EURO PAINTS A MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR THE EAST COAST

Stormsfury · #21 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 10:39 pm

QCWx wrote:Yeah I think the original high on the PD storm was supposed to be what 1042? I believe it ended up 1045-1046 which saved my area a devastating ice storm.

It was even stronger ... I believe it was 1050 mb ... although, 12 hr surface interval maps don't help my case ... definitely was 1046mb on Feb. 16th, 2003 at 12z ...

BTW, are you QueenCityWx at WWBB and Jeremy (TWC)?

Stormsfury · #22 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 10:42 pm

Also the ETA recognizing P-Type Issues in the NC Mountains on the 00z run ...

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.etausptype.html

#23 Postby **RNS** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 10:42 pm

and the position of the high is likely to be the same as well per the EC...

#24 Postby **RNS** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 10:44 pm

Also the ETA recognizing P-Type Issues in the NC Mountains on the 00z run ...

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.etausptype.html

its completely missing the CAD situation...

HuffWx · #25 Postby **HuffWx** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 10:51 pm

Eta ran to warm at the surface and too cool at 850 to 750 mb....during the PDS.

GFS was to cool at 850.

Made the ETA look good at the surface..runs event warmer.

Huff

QCWx · #26 Postby **QCWx** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 10:52 pm

Darnit..

Busted :lol:

#27 Postby **RNS** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 10:56 pm

Also...anybody notice the EC/s closed low near spain...it prefectly teleconnects to whats going on here in the east...

QCWx · #28 Postby **QCWx** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 10:57 pm

That wedge signature on the PDS map is a thing of beauty...

Stormsfury · #29 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 10:58 pm

Yep ... totally agreed (warm bias) ...

Here's another analysis of the PDS 4-panel on Feb 16th, 2003 at 12z ..

#30 Postby **RNS** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 11:00 pm

and it will be again for the coming event...though i dont think the high will be that strong.

PDS featured a strong high and weak coastal low...this should to a degree be a reverse...with a MUCH stronger coastal low and a weaker high (most likely in the 1030s)

stormraiser · #31 Postby **stormraiser** » Mon Dec 01, 2003 11:17 pm

NE Ohio, keep an eye out. NWS BUF seems to think something may happen.

2001kx · #32 Postby **2001kx** » Tue Dec 02, 2003 12:16 am

what snow potential do i have here in central,pa(about 50 miles west of st.college)

Anonymous · #33 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Dec 02, 2003 12:38 am

Okay folks, I'm dying with suspense...........................What do you think we will get here in Woodbridge, Va?

Should I get my snow shovels out?

-The JEB SnowBlitz!!!!!!

#34 Postby **Stephanie** » Tue Dec 02, 2003 10:05 am

I still have rain/snow/wind in the forecast for Sunday for my area. I may be pretty close to my prediction of the first snowfall of my area of December 17. We've had early December snowfalls before. It'll be interesting!!

JCT777 · #35 Postby **JCT777** » Tue Dec 02, 2003 10:26 am

At this point, I still believe this is primarily a rain event (at least for my area). But if the EC continues to show a colder/wintry solution for another 24 hours, and other models show some agreement with the EC, then I may have to jump on the sleigh.

EURO PAINTS A MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR THE EAST COAST

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