I'm CONFUSED!!!!!!!!!

Winter Weather Discussion

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NCGal
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I'm CONFUSED!!!!!!!!!

#1 Postby NCGal » Sun Dec 28, 2003 7:01 pm

For Raleigh, NC on Jan. 7th....Accuweather says :ICY:, The weather channel says :SHOWERS: and the Farmer's Almanac says: RAIN TURNING TO SNOW......... Are there any indications that we will have a winter storm on or around the 7th???? Thanks in advance.
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WoodstockWX

#2 Postby WoodstockWX » Sun Dec 28, 2003 7:08 pm

models are hinting at a possible east coast winter storm jan 5-7
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Anonymous

#3 Postby Anonymous » Sun Dec 28, 2003 7:46 pm

WoodstockWX wrote:models are hinting at a possible east coast winter storm jan 5-7


If it can happen, BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


JEB
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#4 Postby Colin » Sun Dec 28, 2003 9:04 pm

LOL...most likely rain
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#5 Postby Cheesy_Poofs » Sun Dec 28, 2003 9:39 pm

I agree with Colin.
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WoodstockWX

#6 Postby WoodstockWX » Sun Dec 28, 2003 10:01 pm

let's not live on one model here
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#7 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Dec 28, 2003 10:19 pm

Exactly, and that run wouldn't put NC in any threat of wintry weather, but

1) it's the op GFS
2) it's the op GFS past 84 hours
3) it's the op GFS :wink:

The 12z GFS ensemble members show quite a spread in the 500mb and SFC placement of features, which conflicts with the 12z op GFS, however, the common theme from BOTH do not support a wintry threat for NC, ATT. (Subject to change with each run which the GFS is famous for. :wink: )

500mb 12z GFS ENS
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SFC/QPF 12z GFS ENS
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Lowpressure
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#8 Postby Lowpressure » Mon Dec 29, 2003 3:51 pm

It seems models are having a tough time with this winter as of late.
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#9 Postby Suncat » Mon Dec 29, 2003 6:02 pm

I saw the same thing on AccuWeather (ice for the 7th) but now it has changed to rain. Which ever it becomes, I hope it cools off soon becuase some of my shrubs are starting to leaf out! :roll:
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Re: I'm CONFUSED!!!!!!!!!

#10 Postby FLguy » Mon Dec 29, 2003 8:47 pm

NCGal wrote:For Raleigh, NC on Jan. 7th....Accuweather says :ICY:, The weather channel says :SHOWERS: and the Farmer's Almanac says: RAIN TURNING TO SNOW......... Are there any indications that we will have a winter storm on or around the 7th???? Thanks in advance.


Something MAY be up in mid january time frame...however exactly what is and will remain a big question until we get closer...

Accuweather long range is based on the GFS operational runs...it changes with the model...lol...
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