My thoughts on the upcoming mid-week storm...

Winter Weather Discussion

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Stormsfury
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My thoughts on the upcoming mid-week storm...

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Dec 14, 2003 5:50 pm

http://www.stormsfury1.com

Select My Forecast/Prognostic Discussions on the menu toolbar ... be patient (if you're on dial-up) ... plenty of maps to ingest ...

SF
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#2 Postby Anonymous » Sun Dec 14, 2003 6:00 pm

i live like 15 miles from the coast in Northern Ocean County New Jersey. What are the chances of a significant snow for us?
4-6+
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#3 Postby Colin » Sun Dec 14, 2003 6:11 pm

Excellent analysis, SF! :) I would love to see you come out with a map or something...I'm sure you'd do excellent. :)
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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Dec 14, 2003 7:36 pm

1evans wrote:i live like 15 miles from the coast in Northern Ocean County New Jersey. What are the chances of a significant snow for us?
4-6+


Based on the ETA/GFS alone ... you'd likely start as snow or frozen but change over to rain, and then back to snow on the backlash ...
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#5 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Dec 14, 2003 7:38 pm

Colin wrote:Excellent analysis, SF! :) I would love to see you come out with a map or something...I'm sure you'd do excellent. :)


I rarely ever do snowfall maps or maps in general ...

1) I don't really have the time/patience to do so...
2) Many, many other knowledgable posters putting out good quality snowfall forecast maps ...

But thanks for the compliment, Colin.

SF
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#6 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Dec 14, 2003 8:06 pm

Updated as of 8:00 pm on the website ...

ECMWF also holds onto the idea, and bombs the low to 973 mb from secondary cyclogenesis ... pure Miller A scenario as depicted by the EURO ...

SF
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