TPC mentions SW caribbean area

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cycloneye
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TPC mentions SW caribbean area

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 29, 2003 5:28 pm

http://storm2k.nhcwx.com/cgi-bin/hw3.cg ... hwvmetric=

For the first time they mention this area that some global models are honking on (GFS,NOGAPS,CMC and others) as I posted in another thread so let's see if development happens after the official season date is passed.But the US has nothing to worrie about this as it will move NE towards hispanola or Puerto Rico with the SW flow that the cold front that has turned down the temps in the eastern seaboard moves east in the atlantic.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Nov 29, 2003 7:23 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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ColdFront77

#2 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Nov 29, 2003 5:43 pm

There is apparently no way this very strong cold front will weaken and/or not have enough of "a reach" to bring this shower and thunderstorm activity anywhere but northeastward.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 29, 2003 7:24 pm

Yes Tom the Us wont see whatever this system does as the flow will be from SW to NE in the caribbean but where I am in PR we may see bad weather by late week.
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rainstorm

#4 Postby rainstorm » Sat Nov 29, 2003 11:02 pm

very interesting!!
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about this system...

#5 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sat Nov 29, 2003 11:25 pm

If this develops into even a weak tropical cyclone, it will likely stay in the caribbean and avoid the US. That's the latest thinking right now. We'll see!!!


Also Lupit is weakening east of Japan with winds at last check sustained at 105 mph. This thing will weaken throughout the next few days.

Jim
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#6 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Nov 29, 2003 11:52 pm

Image
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ColdFront77

Re: about this system...

#7 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Nov 29, 2003 11:54 pm

cycloneye wrote:Yes Tom the Us wont see whatever this system does as the flow will be from SW to NE in the caribbean but where I am in PR we may see bad weather by late week.

WXBUFFJIM wrote:If this develops into even a weak tropical cyclone, it will likely stay in the caribbean and avoid the US. That's the latest thinking right now. We'll see!!!

I agree with the assessment of the this feature, what ever it does will move northeastward, but after all these years there may of been a strong cold front that has missed this sort of system and/or the front could rapidly weaken, at just the same rate that a front can strengthen. :)

Thus, like Jim said, this is the latest thinking right now.
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