Will It Snow In New Orleans This Week? The NWS....
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- Sean in New Orleans
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Will It Snow In New Orleans This Week? The NWS....
....certainly leaves that option open come Thursday night for the metro New Orleans area. Don't hold your breath, but don't be surprised if it does... http://www.srh.weather.gov/lix/cgi-bin/ ... &version=0
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Mobile NWS.... Snow ?
Short term...ETA/GFS/NGM in basic agreement with the upper
synoptics...with series of shortwave lobes swinging around and
through the mean western trough. The first is passing...pushing the
surface front through the area today. The second moves north of the
area Tuesday. The problem with the current forecast is in the
details...with significant differences amongst the models. All agree
in moving the front the the area today...with front entering the forecast area
shortly after 12z and exiting the marine areas around 00z. After
that...they diverge. GFS more aggressive in moving in a
cooler...drier airmass...especially middle week...with 10-15 degree
differences amongst the model mos' for Tuesday night's low (23 for
mav...39 for met for kmob for example). GFS also more aggressive in
moving in a re-enforcing shot of of dryer air Tuesday into Tuesday
night. With the double whammy of cool air moving over the northern
Gulf Coast...GFS also slower to moderate and shift surface high
pressure eastward. Result is ETA model advertising return flow setting up
over the southern plains Wednesday...later Thursday into Friday for
the GFS. The ETA model solution keeps more moisture over the area...with
middle/upper level cloud deck moderating temperatures into middle week.
Am tending to lean towards the ETA model interpretation of the short
term...as feel that with the strength the Caribbean high has shown
over the last week...best dynamics...thus best push will pass
farther north than the GFS is advertising.
&&
Extended...no changes planned other than to blend with short term
(a radical departure in this case).
Short term...ETA/GFS/NGM in basic agreement with the upper
synoptics...with series of shortwave lobes swinging around and
through the mean western trough. The first is passing...pushing the
surface front through the area today. The second moves north of the
area Tuesday. The problem with the current forecast is in the
details...with significant differences amongst the models. All agree
in moving the front the the area today...with front entering the forecast area
shortly after 12z and exiting the marine areas around 00z. After
that...they diverge. GFS more aggressive in moving in a
cooler...drier airmass...especially middle week...with 10-15 degree
differences amongst the model mos' for Tuesday night's low (23 for
mav...39 for met for kmob for example). GFS also more aggressive in
moving in a re-enforcing shot of of dryer air Tuesday into Tuesday
night. With the double whammy of cool air moving over the northern
Gulf Coast...GFS also slower to moderate and shift surface high
pressure eastward. Result is ETA model advertising return flow setting up
over the southern plains Wednesday...later Thursday into Friday for
the GFS. The ETA model solution keeps more moisture over the area...with
middle/upper level cloud deck moderating temperatures into middle week.
Am tending to lean towards the ETA model interpretation of the short
term...as feel that with the strength the Caribbean high has shown
over the last week...best dynamics...thus best push will pass
farther north than the GFS is advertising.
&&
Extended...no changes planned other than to blend with short term
(a radical departure in this case).
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- TNSnowbunny
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- Sean in New Orleans
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We don't count on it snowing in New Orleans, but, we do usually have some sleet and freezing rain, at least once a winter and it's usually minor. Snow isn't out of the question on any year, though. I've seen significant snow (enough to build a snowman) several times in The Big Easy and I'm only in my mid 30's. I've never seen more than 4 to 5 inches on the ground, that I recall. I see snow every year---I go visit it in Utah or Colorado for skiing!! Snow usually doesn't come see me!!
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- gboudx
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[quote="Sean in New Orleans"]We don't count on it snowing in New Orleans, but, we do usually have some sleet and freezing rain, at least once a winter and it's usually minor. Snow isn't out of the question on any year, though. I've seen significant snow (enough to build a snowman) several times in The Big Easy and I'm only in my mid 30's. I've never seen more than 4 to 5 inches on the ground, that I recall. I see snow every year---I go visit it in Utah or Colorado for skiing!! Snow usually doesn't come see me!![/quote]
I grew up in New Orleans for the first 23 years of my life. I remember it snowing once. That was in 1989. Since when did it start sleeting and freezing rain once a winter? Things must've changed when I moved to Dallas in 1995 and then back to Baton Rouge in 2003.
I grew up in New Orleans for the first 23 years of my life. I remember it snowing once. That was in 1989. Since when did it start sleeting and freezing rain once a winter? Things must've changed when I moved to Dallas in 1995 and then back to Baton Rouge in 2003.
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- Sean in New Orleans
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I see a little sleet or ice on my windshield every year at least once. I'm not talking about a winter storm, for crying out loud. Perhaps you weren't around for the snow of 1973---my earliest memory of snow in My grandmother's yard in the Ninth Ward. There was another snow (light) in the late 70's when I lived in Kenner and I had a dusting on my car in early March during the early 1990's when I lived in the Lower Garden District. I find your post to be condescending, challenging, and childish, by the way. And I lived in Mandeville for the snow of 1989.
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-
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Ponch North Shore is different
To me, living in Mandeville or Covington is different from living south of the lake.
There is more water and gulf warmth surrounding New Orleans, Marrero, Houma, Metairie, and Lafitte than there is on the north side of the lake.
I remember driving across the causeway ont he way to Covington and what was rain south of the lake was sleet north of the lake.
I live in Dallas too, but I am in New Orleans about 6 times a year.
There is more water and gulf warmth surrounding New Orleans, Marrero, Houma, Metairie, and Lafitte than there is on the north side of the lake.
I remember driving across the causeway ont he way to Covington and what was rain south of the lake was sleet north of the lake.
I live in Dallas too, but I am in New Orleans about 6 times a year.
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- Sean in New Orleans
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The weather is different on the Northshore---however, in 1989, the Southshore received more snow than the Northshore--a rare occurence. And the Houma-Thibodeaux area received more snow than New Orleans. It was an interesting cold spell, to say the least. Two years ago, my sister received two inches just west of Hammond and emailed me the pics and I didn't see a flake in New Orleans!
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- gboudx
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You find my post condescending, challenging and childish? I'll give you challenging. I know where I grew up(Westbank) and I know we didn't have sleet, freezing rain or snow at least once a year. I only remember 1989. I had a 3 hour drive home on a route that normally took me 15 minutes. I lived in Dallas for the past 8 years and it does sleet or snow at least once a winter. Last year we had both. 3 inches of snow at New Year's and 3 inches a sleet later.
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LSU Tigers are Undisputed Champions
LSU is the only legit champion in NCAA football.
It is USC's problem that they did not play a tougher schedule and did not play in a conference championship.
Big12 and SEC by far the best 2 conferences. And the matchup was the right one.
It is USC's problem that they did not play a tougher schedule and did not play in a conference championship.
Big12 and SEC by far the best 2 conferences. And the matchup was the right one.
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- PTrackerLA
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