Odette has reached peak intensity

#1 Postby **ncweatherwizard** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 11:55 am

Visible images show a potential weakening trend clearly; although I stop short of saying "Odette is weakening" for at least a few hours, until what I see is definite or not.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

With my track forecast I almost feel as if I should already push the 36 hour plot a little eastward, thinking that the hook east won't occur as late as the forecast plots insinuate. This would result in a 48 hour coord farther south and east. Intensity forecast is fairly confident.

http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweather/odette.html

#2 Postby **wxman57** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 12:04 pm

Pressure rose from 993 to 997 mb in the past few hours. It appears that Odette is on the eastern side of a large ring of relatively low pressure. We've seen this many times with sheared systems this year.

HurricaneGirl · #3 Postby **HurricaneGirl** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 12:16 pm

I hope it doesn't rain too much there in Puerto Rico. :eek:

PTrackerLA · #4 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 12:32 pm

Looks like she's getting sheared slightly...still think it could become a cane though.

#5 Postby **wxman57** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 1:32 pm

Sheared more than slightly - have you seen the upper air forecast for tonight/tomorrow? Shear has only just BEGUN. Chances of Odette becoming a hurricane are remote at best.

Josephine96 · #6 Postby **Josephine96** » Fri Dec 05, 2003 2:27 pm

When Odette weakens.. we can at least say.. We had a pre and post season storm

Odette has reached peak intensity

Odette has reached peak intensity

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