Latest RUC indicates snow for most of NC next 12 hours...

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Stormsfury
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Latest RUC indicates snow for most of NC next 12 hours...

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Dec 03, 2003 10:21 pm

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#2 Postby HuffWx » Wed Dec 03, 2003 10:43 pm

Yeah, trends are a tad colder SF...

Literally, GFS gives me 6+ tommorow before the sleet and ZR.

Huff
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#3 Postby QCWx » Wed Dec 03, 2003 10:59 pm

Could this continue to trend colder like the PDS storm?
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Dec 03, 2003 11:08 pm

QCWx wrote:Could this continue to trend colder like the PDS storm?


Possibly ... and wouldn't be surprised. There was quite a bust in temperature forecasts in the favored damming regions today (like usual) in NE GA, and North Carolina ... looking at Intellicast's P-Type Radar (oversensitive to virga), snow is falling aloft well into South Carolina this evening ...

Remember, if the precipitation holds firm tonight, with very low SFC DP's, and cooling processes due to diabatic and evaporational cooling, steady precip will serve to only reinforce the wedge ...

Furthermore, at least early on, before the warm surge at 850mb (and higher) takes over during the afternoon, glaciation at the 850mb mb level (low level cloudiness freezing over with the diabatic processes higher aloft reaching down into the 5000 ft level), could give many areas an unexpected shot of snow before the overrunning processes change the precip over to freezing ...

Just food for thought.

SF
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#5 Postby QCWx » Wed Dec 03, 2003 11:30 pm

BTW...

We just had a pretty good sleet shower pass through. It's approxamately 5-6 hours early.
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When I look at this..

#6 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Wed Dec 03, 2003 11:35 pm

This could mean a colder solution. Western North Carolina, the triad and the triangle area are no strangers to icestorms. We need to keep an eye on that area for the potential of damaging ice through tomorrow. 3/4-1 inch of ice is not impossible given the moisture feed advecting north from the GOM and overriding the cold surface dome. Seriously Get ready to lose power in parts of the western Carolinas with the ice potentially significant through Thursday.

Jim
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