Winter Storm Watch Issued for My Area

[Colin]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
350 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2003

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-060>062-131000-
BERKS PA-CARBON PA-LEHIGH PA-MONROE PA-MORRIS NJ-NORTHAMPTON PA-
SUSSEX NJ-WARREN NJ-

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP AND BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN OFF THE CAROLINA
COASTLINE DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. AT THE SAME TIME, A COLD
CANADIAN AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE OVER EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY FROM AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE
NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE. DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON SUNDAY, THE
SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE DELMARVA AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING AND WILL LIKELY OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE REGION BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING IN AIR OFF THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THIS WILL CHANGE THE SNOW OVER TO RAIN IN
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY BEFORE
ANY LARGE ACCUMULATIONS CAN OCCUR. HOWEVER, OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL STAY
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW OR A MIXTURE OF SNOW, SLEET, AND FREEZING RAIN.

AT THIS TIME, THE EXACT TRACK AND TIMING OF THE LOW IS UNCERTAIN,
MAKING THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE RAIN/SNOW LINE DIFFICULT TO
DETERMINE AT THIS TIME. DESPITE THIS UNCERTAINTY, THERE IS A RISK
FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW AND ICE FOR THE POCONOS, LEHIGH
VALLEY, AND NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 INCHES
OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE. BECAUSE OF THIS RISK, THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THESE AREAS.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT
WINTER WEATHER EVENT WITHIN THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS, BUT NOT IMMINENT.
FUTURE DRIVING AND WALKING CONDITIONS MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS, SO IT IS
IMPORTANT TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS, AND LISTEN FOR LATER
STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION REGARDING THIS POTENTIAL WINTER STORM. ALSO,
INFORMATION IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI (IN LOWER CASE).

$$

FRUGIS/COPE

[Wannabewxman79]

This is interesting, it seems more cold air is going to be pulled down now......

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
223 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2003



.POSSIBILITY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PIEDMONT
AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.


NCZ008>010-025-026-040-041-073>076-131000-
CHATHAM NC-DURHAM NC-FRANKLIN NC-GRANVILLE NC-LEE NC-MONTGOMERY NC-
MOORE NC-STANLY NC-VANCE NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBEMARLE...CARTHAGE...CARY...CREEDMOOR...
DURHAM...HENDERSON...LOUISBURG...OXFORD...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...
SANFORD...SILER CITY...SOUTHERN PINES...TROY AND WARRENTON
223 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2003


...THREAT OF SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PIEDMONT
AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING...

COLD CANADIAN AIR WILL BUILD SOUTH INTO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. A STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE UP THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF THE
STORM SYSTEM WITH LIGHT RAIN OVERSPREADING THE AREA LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

IT APPEARS THAT IT MAY BE COLD ENOUGH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEAST PIEDMONT AND SOUTHERN PIEDMONT FOR THE RAIN TO MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN FOR A TIME SATURDAY EVENING. LOCATIONS WITH
THE GREATEST THREAT OF FREEZING RAIN ARE ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE
FROM HENDERSON TO RALEIGH TO PITTSBORO TO ALBEMARLE. ALL OF THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO RAIN BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY
MORNING.

SOME UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE FORECAST BUT A LIGHT GLAZE OF
FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE. ANY ICE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED TO BE
CONFINED TO ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRANCHES AND POWER LINES.
SLICK SPOTS MAY DEVELOP ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES.

AS THE FORECAST BECOMES MORE CERTAIN...THE ISSUANCE OF A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR THE NORTHEAST PIEDMONT AND
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT SATURDAY NIGHT. RESIDENTS
AND TRAVELERS SHOULD BE ON THE ALERT FOR FUTURE ISSUANCES FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER EVENT.

$$

BLAES

[Colin]

Yeah I see..........dangerous situation indeed....

[JCT777]

Looks interesting, Colin. A solid 6" of snow seems like a good bet for your area, maybe a little more.

[ncweatherwizard]

Mentioning the NC weather statement (as I listen to the exact text over the radio); although, the track projectory seems to run too far west, I think we are too far east again for this one in Durham. Of course, I can't be but so confident with this since my major work is in tropical met, but I've had my bit of luck (and busts) with winter wx as well (although tropical research this winter will limit that).