First Call Snowfall amounts Map!!

[Guest]

Still early yet so it could change but this is looking better and better then normal out this far anyways.......

[Anonymous]

Very nice map!

If that map verifies, I would love it if the storm tracks about 50 miles farther south, then I would be right in the Big-Time window of opportunity!!

HOWEVER..........................When it comes to Snow..................CAUTION is my name, and CAUTION is my game.

I would love 6 inches so I could enjoy it during the cold wave.............10 inches would get me so darn excited I would have to be placed on strong tranquilizers just to function LOL LOL!!!, BUT I will play it safe so I STILL officially am expecting an inch in Woodbridge from this system.



-CAUTIONARY JEB...........Hoping for significant snow.....but CAUTIOUS just the same...................

[Buckeye]

King I hope you're right but the darn eta is hellbent on screwing the OV. Here is the new 00zeta totals for 84 hrs.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 8_084l.gif

Gfs is better but still has ghe same basic northwest to southeast precip alignment with central Oh being on the southern fringe of the moderate snow.

2 good points: First it is not always a good thing to be in the sweetspot 72-84 hrs out on the eta or the gfs. Second, I do believe any future model adjustments on the track will be to the south, not the north. I also think the eta and gfs are both underestimating the strength of the low, especially west of the apps. If it is stronger it will tend to dig a little further south, ie a better track for us.

[Guest]

King I hope you're right but the darn eta is hellbent on screwing the OV. Here is the new 00zeta totals for 84 hrs.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 8_084l.gif

Gfs is better but still has ghe same basic northwest to southeast precip alignment with central Oh being on the southern fringe of the moderate snow.

2 good points: First it is not always a good thing to be in the sweetspot 72-84 hrs out on the eta or the gfs. Second, I do believe any future model adjustments on the track will be to the south, not the north. I also think the eta and gfs are both underestimating the strength of the low, especially west of the apps. If it is stronger it will tend to dig a little further south, ie a better track for us.

Good eye and exactly what im thinking which is why i have those amounts shown like i do!!!!!Great points which i hope everyone else here takes into account!!!!!Nice if you ask me not beeing in the so called jackpot on those models this far out!!!!!

I think we will do just fine Buckeye from this system! BTW welcome to the other side!

[Buckeye]

Yea, it's kinda nice being able to post on a board where every storm isn't evaluated only on it's potential to become a noreaster.

[Anonymous]

King I hope you're right but the darn eta is hellbent on screwing the OV. Here is the new 00zeta totals for 84 hrs.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 8_084l.gif

Gfs is better but still has ghe same basic northwest to southeast precip alignment with central Oh being on the southern fringe of the moderate snow.

2 good points: First it is not always a good thing to be in the sweetspot 72-84 hrs out on the eta or the gfs. Second, I do believe any future model adjustments on the track will be to the south, not the north. I also think the eta and gfs are both underestimating the strength of the low, especially west of the apps. If it is stronger it will tend to dig a little further south, ie a better track for us.

Good eye and exactly what im thinking which is why i have those amounts shown like i do!!!!!Great points which i hope everyone else here takes into account!!!!!Nice if you ask me not beeing in the so called jackpot on those models this far out!!!!!

I think we will do just fine Buckeye from this system! BTW welcome to the other side!

That DOES improve my outlook some concerning this particular system!
THANKS!!!!



-JEB.................Proceeding with caution.......

[Guest]

Yea, it's kinda nice being able to post on a board where every storm isn't evaluated only on it's potential to become a noreaster.

Yea thats one of the great things about here. Have people from all over the country. Pretty evenly split!

[RuggieWeather]

King Great map, I couldn't have laid it out any better than that ! That's exactly what I'm thinking also, and yes I'm in the jackpot zone here in Southwestern New Jersey. Alot of people think I'm crazy high with amount, but .50" liquid with 1:20 snow ratio and doent take a rocket Scientist to figure that out !!! I'm saying since yesterday 4 to 8 with up to a foot towards the coast !!!

Talk more later on this as it nears, Pulk will be overnight Wednesday !!!

[JCT777]

King - very good map. IMO the amounts may be a little lower in the NYC area than what you are showing, but otherwise it looks great.

[Buckeye]

New eta says zilch for central OH. Not even snowshowers...ugh

[Stephanie]

JACKPOT!!!

I do realize what you are saying about being in the bull's eye this far out because anything is possible still.

[Skywatch_NC]

King, maybe I'll get at least .50 -1" of the white at the NC/VA border...if I'm lucky.

Eric

[therock1811]

[Anonymous]

Sorry Rock, we are all under a Winter Screw Watch for an imminent Winter Screw Job event.

Don't cancel your outdoor plans, but DO dress for cold conditions------the cold air will move in. Expect times of sun and clouds and a breeze, but we are now under a Winter Screw Watch.





-JEB

[R0bb0871]

Why do you think the jackpot area will be Central NJ, Northern NJ, and NYC?!?

[therock1811]

Well, I'm not too sure on that yet...but at this point, that's what I think, is that the low moves a little further north as it exits the VA coast...also higher ratios are possible depending on the cold air...

[Guest]

snow amounts on all these maps here are simply way too high and severely distorted by JB

[wx_mon_ofthefuture]

[therock1811]

I disagree DT for the simple reason that there is WAY too much uncertainty, plus 18z ETA and GFS are BOTH shifting southward tonight, and that means that this may have just been a slight hiccup, and that maybe all will trend the other way again.

[verycoolnin]

Still hoping the system moves south, but it looks unlikely.