I will make my thoughts known regarding snow threats

[Stormchaser16]

9-10th: Nothing major...... at all....... Possibly a few inches back over and west of the App chain down into the SE. E of the chain, probably a very light and UNorganized event. I would expect more scattered precip to develop and accumulations east of the mountains probably should not exceed 3" in general. Even in the mts. it will be hard to exceed 4". The problem is that dry air is going to be very hard to overcome in the beginning of the event and virga may ensue despite RH values coming in on the models. EC tonite shouws 850 RH's of near 100 all the way up to ABE and I just cannot agree with this occuring, we may get some flurries up here but nothing at all of any importance.

14-16: Or whatever date we are up to now with this storm lol. I just cannot forsee a SECS/MECS developing in this pattern. We have some true arctic air with an undesirable trough position for cyclogenesis to occur in a favorable position for us. I think a clipper situation is more favorable to go with. Northern stream energy is what we will need to hope for here in the NMA and NE. Not that this is such a bad thing because sometimes we can get some decent clippers to hit us. But this is a overwhelmingly suppressive pattern with a very broad trough covering the eastern 2/3 of the nation. Now I will say this.... if the ridge can retrogarde further west in time then the trough pos. may be somewhat more favorable. This is still a longshot however, but the possibility IMO of a major EC storm is low.

17-20: Models are beginning to show a more favorable trough position for THIS timeframe and the EC tonight shows a pretty impressive s/w that looks to undercut the western ridge. IF this can phase with any northern energy then we have a system to watch for. Again if it doesnt phase with any northern energy then it will not be able to turn the corner and will head out to sea.

[Stormchaser16]

To make clear the 14-16 event really should be labeled as 12-14, which is pretty much CANCELLED. HOWEVER a NEW event that someone pointed out(HM) is in the 14-16 timeframe, that i do NOT have an opinion on at this point. And the 17-20th stands as is.

[JCT777]

Nice update, StormChaser. I pretty much agree with your assessment. I am hopeful that later next week or next weekend we will be able to get a decent storm.