Winter Weather Adv just issued for North AL

[wrkh99]

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1106 AM CST THU JAN 8 2004

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JACKSON...DEKALB...MARSHALL AND CULLMAN
COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN
TENNESSEE...

ALZ008>010-016-TNZ097-090000-
CULLMAN-DE KALB-FRANKLIN TN-JACKSON-MARSHALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CULLMAN...FORT PAYNE...GUNTERSVILLE...
SCOTTSBORO...WINCHESTER 1106 AM CST THU JAN 8 2004

...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT
FOR A PORTION OF NORTHERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN TENNESSEE...

THE COUNTIES IN THE ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE JACKSON...DEKALB... MARSHALL
AND
CULLMAN COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ALABAMA AND FRANKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN
TENNESSEE.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM
IN
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...COUPLED WITH GULF MOISTURE AND A COLD AIRMASS
ALREADY
IN PLACE...WILL LEAD TO A WINTERY MIX OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
ADVISORY
AREA.

TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA ARE CURRENTLY HOVERING NEAR THE
FREEZING MARK. LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGION BY
LATE
AFTERNOON AND WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AFTER SUNSET. AT THIS
TIME...IT
APPEARS THAT THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF
SLEET...RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN.

THE MAIN CONCERNS FOR FREEZING RAIN WILL BE COOLER RIDGETOPS ALONG WITH
SHELTERED VALLEY LOCATIONS. DUE TO OUR RECENT COLD SPELL...THE GROUND
AND
ROAD SURFACES REMAIN FROZEN AND PRECIPITATION MAY FREEZE IMMEDIATELY
UPON
CONTACT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF TOWARD SUNRISE ON
FRIDAY.

ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES IN THE ADVISORY AREA WILL BECOME SLICK
AND
HAZARDOUS BY EARLY EVENING. CAUTION SHOULD BE ADVISED WHEN TRAVELING
ACROSS
THE ADVISORY AREA TONIGHT.

[GAStorm]

Hey wrkh99,

The NWS in Birmingham put out a recent statement about the uncertainty of the storm. Basically, they still don't know how strong it will be, or how much wintry precip will fall in the state. They are thinking that it will not be bad in the central sections of AL, but anywhere northeast of there will still have enough cold air in place. Here is their message:

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
424 AM CST THU JAN 8 2004

ALZ011>015-017>029-034-081800-
BIBB-BLOUNT-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-CLAY-CLEBURNE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-JEFFERSON-
LAMAR-MARION-PICKENS-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-TALLADEGA-TUSCALOOSA-
WALKER-WINSTON-
424 AM CST THU JAN 8 2004

...CHANCES OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION DIMINISHING...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TAKING SHAPE AND MOVING EASTWARD ALONG THE GULF
COAST...WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MID LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA TODAY. WITH SURFACE WINDS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AHEAD OF THE
LOW...THE LOW AMD MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXPECTED TO WARM
ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION. BY THE TIME THERE IS
ENOUGH MOISTURE TO SUPPORT PRECIPITATION REACHING THE GROUND...
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE WARM ENOUGH TO KEEP THE PRECIPITATION IN THE
FORM OF RAIN OVER WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL ALABAMA WEST OF
INTERSTATE 65.

AT THIS TIME...THE ONLY REMAINING THREAT OF MIXED PRECIPITATION IS
LIMITED TO THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA...ALONG AND
NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM HAYDEN...TO TALLADEGA...LINEVILLE...AND
WEDOWEE. ENOUGH COLD AIR MAY LINGER...ESPECIALLY IN SOME OF THE
ELEVATED VALLEYS...TO SUPPORT A MIX OF RAIN AND SLEET THIS EVENING.
NO ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET ARE EXPECTED.

AS WITH MOST WINTER WEATHER SYSTEMS ACROSS ALABAMA...A SLIGHT CHANGE
IN THE PATH OR STRENGTH OF THE LOW COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. ANYONE WITH TRAVEL PLANS OR OTHER CONCERNS
ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA SHOULD KEEP AN EYE ON THE LATEST
WEATHER FORECASTS AND CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES ON THE SITUATION THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

[wrkh99]

I look for that advisory to be shifted further west to include Florence AL in the next hour. Temp is 36 there and it's going to be a close call there. Temps should start falling there this afternoon.

[GAStorm]

I look for that advisory to be shifted further west to include Florence AL in the next hour. Temp is 36 there and it's going to be a close call there. Temps should start falling there this afternoon.

Florence currently has a dewpoint of 16. That will definitely drop their temp in a hurry once the precip falls!

[wrkh99]

LOL


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1203 AM CST THU JAN 8 2004

.UPDATE...
BUSY SHIFT TO SAY THE LEAST THIS MORNING. HAVE ISSUED AN UPDATED SPS
AND HWO TO COMPLEMENT THE ONGOING ADVISORY. PRECIP CONTINUES TO
OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...AND SLEET REPORTS HAVE STARTED
TO ROLL IN LIKE THE BREAD IS PROBABLY ROLLING OUT OF THE LOCAL
GROCERY STORES. MESONET OBS SHOWING MOST AREAS AT OR ABOVE
FREEZING...BUT WETBULB TEMPS ARE STILL BLO 32F. MONTE SANO STILL AT
32F AND WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF MADISON
COUNTY. DEBATED ON WHETHER TO INCLUDE IN THE ADVISORY...BUT DIDN'T
WANT TO PANIC THE MASSES IN HUNTSVILLE WHERE THE AFTN SHOULD BE OK
FOR THE MOST PART. I DID HIGHLIGHT MONTE SANE/GREEN MTN IN THE
SPS...AND WE MAY EDGE THE ADVY WEST THIS AFTN AND MENTION ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 1KFT (OR SOMETHING TO THAT EFFECT).

[wrkh99]

[PTrackerLA]

Well this system is moving ALOT faster than they expected yesterday as we are just about at the back edge of the precip and the rain was supposed to continue well through the night. Shouldn't be too big of a deal up there, maybe a little icing or some sleet.

[breeze]

I expect that most of our winter mix will stay east in the
mountains. I see ice on the tree limbs, already, but, if we
get anything in southern mid-Tennessee, it will probably be
a mere dusting. The roads are salted, so, ahhh....bet I still
have to drive to work, tomorrow! (*still hoping for a snowy miracle)




URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
330 PM CST THU JAN 8 2004

.A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE EAST
ACROSS TENNESSEE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. A MIXTURE OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. MAINLY SNOW
IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 3 INCHES. A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REST OF THE MID STATE...WITH MAINLY SNOW NEAR THE
KENTUCKY BORDER...AND MAINLY SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN ALONG THE
ALABAMA BORDER. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES FRIDAY
MORNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST LOCATIONS. AS A
RESULT...SLICK CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ON ROADS ACROSS
MIDDLE TENNESSEE. TRAVELERS SHOULD PREPARE FOR SLICK ROADS AND
POSSIBLE TRAVEL DELAYS.

TNZ010-011-031>034-065-066-078>080-091015-
CLAY-CUMBERLAND-FENTRESS-GRUNDY-JACKSON-OVERTON-PICKETT-PUTNAM-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WHITE-
330 PM CST THU JAN 8 2004

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW...MIXED WITH
SLEET...WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 1 INCH WILL BE COMMON...WITH HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU RECEIVING UP TO 2 INCHES
TONIGHT. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH ANOTHER
INCH OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW FREEZING MOST OF THE NIGHT.
ROADS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WILL BECOME SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT.

$$

TNZ005>009-022>030-059-062>064-091015-
BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-DEKALB-DICKSON-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
MACON-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
330 PM CST THU JAN 8 2004

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. A MIXTURE OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION...INCLUDING SNOW...SLEET AND POSSIBLY FREEZING RAIN...
WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS EVENING. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.
PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES FRIDAY MORNING.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT. ROADS...
ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WILL BECOME SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT.

$$

TNZ056>058-060-061-075-077-093>095-091015-
BEDFORD-COFFEE-GILES-HICKMAN-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MARSHALL-MAURY-PERRY-
WAYNE-
330 PM CST THU JAN 8 2004

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. A MIXTURE OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION...INCLUDING SLEET...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS EVENING. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN ONE INCH. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER
OFF TO FLURRIES FRIDAY MORNING.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL AROUND FREEZING OVERNIGHT.
ROADS...ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...MAY BECOME SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS. MOTORISTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING ACROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT.

[wrkh99]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
800 PM CST THU JAN 8 2004

.DISCUSSION...
WELL...THE LATEST REPORTS INDICATE THAT ROADS ARE IN GOOD
SHAPE...WITH SOME ICING BEING REPORTED MAINLY IN TREES AND POWER
LINES. IN ADDITION THIS RETREATING ARCTIC AIRMASS HAS LEFT THE
GROUND FROZEN...SO IF TEMPS SLIDE ANYMORE DOWNWARD WE WILL BEGIN
HAVING SOME ICE ACCRETION.

THE COLDEST TEMP THAT WE HAVE OBTAINED IS MONTE SANO WITH 29 AND DEW
POINT IS 26. THIS ILLUSTRATES THE ELEVATION PROBLEMS THAT WILL BE
ONGOING WITH THIS BORDERLINE EVENT HOVERING AROUND THE 32 DEGREE
LINE.

THE 00Z SOUNDING OUT OF BHM IS STRIKING...WITH AN ENORMOUS WARM
LAYER WHILE BNA IS HOVERING AROUND THE 0C LINE WITH A CLASSIC DRY
LAYER IN THE LOWEST 1000 FEET...SO EVAPORATIVE COOLING WILL SLOWLY
SATURATE THAT LAYER OUT. THE BNA RADAR SHOWS THE BRIGHT BANDING UP
NEAR THE LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES.

WILL ISSUE ANOTHER AFD AFTER THE UPPER AIR ANALYSIS IS COMPLETE.
HOWEVER HERE IS MY GAMEPLAN.

COORDINATED WITH BNA THANKS!

&&

[bkhusky2]

It's close here, but not going to make it. Current temperature is 32.5, dewpoint 31.2, not going to make it.

[wrkh99]

It's close here, but not going to make it. Current temperature is 32.5, dewpoint 31.2, not going to make it.

I agree your temps should warm up overnight just like areas of South MS and South AL are doing now .

TN and north GA will have some big time iceing problems in the morning .