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Winter Weather Discussion

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azsnowman
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"Here we go AGAIN :0)!"

#1 Postby azsnowman » Sun Dec 14, 2003 11:34 am

WOOOHOOO! It doesn't appear to be much moisture associated with this BUT.......one of the local mets said that there's a possibility that MORE moisture MAY be drawn into this system by tonight!


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
700 AM MST SUN DEC 14 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE
AREA TODAY. AS A RESULT...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP BY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS FROM 30 TO
40 MPH...ESPECIALLY FROM THE KAIBAB PLATEAU TO THE WESTERN MOGOLLON
RIM.

OVERNIGHT...AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA...THERE WILL
BE INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN AND SNOW...ALONG WITH STRONG GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS. SNOW LEVELS WILL FALL TO 4000 FEET OVER THE KAIBAB
PLATEAU TO 6000 FEET NEAR THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. MOST AREAS ABOVE 4000
FEET FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM NORTHWARD TO THE UTAH BORDER WILL RECEIVE
AN INCH OF SNOW OR LESS...SOME AREAS FROM THE KAIBAB PLATEAU TO THE
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS WILL RECEIVE 2 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE WEATHER SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH SNOW ENDING IN
THE WEST IN THE MORNING AND THEN IN THE EAST BY AFTERNOON. BREEZY
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AND COLD TEMPERATURES WILL PRODUCE WIND
CHILL VALUES IN THE TEENS AND 20S ON MONDAY...MAKING IT FEEL BITTER
COLD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEFINITION OF HAZARDOUS




Dennis 8-)
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Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Dec 14, 2003 11:40 am

I didn't know they did Hazardous Weather Outlooks in Arizona lol
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#3 Postby wx247 » Sun Dec 14, 2003 12:36 pm

Josephine96 wrote:I didn't know they did Hazardous Weather Outlooks in Arizona lol


I believe they are standard procedure all across the U.S.
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#4 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Dec 14, 2003 1:47 pm

LOL WX.. I know that.. I meant it sarcastically because Arizona always seems to have the same weather. Hot and dry
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#5 Postby roarusdogus » Sun Dec 14, 2003 3:47 pm

Hey Dennis,
Is this cold season starting off better than last year in your area? Also, how does what is happening there so far compare to normal?
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#6 Postby azsnowman » Sun Dec 14, 2003 4:15 pm

roarusdogus wrote:Hey Dennis,
Is this cold season starting off better than last year in your area? Also, how does what is happening there so far compare to normal?


AH MAN.....it's been WAY below normal temp wise, I'm dippin' down to the low teens and SINGLE digits, night before last, I had a low of "-2°" :eek: The precip, runnin' a *little* below normal BUT.....if this pattern holds like it has been, we *should* end up normal (x's his fingers!)

Dennis
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#7 Postby azsnowman » Sun Dec 14, 2003 4:20 pm

Josephine96 wrote:LOL WX.. I know that.. I meant it sarcastically because Arizona always seems to have the same weather. Hot and dry


"ROFLMBO!" Naaaa......that's the common misconception people make about Az....it's NOT all desert and HOTTER than HADES :lol: I live in the most prestine part of Az, in fact, if someone blindfolded you, fly you to Az, then drove you up here, you'd SWEAR you were in Colorado, Montana, Wyoming! My highs in the summer VERY rarely reach 90°, winter highs range from 10-40° with TONS O' snow, my average snowfall here at the house.....I'm at 7200' in elevation, 132" per year 8-)

Dennis 8-)
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weatherlover427

#8 Postby weatherlover427 » Sun Dec 14, 2003 4:47 pm

Hey Dennis, it's raining here right now :D so it's probably headed your way :) .
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#9 Postby azsnowman » Sun Dec 14, 2003 5:51 pm

"YEAH BABY, YEAH!" Bring it ON! The winds just now startin' to CRANK.....I've got gusts up to 37 mph already!

Dennis
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#10 Postby wx247 » Sun Dec 14, 2003 7:50 pm

azsnowman wrote:"YEAH BABY, YEAH!" Bring it ON! The winds just now startin' to CRANK.....I've got gusts up to 37 mph already!

Dennis


*picturing Dennis in the Austin Powers movie* :wink:
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#11 Postby Stephanie » Sun Dec 14, 2003 9:32 pm

I think that the season has gotten off quite slowly for you Dennis, but I certainly do hope that it ends up being at least a "normal" year for you precipitation wise!
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#12 Postby Lehigh » Mon Dec 15, 2003 3:43 am

This is what you are looking at AZ........for your area on Tuesday......

I really see nothing occuring ______________________________________

Image

Image
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#13 Postby azsnowman » Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:04 am

"BUST!" BIG TIME BUST! *SIGH*.......AH WELL, soon enough I guess!

Lehigh.....the low BLEW thru here last night doing about 1000 miles per hour "LOL!" Had a peak gust of 65 mph at 0231 this morning, then that was it...the main thrust of this system went to the north into Utah, Colorado etc......heads up to the east, it's coming and FAST!

Dennis
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#14 Postby wx247 » Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:07 am

Well... maybe you will see some real soon.
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#15 Postby azsnowman » Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:33 am

That's right Garrett! Our snow REALLY doesn't start until the middle of January and lasts until April SO.....anything we receive before then, is well, a "Christmas Present!"

Dennis
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