Texas Winter 2025-2026

[TeamPlayersBlue]

March is typically blizzard month for Panhandle and Oklahoma. But the reduction is pretty significant the last ~10 years so the new averages will likely be cut, unless it goes bonkers by then.

Thats very interesting because I dont think sea ice plays a direct role in this. I think it does for the lack of an early winter in the Southern Plains. Temps are def higher now in the arctic then the past in March but the cold source region of the arctic is full of ice.

The fringes is what's losing ground. As you mention early winter, late winter etc. The same concept applies to baselines. The cold blasts are still there and sharper than ever so is the warmer days due to patterns but the 'boring days' are tilting warmer than colder. I noted above there is no reason if the average is 55F that we can't spend some days in the low 50s and some in the upper 50s, instead between it's 60s, 60s, 70s way more than it should be. That's what skews every winter since to be above normal. This is putting it in the most simplistic terms, but the baseline is moving up, the numbers back it up there, can't argue that I've accepted defeat on that end. Which is why it's so hard to call a colder than normal winter 10+ years in a row...let that sink in.

Like you said, it's the inbetween days that are really noticeable. Usually getting below normal days only when there is some kind of front or a very rainy day.

Here in Denver, i'd love to see how a graph with the average wet bulb temps, and the amount of rainy days in winter months. Tomorrow we are expecting rain. System isn't attached to any cold air, but having rain here before April is hurtful.

[Ntxw]

Thats very interesting because I dont think sea ice plays a direct role in this. I think it does for the lack of an early winter in the Southern Plains. Temps are def higher now in the arctic then the past in March but the cold source region of the arctic is full of ice.

The fringes is what's losing ground. As you mention early winter, late winter etc. The same concept applies to baselines. The cold blasts are still there and sharper than ever so is the warmer days due to patterns but the 'boring days' are tilting warmer than colder. I noted above there is no reason if the average is 55F that we can't spend some days in the low 50s and some in the upper 50s, instead between it's 60s, 60s, 70s way more than it should be. That's what skews every winter since to be above normal. This is putting it in the most simplistic terms, but the baseline is moving up, the numbers back it up there, can't argue that I've accepted defeat on that end. Which is why it's so hard to call a colder than normal winter 10+ years in a row...let that sink in.

Like you said, it's the inbetween days that are really noticeable. Usually getting below normal days only when there is some kind of front or a very rainy day.

Here in Denver, i'd love to see how a graph with the average wet bulb temps, and the amount of rainy days in winter months. Tomorrow we are expecting rain. System isn't attached to any cold air, but having rain here before April is hurtful.

A note I made back in the late 2010s was to see if once the new 30yr averages when they shift from 1981-2010 -> 1991-2020 with the goalposts shifting up if we could at least see below normal with the higher footing. Yet we still go above that which was above the period before...just disgusting as a cold lover. So now we are on the back half of 2020s, next goalposts will move up, can we get more below normal then?

Snowiest months for Denver I assume March and April, just awful to be seeing rain. Intermountain west issue, and the warmth for most of the conus outside the eastern seaboard and lakes is probably the disconnect between extreme -WPO and +EPO.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Correct. March is the snowiest with April as second. We randomly get massive upslope storms in March and April, and less consistent snowy days. If we get a low tracking near the NM/CO border, and if it's strong enough to tap into gulf moisture, we get absolutely slammed. By far our heaviest snow events. Flakes are HUGE and it comes down at inches per hour.