Texas Spring 2026

[wxman22]

Enhanced risk issued today.

[TomballEd]

Enhanced risk issued today.

https://i.postimg.cc/Hk24KHnd/IMG_0763.png
https://i.postimg.cc/MpDb4xHH/IMG_0764.png

My wife gets home late, Ryan Hall on YouTube, 'gorilla hail' (I think Reed Timmer invented the term) and major tornadoes. Bad thing about the stronger tornadoes, they'll be near Chicago and Kenosha and the suburbs. My first night out of boot camp, we went to Kenosha and drank way too much, I was 18 which was legal in Wisconsin in 1982. I have a feeling bad things happened on Friday and Saturday nights when Illinois youth drove N to legally drink. Drunk inexperienced drivers are far worse than just inexperienced drivers. Drunk drivers of any experience level is dangerous, of course.

[Ntxw]

Illinois and Michigan seems to be a repeating magnet as the early spring tornado alley for 2026.

[Stratton23]

Looks like better agreement today with a strong - NAO greenland blocking signature setting up shop, and perhaps retrograding into central canada, that has my concern because that massive block could slow down and potentially cause a storm system to get stuck across texas, will be watching the flooding threat in the coming period ahead

[ElectricStorm]

Today is obviously much more serious than the previous two days now that we have adequate forcing. I do wonder if storm mode today will end up being messy but if anything can remain discrete it could be a strong tornado producer. CIG2 hail area is now expanded into central OK as well. Could be an interesting day.

[Ntxw]

Looks like better agreement today with a strong - NAO greenland blocking signature setting up shop, and perhaps retrograding into central canada, that has my concern because that massive block could slow down and potentially cause a storm system to get stuck across texas, will be watching the flooding threat in the coming period ahead

Cool weekend ahead (actual below normal and not just "not as hot",) looking forward to it.

[HockeyTx82]

The clouds are very thick and it's kind of cool outside here walking the UNT Campus for lunch. I'm not expecting much of anything and I think the HRRR confirms that today.

[wxman22]

Supercells staring to develop.

[Quixotic]

Illinois and Michigan seems to be a repeating magnet as the early spring tornado alley for 2026.

Little bit concerned about the track pattern as it seems to be west and well north. This is something we see towards summer not the middle of April

[wxman22]

It's pretty busy up here right now.

[rwfromkansas]

Yeah I’m a bit concerned. This is a June pattern. WTX up to upper MW.

Not a good sign for the rest of spring here possibly.

[Brent]

I'm not mad the severe weather is falling apart but when we get a real day some year nobody is gonna believe it now. I mean the models are just unreliable now. It's been happening for months going back to January at least. The RRFS is replacing the NAM and was totally wrong today

And yeah you don't have to go very far east of me to find much worse drought conditions. The posts from Arkansas even are grim about rain. It's pretty much summer in Dixie. Not good

[wxman22]

Storms have clustered up enough that i think the tornado risk is fairly low now. There may be some damaging winds with that bow echo though.

[Brent]

Turning into widespread rain here at least. Could be worse

[ElectricStorm]

Well the rain is certainly nice but a pretty big bust compared to expectations for severe weather.

Another day of dryline action tomorrow, 0z HRRR fires cells further west than previous runs although tomorrow will depend on how quickly tonight's mess moves out.

On another note the 18z GFS is nuclear for OK/KS on Friday Probably won't hold but that would likely be a major outbreak if something like that happened. May have capping concerns further south though.

[wxman22]

What stopped today from being a bigger event was that the cap was too weak. Too many storms developed and competed for energy with each other.Once the supercells left the dryline they merged into multicellular storms and clusters.

More dryline storms tomorrow afternoon and evening. During dryline season you never know what you’re going to get sometimes.Big days turn into small events and small days turn into big events out of nowhere lol.