Something brewing for NYE???

[Stephanie]

...on the EC;

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _288.shtml

[JCT777]

That's pretty far out, so I wouldn't hold my breath. But anything that gives us a snow chance is worth watching.

[RNS]

That's pretty far out, so I wouldn't hold my breath. But anything that gives us a snow chance is worth watching.

There is some support from the GFS ensembels as well john...

but what i would be more conecrned with is the arctic outbreak coming the first week of the new year...and with the STJ undercutting the PAC ridge and forcing the strong block to develop along the north shore of AK...theres plenty of potential for trouble...

[Stephanie]

I knew that 12 days out and the GFS model is usually pretty laughable, but the GFS usually does pick up on a storm of some kind, though doesn't really know what to do with it.

I recall a few days ago that there was a discussion on this board as well of some kind of storm for NY's.

[RNS]

I knew that 12 days out and the GFS model is usually pretty laughable, but the GFS usually does pick up on a storm of some kind, though doesn't really know what to do with it.

I recall a few days ago that there was a discussion on this board as well of some kind of storm for NY's.

The operational run of the GFS will normally pick upon a system one run...and then lose it the next run.

Until there is increasing support from the European and various other meadium-range models in addition to the GFS ensembles...i/m NOT enclined to take it that seriously.

The GFS operational run MAY be on to something...though the details are very unclear. IF infact it is. though previously stated...the ideas pressed by the GFS operational run which you posted above did have some some support among the 0z ensembles.

[verycoolnin]

That would be some hell of a storm for me. That looks a little bit like the storm that brought 10' of snow early January of 02'.