Texas Spring 2026

[Brent]

DFW just cannot win can it

Though the storms north of them is definitely saving us

[Iceresistance]

DFW just cannot win can it

Though the storms north of them is definitely saving us

But that means we don't get the rain

[wxman22]

The RRFS outperformed the HRRR today.

Looks like there will be a squall line with the front Friday night with a damaging wind and spin up threat.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Large amount of blocking near Greenland, Its a week out, so I think we can start paying attention to the downstream effects. It's in the long range what happens after this, but much of the models are showing a large trough in the western United States and lots of rain into Texas soon after. Something for us to watch.

[Quixotic]

That was a pretty loltastic last 90 minutes for DFW

[Brent]

That was a pretty loltastic last 90 minutes for DFW

That was pretty epic tbh I even ran TWC's app and it had a big blob of storms over DFW 3 hours before. I can't believe it totally failed. Back in the day that was reliable

Meanwhile people in OKC are very done with this hype about severe weather. Nobody is gonna believe if tomorrow is actually a bad day

It's definitely been a weird week even up here though... Nothing has really gone like expected so it's like who knows. Even the whole tornado thing is kind of a blur haha. It was already past us by the time warnings got out(and the sirens were a complete embarrassment). They should be torn down if that is gonna be how it is now. Way after the storm was gone

I'm just ready for the 30s and 40s this weekend at this point. TWC has 39 Sunday morning

[FloppaHorn]

Let me preface this by stating that this is in no way a complaint but,
I think my house got, maybe .4 of an inch over the past week. Crazy because both the maps and the apps had 50%, 60%, etc... for every daily forecast for 7 days. There was a day - I think last Saturday - where my exit off of the Bush Tollway got absolutely deluged while my house, a mere 1.5 miles away, didn't get a drop. I think this DFW rain hole might be my fault.

[Brent]

Let me preface this by stating that this is in no way a complaint but,
I think my house got, maybe .4 of an inch over the past week. Crazy because both the maps and the apps had 50%, 60%, etc... for every daily forecast for 7 days. There was a day - I think last Saturday - where my exit off of the Bush Tollway got absolutely deluged while my house, a mere 1.5 miles away, didn't get a drop. I think this DFW rain hole might be my fault.

Ha I dunno what to say.... I was there for 6 years left in 2021 but my first winter spring in DFW was amazing and then it all fell apart

Ironically February 2021 was after I had already signed my lease up here

[Ntxw]

The systems are shearing out as they move northeast, not too surprised it has been further north and west and weakens (unless social media which sees explosive parameters and thinks every system will blow up severe weather everywhere.)

Friday will have an undercutting cold front, which historically can limit severe weather for us, maybe further north and east in the midwest. Many may not receive much rain at all with this front. But cool weather .

[TomballEd]

3 inches on an ensemble mean at 15 days is impressive. GEFS and Euro ensembles are generally on the same page with this one.




Weekend after this one bears watching.

[Iceresistance]

That was a pretty loltastic last 90 minutes for DFW

That was pretty epic tbh I even ran TWC's app and it had a big blob of storms over DFW 3 hours before. I can't believe it totally failed. Back in the day that was reliable

Meanwhile people in OKC are very done with this hype about severe weather. Nobody is gonna believe if tomorrow is actually a bad day

It's definitely been a weird week even up here though... Nothing has really gone like expected so it's like who knows. Even the whole tornado thing is kind of a blur haha. It was already past us by the time warnings got out(and the sirens were a complete embarrassment). They should be torn down if that is gonna be how it is now. Way after the storm was gone

I'm just ready for the 30s and 40s this weekend at this point. TWC has 39 Sunday morning

I've seen chatter that Friday is super conditional for Oklahoma and Kansas

[wxman22]

The NAM is showing 30’s here Sunday morning.

[txtwister78]

 https://x.com/i/status/2044786778679411128

[Stratton23]

looks like a prolonged period of potentially cooler temperatures and wetter weather are coming up next week thanks to a strong - NAO block retrograding into canada, looks very stormy, and should see some cooler air as well, no complaints here, summer keeps getting pushed back and im loving every second of it

[wxman22]

We have had some wonderful rainfall totals in portions of west Texas this month. Keep it coming.

[CaptinCrunch]

The systems are shearing out as they move northeast, not too surprised it has been further north and west and weakens (unless social media which sees explosive parameters and thinks every system will blow up severe weather everywhere.)

Friday will have an undercutting cold front, which historically can limit severe weather for us, maybe further north and east in the midwest. Many may not receive much rain at all with this front. But cool weather .

Even Pete Delkus said yesterday on the 6pm forecast just how bad the models have been over the last month. At least he acknowledged the models have been craptastic, and Delkus normally doesn't make those type of comments. The models have been poor, the forecast have been poor for DFW proper.

He even said the cold front will only bring light showers, and not everyone will see precip with it. As for the weekend upper 60s to mid 70s for highs, and as for any model forecast for next week or beyond? Take it with a grain of salt at best...

[HockeyTx82]

The systems are shearing out as they move northeast, not too surprised it has been further north and west and weakens (unless social media which sees explosive parameters and thinks every system will blow up severe weather everywhere.)

Friday will have an undercutting cold front, which historically can limit severe weather for us, maybe further north and east in the midwest. Many may not receive much rain at all with this front. But cool weather .

Even Pete Delkus said yesterday on the 6pm forecast just how bad the models have been over the last month. At least he acknowledged the models have been craptastic, and Delkus normally doesn't make those type of comments. The models have been poor, the forecast have been poor for DFW proper.

He even said the cold front will only bring light showers, and not everyone will see precip with it. As for the weekend upper 60s to mid 70s for highs, and as for any model forecast for next week or beyond? Take it with a grain of salt at best...

But Scarecasting is a business

[txtwister78]

The systems are shearing out as they move northeast, not too surprised it has been further north and west and weakens (unless social media which sees explosive parameters and thinks every system will blow up severe weather everywhere.)

Friday will have an undercutting cold front, which historically can limit severe weather for us, maybe further north and east in the midwest. Many may not receive much rain at all with this front. But cool weather .

Even Pete Delkus said yesterday on the 6pm forecast just how bad the models have been over the last month. At least he acknowledged the models have been craptastic, and Delkus normally doesn't make those type of comments. The models have been poor, the forecast have been poor for DFW proper.

He even said the cold front will only bring light showers, and not everyone will see precip with it. As for the weekend upper 60s to mid 70s for highs, and as for any model forecast for next week or beyond? Take it with a grain of salt at best...

But Scarecasting is a business

Meh...only if one chooses to get caught up within it and give that approach the attention (clicks) it needs in order to survive/remain in the weather community mainstream?

Everyone has a choice to make in that regard in other words. If you're just looking at models alone you're doing it wrong anyway so nothing earth shattering there on that front.

[ElectricStorm]

Lapse rates tomorrow are looking pretty poor and along with a strong cap and cloud cover I doubt tomorrow goes big around here. Could just be an overnight line along the crashing cold front. We'll see if that changes at all in the morning.

The environment in the midwest though is easily the most potent of the year so far. Might get wild up there if storm mode is favorable.

[Stratton23]

its far out but man the 18z GFS run is extremely wet for central and se texas, thats a very wet look, but also a classic flooding setup signal