***CURRENT WATCHES/WARNINGS/STORMS/REPORTS IN THE US***

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

Note: All data are considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1920 75 COURTLAND SOUTHAMPTON VA 3671 7706 PUBLIC REPORT. PENNY SIZE HAIL (AKQ)
Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1905 UNK COURTLAND SOUTHAMPTON VA 3671 7706 PUBLIC REPORT. A FEW TREES DOWN. (AKQ)
1922 60 DILLON DILLON SC 3441 7936 POWER LINES DOWN. (ILM)
1942 70 MARION MARION SC 3418 7939 TREES DOWN. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. 2 VEHICLES DAMAGED (ILM)

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2004 75 ONEIDA SCOTT TN 3650 8451 3/4 INCH PLUS HAIL SIZE IN ONEIDA AND HIGH POINT. TREES DOWN FROM HIGH WINDS IN BIG SPRINGS ROAD AREA. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (MRX)
2025 75 DEER LODGE MORGAN TN 3619 8474 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS COUNTY BACK ROADS. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (MRX)
Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2030 UNK CHARLESTON COUNTY CHARLESTON SC 3278 7994 TREES DOWN. TIME IS WHEN REPORT WAS RECEIVED. REPORT BY OFF-DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE. (CHS)
2045 UNK HUNTSVILLE SCOTT TN 3641 8448 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR HUNSTVILLE PLUS MANY AREAS COUNTY WIDE. LARGE HAIL REPORTED IN HUNTSVILLE. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT, (MRX)

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0143
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1108 PM CST SAT FEB 22 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...EXTREME SWRN NEBRASKA...WRN AND SOUTH
CENTRAL KS...NWRN OK/ERN OK PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 230508Z - 231315Z

HEAVY SNOW WITH RATES EXCEEDING 1 IN/HR ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP
TONIGHT...BEGINNING OVER ERN CO AND DEVELOPING SEWD OVER MUCH OF
WRN KS AND INTO NWRN OK BY EARLY MORNING.

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER SERN
CO...IN RESPONSE TO INTENSE UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIVING SEWD
THROUGH CO INTO NRN NM. AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
SEWD...THERMAL GRADIENTS WILL TIGHTEN AS COLD AIR SURGES SWD OUT
OF THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE AND WYOMING...WHILE AT THE SAME TIME
LOW LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION INCREASES OVER OK. CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS REFLECT INCREASING FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING OVER NERN CO
AND WRN NEBRASKA AS REFLECTIVITIES ARE INCREASING RAPIDLY.
FURTHER SOUTH OVER WRN OK...A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET
IS CAUSING A SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION TO DEVELOP. SNOW IS
EXPECTED OVER A LARGE REGION DUE TO FAVORABLE LARGE SCALE FORCING
/ DIFFERENTIAL DIVERGENCE. FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING WILL INCREASE
OVER NWRN KS AND HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING BY 8Z.
FURTHER SOUTH...THE NRN EDGE OF THE WARM ADVECTION PRECIPITATION
WILL TURN TO SNOW AS THE ATMOSPHERE SATURATES TONIGHT.

WHILE ANYWHERE WITHIN THE DISCUSSION AREA MAY RECEIVE 1 IN/HR
RATES...THE HEAVIEST SNOW RATES ARE EXPECTED WHERE THE STRONGEST
FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING AND LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION OVERLAP.
ETA AND RUC MODELS FORECAST THIS TO OCCUR APPROXIMATELY BETWEEN
12 AND 14Z...VERY CLOSE TO A DDC TO END LINE. STORM DURATION IS
NOT EXPECTED TO BE PARTICULARLY LONG...BUT 2-4 HOURS OF 1-2" / HR
SNOW RATES ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION.

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

Tornado Reports
Time F-Scale Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1632 UNK ASHEBORO RANDOLPH NC 3569 7983 DAMAGE TO ASHEBORO MALL. REPORTED BY FIRE DEPT. (RAH)
1735 UNK ASHEBORO RANDOLPH NC 3569 7983 DAMAGE TO SUPER 8 MOTEL AT HIGHWAY 220 AND 49 ROOF DAMAGE. (RAH)
2113 UNK 2 W OAKDALE BREATHITT KY 3754 8355 *** 2 DEAD, SEVERAL INJ *** TWO BUILDINGS DEMOLISHED. TEN MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DEMOLISHED. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN OR UPROOTED. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (JKL)
0435 UNK ASHEBORO RANDOLPH NC 3569 7983 DAMAGE TO SUPER 8 MOTEL AT HIGHWAY 220 AND 49 ROOF DAMAGE. (RAH)
Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1245 75 MADISON MORGAN GA 3358 8346 REPORTED BY MORGAN COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1351 75 WASHINGTON WILKES GA 3373 8273 REPORTED BY WILKES COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1435 75 UNION UNION SC 3471 8161 REPORTED AT 911 CENTER (GSP)
1520 88 6 S ROCK HILL YORK SC 3496 8116 HAM RADIO OPERATOR REPORTED NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN SPRINGDALE NEAR INTERSECTION OF INTERSTATE 77 AND HIGHWAY 21. (GSP)
1520 75 DECATUR MEIGS TN 3551 8480 REPORTED BY (MRX)
1802 75 10 NE LEXINGTON JESSAMINE KY 3816 8435 (SDF)
1802 75 10 NE LEXINGTON MCLEAN IL 4076 8862 (SDF)
1815 75 LAFAYETTE MACON TN 3651 8603 (BNA)
1920 75 COURTLAND SOUTHAMPTON VA 3671 7706 PUBLIC REPORT. PENNY SIZE HAIL (AKQ)
2000 88 GAINESVILLE ALACHUA FL 2964 8231 REPORTED BY SKYWARN SPOTTER. (JAX)
2004 75 WILLISTON LEVY FL 2938 8245 POWER LINES ALSO REPORTED DOWN. REPORTED BY HAM RADIO OPERATOR. (TBW)
2004 75 ONEIDA SCOTT TN 3650 8451 3/4 INCH PLUS HAIL SIZE IN ONEIDA AND HIGH POINT. TREES DOWN FROM HIGH WINDS IN BIG SPRINGS ROAD AREA. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (MRX)
2025 75 DEER LODGE MORGAN TN 3619 8474 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS COUNTY BACK ROADS. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (MRX)
2040 75 1 N WILLIAMSBURG WHITLEY KY 3674 8416 DIME-SIZED HAIL. REPORTED BY SPOTTERS. (JKL)
2050 75 ANNVILLE JACKSON KY 3731 8396 DIME-SIZED HAIL. REPORTED BY SPOTTERS. (JKL)
2052 100 5 W BOONEVILLE OWSLEY KY 3748 8378 QUARTER-SIZE HAIL. REPORTED BY SPOTTERS. (JKL)
2120 75 KINGSTON ROANE TN 3586 8451 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT (MRX)
2135 88 CAMPBELL COUNTY CAMPBELL TN 3638 8414 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT (MRX)
2214 75 1 NW PRESTONSBURG FLOYD KY 3767 8279 DIME-SIZED HAIL ALONG ABBOTT CREEK. REPORTED BY SPOTTERS. (JKL)
2215 75 THOUSANDSTICKS LESLIE KY 3718 8341 DIME-SIZED HAIL ALONG OSBORNE FORK. REPORTED BY SPOTTERS. (JKL)
2235 75 KNOXVILLE KNOX TN 3596 8393 OCCURRED ALONG I640. REPORTED BY SPOTTER. (MRX)
2235 175 INEZ MARTIN KY 3786 8253 GOLFBALL-SIZED HAIL. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (JKL)
2240 100 PRESTONSBURG FLOYD KY 3766 8278 QUARTER-SIZED HAIL. REPORTED BY SPOTTERS. (JKL)
2300 75 CRUM WAYNE WV 3790 8245 EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 0545 PM AND 0600 PM (RLX)
2312 75 EAST LYNN WAYNE WV 3816 8238 EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 0557 PM AND 0612 PM (RLX)
2325 100 FLEMING PIKE KY 3718 8268 QUARTER-SIZED HAIL. REPORTED BY DES DIRECTOR. (JKL)
2354 75 SPURLOCKVILLE LINCOLN WV 3813 8201 EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN 0639 PM AND 0654 PM (RLX)
0320 75 DECATUR MEIGS TN 3551 8480 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT (MRX)
Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1215 UNK COVINGTON NEWTON GA 3360 8386 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 142 EAST AND HIGHWAY 278. REPORTED BY NEWTON COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1220 UNK OLA HENRY GA 3343 8404 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 81 AND KEYS FERRY STREET. REPORTED BY HENRY COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1235 UNK MONROE WALTON GA 3378 8371 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY WALTON COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1245 UNK CUSSETA CHATTAHOOCHEE GA 3230 8476 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY CHATTAHOOCHEE COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1245 UNK MADISON MORGAN GA 3358 8346 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY MORGAN COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1300 UNK BUENA VISTA MARION GA 3231 8451 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY MARION COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1300 UNK REYNOLDS TAYLOR GA 3256 8410 TWO TREES DOWNED (ATL)
1300 UNK MONTICELLO JASPER GA 3330 8368 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY JASPER SHERIFFS' OFFICE. (ATL)
1300 UNK BETHLEHEM BARROW GA 3393 8371 POWER LINES DOWN ON BRISCO MILL ROAD. REPORTED BY BARROW COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1305 UNK STEPHENS OGLETHORPE GA 3380 8316 SEVERAL POWER LINES DOWN (ATL)
1315 UNK AMERICUS SUMTER GA 3206 8423 SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. REPORTED BY SUMTER COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1350 UNK WARNER ROBINS HOUSTON GA 3261 8360 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY HOUSTON COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1400 UNK JEFFERSONVILLE TWIGGS GA 3268 8335 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY TWIGGS COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1400 UNK LINCOLN COUNTY LINCOLN GA 3378 8241 LINCOLN CO SHERIFF OFFICE RECEIVED REPORT OF LARGE LIMBS WHICH KNOCKED POWER LINES DOWN AT 9 AM ON US HWY 221 EAST (CAE)
1415 UNK MCCORMICK COUNTY MCCORMICK SC 3390 8231 MCCORMICK CO SHERIFF OFFICE RECEIVED REPORT OF TREES DOWN ON SC HWY 28 NORTH THAT OCCURRED AT 915 AM (CAE)
1420 UNK COCHRAN BLECKLEY GA 3238 8335 NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. (ATL)
1427 UNK SPARTA HANCOCK GA 3326 8298 SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. REPORTED BY HANCOCK COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1430 UNK IRWINTON WILKINSON GA 3281 8316 SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. REPORTED BY WILKINSON COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1430 UNK UNION UNION SC 3471 8161 TWO TREES DOWN...ONE SW OF UNION...ONE NW OF UNION. REPORTED BY EOC. (GSP)
1440 UNK DUBLIN LAURENS GA 3253 8290 SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. REPORTED BY LAURENS COUNTY EMA. (ATL)
1445 UNK WARRENTON WARREN GA 3340 8266 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY WARREN COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1500 UNK WRIGHTSVILLE JOHNSON GA 3273 8271 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY JOHNSON COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1500 UNK LOUISVILLE JEFFERSON GA 3300 8239 POWER LINES DOWN. REPORTED BY JEFFERSON COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1500 UNK HADDEN GLASCOCK GA 3325 8263 SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN...AND SEVERAL CARS DAMAGED IN NORTH END OF COUNTY. (ATL)
1515 UNK SANDERSVILLE WASHINGTON GA 3298 8280 SEVERAL TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY WASHINGTON COUNTY 911. (ATL)
1520 UNK MCDUFFIE COUNTY MCDUFFIE GA 3348 8248 PEACHTREE CITY WFO RECEIVED REPORT OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN MCDUFFIE COUNTY FROM GLASCOCK COUNTY (CAE)
1534 UNK MATTHEWS MECKLENBURG NC 3511 8073 REPORTS OF 5 TREES DOWN. RECEIVED FROM MATTHEWS PD. (GSP)
1535 UNK VALDOSTA LOWNDES GA 3083 8328 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. TWO HOMES DAMAGED BY FALLEN TREES. REPORTED BY COUNTY 911. (TLH)
1540 UNK EDGEFIELD EDGEFIELD SC 3378 8191 HAM RADIO OPERATOR RELAYED REPORT OF TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 230. (CAE)
1540 UNK SALUDA SALUDA SC 3400 8176 HAM OPERATOR REPORTED ROOF BLOWN OFF A SHED IN TOWN OF SALUDA (CAE)
1540 UNK GEORGEVILLE CABARRUS NC 3531 8046 TWO TREES DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF US 601 AND NC 200. REPORTED BY EOC. (GSP)
1600 UNK ALSTON MONTGOMERY GA 3208 8248 NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN ALSTON AND UVALDA. ONE HOUSE DAMAGED BY WIND. (ATL)
1605 UNK EVANS COLUMBIA GA 3353 8213 PAM TUCKER EM COLUMBIA CO. GA REPORTED 4 HOMES WITH SERIOUS ROOFING AND SIDING DAMAGE IN TOWN OF EVANS FROM DOWNBURST WINDS (CAE)
1605 60 ALBEMARLE STANLY NC 3536 8021 NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. (RAH)
1610 UNK AIKEN AIKEN SC 3355 8171 AIKEN CO SHERIFF OFFICE RECEIVED REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN BOTH AIKEN AND WINDSOR AT 1110 AM IN AIKEN CO (CAE)
1610 UNK MONROE UNION NC 3498 8056 4 OR 5 TREES DOWN ACROSS WESTERN PART OF UNION COUNTY. REPORTED BY EOC. (GSP)
1615 UNK AUGUSTA RICHMOND GA 3348 8196 RICHMOND CO EOC REPORTED TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN WEST AUGUSTA AT 1115 AM (CAE)
1620 UNK 5 N DUPONT CLINCH GA 3106 8286 LARGE TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES DOWN. REPORTED BY THE GENERAL PUBLIC. (JAX)
1620 UNK LEXINGTON COUNTY LEXINGTON SC 3393 8126 SKYWARN REPORTER KEALHS REPORTED TREES DOWN ON POND BRANCH ROAD NEAR SC HWY 6 IN SOUTHERN LEXINGTON COUNTY (CAE)
1620 UNK SALUDA SALUDA SC 3400 8176 SKYWARN KE4FDL REPORTED REPORT FROM SALUDA CO SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED TREES DOWN IN TOWN OF SALUDA (CAE)
1625 60 MONTGOMERY COUNTY MONTGOMERY NC 3536 7986 TREES DOWN FROM NEW LONDON TO UWHARRIE (RAH)
1631 UNK BAXLEY APPLING GA 3176 8235 *** 1 INJ *** MOBILE HOME BLOWN OFF FOUNDATION AND DESTROYED. 1 INJURY NOT HOSPITALIZED. A SECOND MOBILE HOME DAMAGED. REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. (JAX)
1632 UNK ASHEBORO RANDOLPH NC 3569 7983 DAMAGE TO ASHEBORO MALL. MOBILE HOMES OVERTURNED AND A STEEPLE OFF A CHURCH REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. (RAH)
1645 UNK BURKE COUNTY BURKE GA 3305 8195 BURKE CO EMA REPORTED TREES DOWN IN BOTH NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF BURKE CO AT 1145 AM (CAE)
1650 60 10 SE BURLINGTON ALAMANCE NC 3598 7928 TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 87 SE OF BURLINGTON. (RAH)
1657 UNK RICHLAND COUNTY RICHLAND SC 3401 8098 SKYWARN REPORTER KF4LPK REPORTED TREES DOWN ALONG 1-20 EAST AND SC 277 AND TWO NOTCH ROAD (CAE)
1658 60 SILER CITY CHATHAM NC 3573 7946 TREES DOWN FROM STANLY TO SILER CITY. (RAH)
1700 UNK COLLINS TATTNALL GA 3218 8211 TREES DOWN ON ALBERT RUN ROAD. REPORTED BY TATTNALL WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1700 UNK ALINE CANDLER GA 3236 8216 TREES AND LIMBS DOWN. TIME IS ESTIMATE. REPORTED BY CANDLER WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1700 UNK SCARBORO JENKINS GA 3271 8186 VERY LARGE TREE LIMB DOWN. WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED TO 40 OR 50 MPH. REPORTED BY SPOTTER. (CHS)
1707 UNK LEXINGTON COUNTY LEXINGTON SC 3393 8126 SKYWARN REPORTER WD4XE REPORTED LARGE TREE LIMBS KNOCKING DOWN POWER LINES NEAR INTERSECTION OF SC HWY 6 AND NAZARETH CHURCH ROAD IN REDBANK (CAE)
1710 60 CHAPEL HILL ORANGE NC 3591 7906 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN AND AROUND CHAPEL HILL. SOME BLOCKING ROADS. (RAH)
1712 UNK KERSHAW COUNTY KERSHAW SC 3436 8058 SKYWARN REPORTER KF4LPK REPORTED TREES DOWN ALONG I-20 10-15 MILES EAST OF THE RICHLAND-KERSHAW COUNTY LINE (CAE)
1715 UNK DAISY EVANS GA 3215 8183 TREES DOWN. TIME IS WHEN REPORT WAS RECEIVED. REPORTED BY EVANS S.O. (CHS)
1715 60 DURHAM DURHAM NC 3601 7891 TREES DOWN IN AND AROUND DURHAM. SOME BLOCKING ROADS. (RAH)
1720 UNK MURFREESBORO RUTHERFORD TN 3584 8641 LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED TREES DOWN (BNA)
1730 UNK HINESVILLE LIBERTY GA 3184 8160 TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN COUNTYWIDE. REPORTED BY LIBERTY WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1730 UNK MENDES TATTNALL GA 3200 8196 TREE LIMBS DOWN. REPORTED BY TATTNALL WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1730 60 LILESVILLE ANSON NC 3496 7996 TREES DOWN IN AND AROUND LILESVILLE. (RAH)
1730 60 CREEDMOOR GRANVILLE NC 3611 7868 TREES DOWN. SPOTTER REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR CREEDMOOR. (RAH)
1735 UNK BURKE COUNTY BURKE GA 3305 8195 BURKE CO EMA REPORTED TREES DOWN IN BOTH THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BURKKE CO (CAE)
1736 UNK REMBERT SUMTER SC 3409 8050 SKYWARN REPORTER KF4LPK REPORTED TREES DOWN ON US HWY 521 IN REMBERT (CAE)
1740 UNK PEMBROKE BRYAN GA 3213 8161 TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY BRYAN S.O. (CHS)
1745 UNK STATESBORO BULLOCH GA 3245 8178 TRESS DOWN COUNTYWIDE BETWEEN 1230 AND 0100 PM. REPORTED BY BULLOCH WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1750 UNK FAIRFAX ALLENDALE SC 3300 8133 TREES DOWN ACROSS POWER LINE ON CARL DRIVE.REPORTED BY ALLENDALE WARNING POINT. WIND DAMAGE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON ROCK SPRINGS ROAD AND SPEED LIMIT ROAD. REPORT (CHS)
1759 UNK MARLOW EFFINGHAM GA 3226 8138 TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY EFFINGHAM WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1800 UNK EGYPT EFFINGHAM GA 3246 8146 TREE DOWN. REPORTED BY EFFINGHAM WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1800 UNK NIXVILLE HAMPTON SC 3275 8114 TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON BURNELL ROAD. REPORTED BY HAMPTON WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1810 UNK ORANGEBURG ORANGEBURG SC 3350 8086 ORANGEBURG EOC REPORTED TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN FROM ORANGEBURG TO ROWESVILLE AT 110 PM IN ORANGEBURG CO (CAE)
1810 70 5 W LITTLETON WARREN NC 3643 7802 TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 158. (RAH)
1815 UNK EHRHARDT COLLETON SC 3309 8101 TREE DOWN. REPORTED BY COLLETON WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1836 UNK SPRINGFIELD EFFINGHAM GA 3236 8131 TREES DOWN. TIME IS WHEN REPORT WAS RECEIVED.REPORTED BY EFFINGHAM WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1836 UNK NR CAMERON CALHOUN SC 3355 8071 REPORTED BY COUNTY EMA (CAE)
1845 UNK PINELAND JASPER SC 3246 8101 TREE DOWN. REPORTED BY JASPER WARNING POINT. (CHS)
1850 UNK NORTHAMPTON COUNTY NORTHAMPTON NC 3656 7751 PUBLIC REPORT. CHIMNEY KNOCKED DOWN BY WINDS (AKQ)
1900 60 CLIO MARLBORO SC 3458 7953 SC HWY PATROL REPORTED TREE FELL ON CAR. NO INJURIES. (ILM)
1905 UNK COURTLAND SOUTHAMPTON VA 3671 7706 PUBLIC REPORT. A FEW TREES DOWN. (AKQ)
1922 60 DILLON DILLON SC 3441 7936 POWER LINES DOWN. (ILM)
1935 UNK TAYLOR BAKER FL 3043 8228 POWER LINES DOWNED. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (JAX)
1940 UNK LAKE BUTLER UNION FL 3001 8233 LARGE TREES DOWN NEAR STATE ROAD 121 AND COUNTY ROAD 231. REPORTED BY SKYWARN SPOTTER. (JAX)
1942 70 MARION MARION SC 3418 7939 TREES DOWN. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. 2 VEHICLES DAMAGED (ILM)
1945 UNK STARKE BRADFORD FL 2995 8210 LARGE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED. REPORTED BY SKYWARN SPOTTER. (JAX)
1950 70 BARNESVILLE ROBESON NC 3441 7904 SHERIFF'S DEPARTMENT REPORTED TREES DOWN. TREES AND POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY. (ILM)
2000 UNK 6 NW STARKE BRADFORD FL 3002 8218 VACANT CHICKEN HOUSE ROOF TORN OFF. COUNTY ROAD 233 AND NW 59TH AVE. REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. (JAX)
2000 60 TAR HEEL BLADEN NC 3473 7878 TREE DOWN. (ILM)
2010 60 JACKSONVILLE DUVAL FL 3034 8166 AT 103RD STREET AND BLANDING BLVD. REPORTED BY SKYWARN SPOTTER (JAX)
2015 60 5 N CLINTON SAMPSON NC 3508 7833 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. (RAH)
2030 UNK CHARLESTON COUNTY CHARLESTON SC 3278 7994 TREES DOWN. TIME IS WHEN REPORT WAS RECEIVED. REPORT BY OFF-DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE. (CHS)
2030 60 7 N GEORGETOWN GEORGETOWN SC 3348 7930 TREES DOWN ON CHOPPY ROAD (ILM)
2030 60 8 E CONWAY HORRY SC 3383 7888 SHERIFF REPORTED TREES DOWN ON OLD THOMAS ROAD AND HWY 90. (ILM)
2041 60 3 N ELIZABETHTOWN BLADEN NC 3468 7861 TREE DOWN. (ILM)
2045 60 LORIS HORRY SC 3405 7888 TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES. (ILM)
2045 UNK HUNTSVILLE SCOTT TN 3641 8448 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN NEAR HUNSTVILLE PLUS MANY AREAS COUNTY WIDE. LARGE HAIL REPORTED IN HUNTSVILLE. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT, (MRX)
2050 60 ALBERTSON DUPLIN NC 3511 7783 TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. (MHX)
2100 UNK 7 SW WILLISTON LEVY FL 2930 8254 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. POWER LINES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 121. (TBW)
2106 60 LIZZIE GREENE NC 3550 7761 PUBLIC REPORT. (MHX)
2108 60 LENOIR COUNTY LENOIR NC 3530 7763 MEDIA REPORT OF TREE LIMBS SNAPPING (MHX)
2115 UNK ANDERSON COUNTY ANDERSON TN 3611 8418 TREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES. REPORTED BY 911 DISPATCH. (MRX)
2130 65 CLARKTON BLADEN NC 3448 7865 TREES DOWN. (ILM)
2205 UNK UNION COUNTY UNION TN 3628 8385 TREES DOWN COUNTY WIDE. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (MRX)
0000 UNK SCOTT COUNTY SCOTT VA 3673 8256 NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN FROM THUNDERSTORM WINDS BETWEEN 7 & 730 PM. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (MRX)
0000 UNK LOOKOUT PIKE KY 3731 8246 MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG ROUTE 195 NEAR LOOKOUT. REPORTED BY DES DIRECTOR. (JKL)
0015 UNK ASHCAMP PIKE KY 3726 8243 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 197 NEAR ASHCAMP AND SYCAMORE. REPORTED BY DES DIRECTOR. (JKL)
0045 UNK PIKE COUNTY PIKE KY 3746 8238 TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (JKL)
0230 UNK GREENVILLE GREENVILLE SC 3484 8239 GREENVILLE POLICE AND FIRE REPORTED 2 TRAFFIC LIGHTS BLOWN OFF AND HANGING BY A THREAD. (GSP)

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0146
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1041 AM CST SUN FEB 23 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MO AND FAR NRN AR

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 231641Z - 232145Z

HEAVY SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD SRN MO AND FAR NRN AR FROM WEST TO
EAST DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS....AND PERSIST FOR A 3-6
HOUR PERIOD. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2"/HR ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE
REGION...PARTICULARLY ACROSS SRN MO WHERE STRONGEST SYNOPTIC
FORCING WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED.

WELL-DEFINED 700MB SHORTWAVE OVER WRN OK AT 1630Z WILL TRACK
ENEWD REACHING S-CENTRAL MO BY 24/03Z. BAND OF HEAVY SNOW ACROSS
NRN OK AND SRN KS WILL PIVOT/DEVELOP ENEWD ACROSS NRN AR/SRN MO
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. LONGEST DURATION OF HVY SNOW WILL
LIKELY EXTEND NEAR A LINE FROM JLN TO SGF TO 40N POF...VERY NEAR
THE TRACK OF THE 700MB VORT CENTER AND ON THE NRN FRINGE OF
STRONG 850-700MB WARM ADVECTION AND 40-50KT SLY FLOW ACROSS AR.
THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH CURRENT RADAR TRENDS SHOWING A
NARROW...HIGH REFLECTIVITY BAND MOVING INTO FAR SWRN MO AT 1630Z.
THE 12Z ETA MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY
ACROSS NRN AR...SUGGESTING THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES OVER THE SRN PORTION OF THE
DISCUSSION AREA...WHILE MORE ORGANIZED/PERSISTENT BANDED SNOW
STRUCTURE BECOMES ESTABLISHED ACROSS SRN MO.

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0145
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0907 AM CST SUN FEB 23 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AND NRN ME

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 231507Z - 232000Z

MIXED WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ERN/NRN ME DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE TAPERING OFF FROM SW-NE. FREEZING
RAIN RATES TO 0.1"/HR ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HUL TO
3B1 DURING THE NEXT 2-4 HRS...WITH OCCASIONAL MODERATE SNOW/SLEET
MIXTURE NORTH OF THIS LINE.

AREA OF PRECIPITATION LIFTING NEWD ACROSS ERN ME IS ASSOCIATED
WITH WARM CONVEYOR BELT...AND IS PRODUCING AREAS OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE FREEZING RAIN FROM AUG NEWD INTO INTERIOR ERN ME AT 14Z.
ABOVE FREEZING ZONE ON 12Z GYX SOUNDING EXTENDS FROM 875MB TO
725MB WITH MAX TEMPERATURE OF +7.7C SUGGESTING FREEZING RAIN.
ADDITIONALLY...WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY WITH 50-100 J/KG CAPE IS
SUPPORTIVE OF CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION WITH ONGOING PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA. DRY SLOT WILL MOVE INTO BGR AREA BY
18Z AND LIFT NEWD BRINGING A LULL TO THE PRECIPITATION DURING
MOST OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ADDITIONAL AREA OF PRECIPITATION
OVER UPSTATE NY WILL LIFT NEWD INTO NWRN/NRN ME THIS EVENING
BRINING AN ADDITIONAL PERIOD OF MODERATE OR OCCASIONAL HEAVY
SNOW.

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

Yesterday's Tornado reports:

Tornado Reports
Time F-Scale Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1632 UNK ASHEBORO RANDOLPH NC 3569 7983 DAMAGE TO ASHEBORO MALL. REPORTED BY FIRE DEPT. (RAH)
1735 UNK ASHEBORO RANDOLPH NC 3569 7983 DAMAGE TO SUPER 8 MOTEL AT HIGHWAY 220 AND 49 ROOF DAMAGE. (RAH)
1931 UNK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK VA 3673 7658 PRELIMINARY NWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY DETERMINES ERRATIC DAMAGE PATH CONSISTENT WITH AN F0 TORNADO. SEVERAL 50-60 FT TREES PUSHED OVER INTO HOUSES. NUMEROUS TREES TRUNKS (AKQ)
1941 UNK SUFFOLK SUFFOLK VA 3673 7658 PRELIMINARY NWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY DETERMINES ERRATIC DAMAGE PATH CONSISTENT WITH AN F0 TORNADO. SEVERAL 50-60 FT TREES PUSHED OVER INTO HOUSES. NUMEROUS TREES TRUNKS (AKQ)
2113 UNK 2 W OAKDALE BREATHITT KY 3754 8355 *** 2 DEAD, SEVERAL INJ *** TWO BUILDINGS DEMOLISHED. TEN MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DEMOLISHED. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN OR UPROOTED. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT. (JKL)
0435 UNK ASHEBORO RANDOLPH NC 3569 7983 DAMAGE TO SUPER 8 MOTEL AT HIGHWAY 220 AND 49 ROOF DAMAGE. (RAH)

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

1857 UNK DELTONA VOLUSIA FL 2888 8123 NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF DOYLE RD. AND MITNIK DR. REPORTED BY VOLUSIA COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE. (MLB)

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.

VALID 081300Z - 091200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM BWG
10 WSW OWB 35 SSW BMG IND 10 SW FDY MFD ZZV UNI 25 WNW HTS
30 S LEX BWG.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 NNW DAB 20 S CTY ...CONT... 50 SE 7R4 MCB TCL 30 SSW MCN
15 SSE CHS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E PSX CLL
10 NE GGG PBF DYR MVN CMI 40 NW LAF MTC ...CONT... BUF 45 WNW ELM
AOO BKW TYS 50 SSW TYS AND FAY 10 SSW HSE.

MODELS ALL INDICATE A DEEPENING MID/UPPER TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONE OVER
THE SOUTHERN HUDSON/JAMES BAY REGION DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD...
ACCOMPANIED BY THE AMPLIFICATION/INTENSIFICATION OF AN UPPER TROUGH
/JET STREAK ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY...AND SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE EASTERN LAKES/ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY. A
SEPARATE BRANCH OF STRONGER WESTERLIES WILL PERSIST FROM THE
SUBTROPICAL EASTERN PACIFIC INTO THE GULF STATES...WITH ANOTHER
EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE TROUGH MIGRATING OUT OF THE NORTHERN MEXICAN
PLATEAU. EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM...IN CONCERT WITH
DEEPENING GREAT LAKES TROUGH...WILL LEAD TO MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS
AND INCREASINGLY CYCLONIC MID-LEVEL FLOW REGIME ACROSS THE CENTRAL/
EASTERN GULF COAST BY LATE TONIGHT.

...OHIO VALLEY...
IN RESPONSE TO EVOLUTION OF NORTHERN BRANCH SYSTEM...MODELS
INDICATE A 50 TO 70 KT SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET SHIFTING FROM
THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EASTWARD ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT ACROSS
THE CENTRAL U.S. IS RATHER DRY...AND LOW-LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS THE
GULF COAST STATES WILL BE SLOW TO WEAKEN. THIS WILL PRECLUDE ANY
SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE RETURN TO THE OHIO VALLEY. HOWEVER...STRONG
LOW-LEVEL WARMING ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL JET WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
AT LEAST WEAK DESTABILIZATION...WITH MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGESTING MOST UNSTABLE CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 500 TO 1000 J/KG.
THIS WILL MAINLY BE CONFINED TO AREAS NEAR THE OHIO RIVER BETWEEN
EVANSVILLE AND CINCINNATI...WHERE SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR 70F ARE
LIKELY BY LATE AFTERNOON.

WHILE A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF LOW/MID-LEVEL CAPPING WILL TEND TO BE
INHIBITIVE...STRONG LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC FORCING MAY PROVE
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT AT LEAST NARROW CONVECTIVE LINE ALONG
INSTABILITY AXIS BY THE 21-23Z TIME FRAME. GIVEN STRENGTH OF LOW-
LEVEL FLOW REGIME...AND THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WITH LOW MEAN
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS APPEAR PRIMARY SEVERE
THREAT...AS EVAPORATIVE COOLING ENHANCES DOWNDRAFTS...AND DOWNWARD
TRANSFER OF HIGH MOMENTUM AIR. HOWEVER...MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN STRONGEST CELLS.

STRONG CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALSO APPEARS POSSIBLE NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS EASTERN OHIO/WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...SUPPORTED BY STRONGER
MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION. POINT FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE HIGH-BASED...WITH WEAK CAPE
LIMITING UPDRAFT STRENGTH. HOWEVER...DEEP DRY SUBCLOUD LAYER MAY
CONTRIBUTE TO VIGOROUS DOWNDRAFTS...AND POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
DAMAGING SURFACE GUSTS.

MUCH OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WILL
WEAKEN QUICKLY WITH ONSET OF SURFACE RADIATIONAL COOLING DURING THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS.

...GULF STATES...
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL OCCUR
DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD...PARTICULARLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT AS LOW-LEVEL RIDGING WEAKENS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/EASTERN
GULF STATES. LOWER/MID 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS WILL LIKELY ADVECT
INLAND...CONTRIBUTING TO DESTABILIZATION ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA/SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...WHERE MODELS INDICATE
CAPE MAY EXCEED 1000 J/KG BY EARLY EVENING.

WITH APPROACH OF SOUTHERN BRANCH TROUGH AND ONSET OF MID-LEVEL
HEIGHT FALLS...INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY APPEARS LIKELY
DURING THE EVENING HOURS. STORMS LIKELY WILL BECOME FOCUSED IN
WARM ADVECTION REGIME ALONG/NORTH OF SURFACE FRONT...GRADUALLY
SPREADING/DEVELOPING EASTWARD ALONG FRONTAL ZONE INTO NORTHERN
FLORIDA/SOUTHERN GEORGIA OVERNIGHT. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES
BENEATH STRONG SOUTHERN JET WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL APPEARS TO BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...BUT
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS/POSSIBLY A TORNADO MAY OCCUR IN IMMEDIATE
VICINITY OF SURFACE BOUNDARY.

[northweststormchaser]

Good

[northweststormchaser]

Portland Area Forecast Discussion
FXUS66 KPQR 082212
AFDPQR

NORTHWEST OREGON AND SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
230 PM PST SAT MAR 8 2003

.SYNOPSIS...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH INTO SOUTHERN WA THIS
EVENING. A PAC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT
AND EARLY SUN MORNING BRINGING MORE PRECIPITATION AND GUSTY COASTAL
WINDS. THERE WILL BE SOME BREAKS IN THE PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT
WEEK...BUT ADDITIONAL SYSTEMS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE AREA BY WED
AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRI.

.DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM...METARS SHOW THE WARM FRONT NEARING THE PDX AREA AT 2
PM...WITH ODOT CAMERAS SHOWING MILD TEMPERATURES AT GOVERNMENT CAMP
AS WELL. RADAR SHOWS MAIN PRECIPITATION CONFINED TO SOUTH WA CASCADES
AHEAD OF FRONT. THE NEXT PAC FRONT WINDING UP NICELY OFFSHORE WITH
SURFACE LOW MODELED TO NORTH VANCOUVER ISLAND EARLY SUN MORNING.
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SWINGS INLAND ACROSS DISTRICT LATE TONIGHT.
HAVE OPTED TO KEEP HEADLAND WINDS JUST BELOW HIGH WIND CRITERIA
TONIGHT AS OUTER BUOY WINDS NOT IMPRESSIVE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. MESO
ETA/GFS SHOWING SOUTHWEST 850 MB FLOW AHEAD OF FRONT OVERNIGHT...NOT
TOO CONDUCIVE FOR OROGRAPHIC LIFT...THIS ALONG WITH HIGHER SNOW
LEVELS AND SPLITTING TENDENCY IN MODELS APPEAR TO LIMIT POTENTIAL
SNOWFALL IN THE CASCADES WITH SYSTEM. WILL GO WITH A SNOW ADVISORY
SOUTH WA CASCADES WHERE AIR MASS STILL A BIT COOLER.

SHOWERS BEHIND FRONT SUN AND SHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND ONSHORE
FLOW CONTINUING MON FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. 12Z GFS WETTER FOR TUE
THAN PREVIOUS GUIDANCE AND WILL SPREAD THE CHANCE OF RAIN TO INLAND
AREAS.

.LONG TERM...QUITE UNSETTLED PERIOD AS MODELS AGREE ON LARGE PAC
STORM SETTING UP SHOP OVER EASTERN PAC SWINGING FRONTAL WAVES INTO
REGION. WILLIS

AST +97434 PDX 996434 SLE 996434 EUG 996434

.PQR...SNOW ADVISORY SOUTH WA CASCADES TONIGHT.
GALE WARNING CAPE SHOALWATER TO FLORENCE TONIGHT.

$$

[northweststormchaser]

D
a
t
e Time
(pst) Wind
(mph) Vis.
(mi.) Weather Sky Cond. Temperature (ºF) Pressure Precipitation
Air Dwpt 6 hour altimeter
(in) sea level
(mb) 1 hr 3 hr 6 hr
Max. Min.
08 14:55 Calm 10.00 Overcast OVC006 48 46 30.03 1016.8
08 13:55 NE 3 10.00 Overcast FEW004 OVC007 46 45 30.03 1016.9
08 13:16 E 6 3.00 Fog/Mist SCT003 OVC010 45 45 30.04 NA
08 12:55 Calm 2.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist SCT005 OVC010 44 43 30.05 1017.4 0.01 0.03
08 12:40 E 3 2.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist SCT005 OVC010 43 43 30.05 NA 0.01
08 11:55 Vrbl 5 2.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist BKN005 OVC017 43 43 30.06 1017.9 0.01
08 11:40 Calm 2.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist BKN005 BKN008 OVC015 43 43 30.06 NA 0.01
08 11:23 Calm 1.75 Light Rain Fog/Mist BKN005 OVC009 43 43 30.06 NA
08 10:55 Calm 4.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist BKN005 BKN013 OVC022 43 42 30.06 1017.9 0.01
08 09:55 Calm 3.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist BKN008 BKN014 OVC026 42 40 42 40 30.06 1017.7 0.02 0.21
08 08:55 NW 3 7.00 Light Rain BKN008 BKN025 OVC032 41 39 30.06 1017.8 0.02
08 07:55 Calm 6.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist BKN006 OVC039 40 39 30.04 1017.3 0.04
08 06:55 NW 3 5.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist BKN006 OVC039 40 39 30.03 1016.9 0.05 0.13
08 06:36 Calm 5.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist BKN006 BKN032 OVC046 39 39 30.03 NA 0.03
08 05:55 NW 3 5.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist FEW004 BKN034 OVC046 40 39 30.02 1016.6 0.06
08 05:39 NW 3 5.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist SCT004 BKN034 OVC046 39 39 30.02 NA 0.04
08 04:55 NW 3 7.00 Light Rain FEW027 BKN042 OVC050 40 39 30.01 1016.1 0.02
08 03:55 Calm 9.00 Light Rain FEW007 SCT021 OVC047 40 39 42 40 30.00 1015.7 0.03 0.12
08 02:55 E 3 7.00 Light Rain SCT007 BKN021 OVC028 40 39 30.00 1015.7 0.04
08 02:25 Calm 5.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist BKN007 BKN021 OVC028 41 39 30.00 NA 0.02
08 01:55 SE 5 9.00 Light Rain SCT007 BKN028 OVC035 41 39 30.00 1015.8 0.02
08 00:55 E 3 7.00 Light Rain FEW017 OVC021 41 39 30.00 1015.6 0.03 0.03
07 23:55 SE 5 9.00 Light Rain FEW013 SCT017 OVC025 41 38 29.98 1015.2
07 23:22 E 5 10.00 Overcast BKN013 OVC025 43 39 29.98 NA
07 22:55 E 5 10.00 Overcast OVC025 42 38 29.98 1015.2
07 21:55 Calm 10.00 Light Rain BKN027 OVC034 43 38 46 42 29.97 1014.9 0.01 0.10
07 20:55 Calm 10.00 Overcast FEW024 BKN028 OVC034 43 41 29.95 1014.0
07 20:21 S 5 10.00 Light Rain OVC028 43 39 29.94 NA
07 19:55 Calm 10.00 Light Rain OVC034 43 40 29.93 1013.4 0.02
07 18:55 E 3 8.00 Light Rain SCT028 OVC036 43 40 29.91 1012.8 0.04 0.07
07 17:55 Calm 8.00 Light Rain SCT027 OVC040 44 40 29.89 1012.0 0.03
07 16:55 Vrbl 5 10.00 Light Rain FEW018 OVC027 44 40 29.87 1011.3
07 16:42 N 5 10.00 Overcast SCT022 OVC027 45 39 29.87 NA
07 15:55 N 8 10.00 Overcast BKN012 OVC018 46 43 47 41 29.85 1010.6 0.07
07 15:30 N 6 10.00 Overcast BKN014 BKN037 OVC065 46 43 29.84 NA
07 14:55 Calm 10.00 Overcast SCT008 SCT050 OVC070 47 43 29.82 1009.8 0.01
07 13:55 N 3 10.00 Overcast FEW011 BKN030 OVC038 46 42 29.81 1009.3
07 12:55 Calm 10.00 Overcast FEW010 BKN039 OVC048 45 42 29.80 1009.0 0.06
07 11:55 Calm 10.00 Overcast FEW010 SCT020 OVC045 44 41 29.79 1008.7 0.02
07 10:55 NW 3 3.00 Light Rain Fog/Mist OVC019 42 40 29.80 1008.8 0.04
07 09:55 NW 6 4.00 Heavy Rain Fog/Mist BKN015 BKN019 OVC024 41 40 48 41 29.79 1008.5 0.09 0.56
07 08:55 NE 6 8.00 Light Rain BKN013 BKN020 OVC036 42 39 29.77 1007.9 0.06
07 07:55 Calm 5.00 Rain Fog/Mist FEW015 OVC034 41 39 29.76 1007.6 0.12
07 07:46 N 3 5.00 Rain Fog/Mist FEW015 OVC034 41 39 29.76 NA 0.09
07 07:24 N 5 6.00 Rain Fog/Mist SCT010 BKN017 OVC037 41 39 29.76 NA 0.05
07 07:03 N 5 5.00 Rain Fog/Mist FEW009 BKN014 OVC035 41 39 29.76 NA 0.02
07 06:55 N 5 5.00 Rain Fog/Mist BKN015 OVC020 41 40 29.76 1007.6 0.09 0.29
07 05:55 NW 6 5.00 Rain Fog/Mist FEW012 BKN016 OVC030 43 41 29.75 1007.3 0.12
07 04:55 NW 6 5.00 Rain Fog/Mist BKN017 BKN025 OVC034 44 43 29.74 1007.1 0.08
07 03:55 SW 10 9.00 Light Rain FEW018 OVC038 48 45 48 44 29.74 1007.0 0.04 0.27
07 02:55 SW 12 8.00 Rain SCT020 OVC036 48 45 29.74 1007.1 0.06
07 02:40 SW 15 9.00 Light Rain FEW019 SCT024 OVC038 48 45 29.74 NA 0.05
07 02:19 SW 13 9.00 Rain FEW015 BKN026 OVC036 48 45 29.75 NA 0.02
07 01:55 SW 15 8.00 Light Rain SCT016 OVC040 48 45 29.75 1007.2 0.06
07 00:55 S 15 9.00 Light Rain BKN016 OVC040 47 45 29.75 1007.4 0.05 0.11
07 00:12 S 8 10.00 Light Rain BKN016 BKN020 OVC036 46 45 29.77 NA 0.02
06 23:55 S 9 9.00 Light Rain SCT016 OVC038 47 45 29.78 1008.2 0.03
06 22:55 S 7 10.00 Light Rain OVC040 46 44 29.81 1009.2 0.03
06 21:55 Calm 10.00 Light Rain FEW020 BKN048 OVC060 44 42 49 43 29.83 1010.0 0.01 0.14
06 20:55 Calm 9.00 Light Rain SCT024 OVC037 44 42 29.84 1010.4 0.04
06 19:55 NW 5 7.00 Light Rain SCT012 BKN017 OVC031 44 43 29.85 1010.8 0.05
06 19:45 NW 5 5.00 Rain Fog/Mist BKN012 OVC020 45 43 29.85 NA 0.04
06 19:21 NW 6 7.00 Light Rain BKN016 BKN023 OVC036 45 43 29.86 NA 0.02
06 18:55 W 5 10.00 Light Rain FEW018 BKN038 OVC050 46 43 29.86 1011.0 0.02 0.04
06 17:55 SW 7 10.00 Light Rain BKN040 OVC047 46 43 29.87 1011.2 0.02
06 16:55 SW 13 10.00 Light Rain BKN043 OVC050 47 40 29.88 1011.7
06 15:55 SW 20 10.00 Overcast FEW045 BKN060 OVC085 49 37 51 46 29.88 1011.9
D
a
t
e Time
(pst) Wind
(mph) Vis.
(mi.) Weather Sky Cond. Air Dwpt Max. Min. altimeter
(in) sea level
(mb) 1 hr 3 hr 6 hr
6 hour
Temperature (ºF) Pressure Precipitation

[northweststormchaser]

Ice threatens to cover Lake Superior
HOUGHTON, Mich. (AP) — Record-shattering cold temperatures threaten to freeze massive Lake Superior's surface for the first time in more than two decades.


"The lake is fairly well covered," said Craig Evanego, an ice forecaster with the National Ice Center in Washington. "It's the thickest its been in years."

Lake Superior last froze completely in 1979, and this year's ice cover is the most since 1996-97, lake watchers said.

Ice currently covers more than 90% of the greatest of the Great Lakes, Evanego said. In some areas, the covering is a scant inch or so, but vast portions of the big lake have 12 to 28 inches of ice, according to the National Ice Center.

Lakes Huron and Erie are ice-covered, with much of shallow Lake Erie buried under 28 or more inches of ice, the center reported. Northern Lake Michigan is frozen, but the mid- to lower section is open, other than coastal areas.

Relentless cold temperatures are responsible for the ice buildup. While snow swept across much of mid- and lower Michigan early Wednesday, Upper Peninsula residents again bundled up against record lows.

"It's more than just a little bit cold here," said Dave Petrovich, a forecaster with the National Weather Service office in Marquette County's Negaunee Township.

Temperatures at Houghton County Memorial Airport hit minus 17 degrees at 8 a.m. Wednesday, shattering the day's previous record of minus 5, set in 1960.

Petrovich also said minus 16 in Marquette County set a new low.

At the western tip of Lake Superior, Duluth, Minn., saw a low of 12 below Wednesday.

The winter of 2002-03 is shaping up to be slightly colder than normal in the area, though not as bitterly cold as many might believe, said Keith Bergens, meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Gaylord.

Mild temperatures dominated October through the end of December, while colder than normal weather settled in since, he said.

"In history, when we look back at the winter of 2003, I'd say it was pretty average," Bergens said.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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[Rob-TheStormChaser]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0211
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0505 PM CST SAT MAR 08 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN IL CNTRL IN CNTRL OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 33...

VALID 082305Z - 090100Z

CORRECTED FOR STATES IN HEADER

THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NEXT COUPLE HOURS
AS LINE OF STORMS ORGANIZE FROM SRN IL THROUGH CNTRL IND. THREAT
IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EWD INTO WRN/CNTRL OH AFTER 2330Z. IF LINE
OF STORMS CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE...ANOTHER WW MAY BE NEEDED
INCLUDING PARTS OF OH REPLACING CURRENT WATCH.

LINE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS TO BE ORGANIZING OVER
PARTS OF CNTRL IND AS COLD FRONT INTERCEPTS MOIST AXIS. THIS
NARROW MOISTURE AXIS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT NEWD INTO OH ALONG
STRENGTHENING SWLY LOW LEVEL JET. THOUGH COLD AIR ALOFT IS
CONTRIBUTING TO STEEP LAPSE RATES...LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN WILL
SUPPORT MLCAPES ONLY UNDER 500 J/KG. HOWEVER...THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES AND RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY
LAYERS WILL SUPPORT THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND GIVEN STRENGTH OF
LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW...ESPECIALLY FROM THE OH RIVER VALLEY INTO
CENTRAL OH /FROM CMH SSWWD/ WHERE TEMPS ARE IN THE LOWER 60S.
DESPITE LIMITED INSTABILITY...STRONG LIFT WITHIN FRONTAL ZONE
SHOULD SUPPORT A FORCED LINE OF LOW TOPPED CONVECTION AS ACTIVITY
CONTINUES RAPIDLY EWD TOWARD OH.

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1240 175 FORT DEPOSIT LOWNDES AL 3198 8658 P.D. (BHM)
1340 175 FORT DEPOSIT LOWNDES AL 3198 8658 P.D. (BHM)
1400 100 HIGHLAND HOME CRENSHAW AL 3195 8631 (MOB)
1523 100 BREWTON ESCAMBIA AL 3111 8706 (MOB)
1530 100 LIBERTYVILLE CONECUH AL 3123 8645 (MOB)
1536 75 SANFORD COVINGTON AL 3130 8639 (MOB)
1555 75 GOODMAN COFFEE AL 3128 8600 DIME SIZE HAIL. TIME ESTIMATED. REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL. (TLH)
1608 75 1 W LOCKHART COVINGTON AL 3101 8636 NEAR CR 4. (MOB)

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
0100 175 INDIANAPOLIS MARION IN 3978 8614 REPORTED BY STATE POLICE AND INDIANAPOLIS POLICE DEPARTMENT. (IND)
1030 175 GOSHEN PIKE AL 3171 8611 HEAVY ACCUMULATION. HAIL RANGING 3/4 TO 13/4 INCH. (BHM)

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

STORM PREDICTION CENTER...NWS/NCEP...NORMAN OK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK...REF AWIPS GRAPHIC PGWE46 KWNS.

VALID 091630Z - 101200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 S CEW 35 N CEW 40 NE DHN 50 NE MGR 30 ENE VLD 15 NE JAX
...CONT... 35 SSE VRB 15 NNW PIE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM PBI 10 NNW SRQ
...CONT... 20 SW PNS 65 NNE MOB 20 N MGM 35 S AHN 20 SSE CAE
35 SSW CRE.

...SYNOPSIS...
NRN STREAM TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVER THE NERN STATES
WHILE SRN STREAM IMPULSE NOW OVER AL CONTINUES E INTO CONFLUENCE
ZONE OFF THE S ATLANTIC COAST AND WEAKENS. WEAK SURFACE WAVE
ASSOCIATED WITH SRN IMPULSE...NOW NEAR THE FL COASTAL BEND...SHOULD
REDEVELOP OFF THE NE FL COAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK COLD
FRONT WILL SETTLE S ACROSS THE PENINSULA LATER TODAY/TONIGHT IN
WAKE OF WAVE.

...FL/SE AL/SRN GA...
LAYER OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY NOW OVER SRN AL...WITH CAPE ON THE
ORDER OF 1000-1500 J//KG...EXPECTED TO SPREAD E ACROSS SRN GA AND
THE FL PANHANDLE AS EXIT REGION OF SRN STREAM IMPULSE CONTINUES
EWD. WITH MID LEVEL WLY FLOW AOA 60 KTS...SUFFICIENT CLOUD LAYER
SHEAR WILL PERSIST TO SUPPORT MID-LEVEL STORM ROTATION AND A THREAT
FOR HAIL GIVEN QUALITY OF ELEVATED MOISTURE INFLOW. UNIDIRECTIONAL
MEAN WLY FLOW AND PRESENCE OF EXISTING COLD POOL ELONGATED W/E
ACROSS THE S GA/FL PANHANDLE REGION SUGGESTS THAT NEW STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN THE UPSTREAM DIRECTION WHILE THE ENTIRE AREA
MOVES SLOWLY DOWNSTREAM.

FARTHER S...SURFACE HEATING WILL DESTABILIZE BOUNDARY LAYER AIR
MASS INVOF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/FRONT NOW STALLED W/E ACROSS THE NRN
PART OF THE FL PENINSULA. WITH UPPER IMPULSE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
OVER TIME...LOW-LEVEL INFLOW...ATTM QUITE WEAK...WILL PROBABLY SHOW
LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH THE DAY. NEVERTHELESS...DESTABLIZATION WILL
OCCUR AT THE SAME TIME THAT DEEP SHEAR INCREASES WITH CONTINUED EWD
MOTION OF UPPER IMPULSE. WEAK CONVERGENCE AND WARM AIR ALOFT WILL
LIKELY PROHIBIT CONVECTIVE INITIATION IN WARM SECTOR S OF OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY/FRONT. BUT COMBINATION OF INCREASING SHEAR AND DIURNAL
DESTABILIZATION WILL SUPPORT A LIMITED THREAT FOR EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS WITH SMALL BOWS ALONG THE BOUNDARY AS THE FEATURE DRIFTS
SWD THROUGH THE DAY.

[Rob-TheStormChaser]

Tornado Reports
Time F-Scale Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2103 UNK NOBLETON HERNANDO FL 2865 8226 HERNANDO COUNTY SHERRIF DEPARTMENT IS REPORTING SEVERAL CALLS SEEING A TORNADO IN THE NOBLETON AREA. THERE ARE REPORTS OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN BUT NO FURTHER INFO (TBW)
2115 UNK NOBLETON SUMTER FL 2865 8226 SUMTER COUNTY SHERIFF DEPARTMENT HAD REPORTS OF A TORNADO TOUCHING DOWN NEAR NOBLETON. DAMAGE REPORTS WERE UNAVAILABLE AT THIS TIME. (TBW)

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