2026 ENSO Updates
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Kingarabian
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
Will be interesting to see if this El Nino event will bring things back to normal especially if the PDO continues to warm and the SOI cooperates. Do we see a below 10 NS Atlantic hurricane season and hyperactive WPAC and EPAC seasons? Will the CPAC behave like 2014-2018?
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
Kingarabian wrote:2026-02 -0.2696 PDO
JMA had the PDO warming up to -0.26 the warmest in nearly 6 years by their measures.
Any link to JMA PDO data?
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Kingarabian
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
cycloneye wrote:Kingarabian wrote:2026-02 -0.2696 PDO
JMA had the PDO warming up to -0.26 the warmest in nearly 6 years by their measures.
Any link to JMA PDO data?
https://www.data.jma.go.jp/kaiyou/data/ ... do/pdo.txt
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
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cycloneye
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
The Euro is not holding back. The mean is at +2.5C
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DorkyMcDorkface
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
Do keep in mind the Euro has a known warm bias when it comes to ENSO. Not saying a Super Niño isn't in the cards but it would not surprise me if it's being too bullish on that front
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dexterlabio
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
No way this event couldn't top 2023. I remember talks about that year lacking significant WWB events to drive El Niño to strong threshold, yet it happened.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Kingarabian
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Re: 2026 ENSO Updates
dexterlabio wrote:No way this event couldn't top 2023. I remember talks about that year lacking significant WWB events to drive El Niño to strong threshold, yet it happened.
2023 El Nino event was pretty odd tbh. Still dont know what to make of it till this day.
This year's event is behaving much more traditionally so far.
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