen enough severe weather. You replace enough roofs, totaled cars and downed fences it gets old. Unless it’s a high risk, you won’t find me on the board. I saw the Jarrell tornado up close and it’s something I’d not want to see again. I remember thinking “God help who ever is under that.”
Incidentally, I found if you want the best place for all types of weather the winner was…..Iowa. Severe weather, decent rain, snows regularly and an occasional blizzard. I did a whole spreadsheet just as an exercise in futility.
What’s up with the corn fields during the summer in Iowa producing insane dew points and heat indexes? What’s the science behind that? At least I heard it was from corn fields lol
Yeah. Not sure what the meteorological term is but in biology it’s transpiration. Take DFW for instance. It’s a large city with no topological or geographical reason to exist. Usually big cities form along a coast, river, lake or mountains. The only feature here is the transition from eastern woods to prairie. It’s humid to the east and dry to the west. I can see a whole bunch of crops releasing moisture but it’s more likely the industrial scale watering combined with transpiration that makes it humid. Plus most of the state is similar to east Texas rather than grasslands in terms of annual rainfall.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026
Well severe weather hype for Friday is definitely growing here
I'll believe it when I see it
at this point I just hope all the rain isn't east of us
I'll believe it when I see it
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