MAJOR surprise event!

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Colin
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MAJOR surprise event!

#1 Postby Colin » Sat Jan 17, 2004 10:45 am

Looks like I went from 1-3" to 4-7"! Radar is looking very good, and the precip is far north! WOOOOOOOOO! :D

Also the models are trending stronger and farther north!
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#2 Postby Dj3 » Sat Jan 17, 2004 11:03 am

colin what areas will be affected by snow from this storm. and where do you live in PA? thanks
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#3 Postby Colin » Sat Jan 17, 2004 11:10 am

Dj3,

Most of PA (north of a Lancaster to Philadelphia line), NJ, NYC, and S NY will get significant snows from this system...probably 4-8".

I'm in East Central PA, a few miles north of Allentown.
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#4 Postby Dj3 » Sat Jan 17, 2004 11:17 am

THanks COllin! I live north and east of pittsburgh do u think we will see any accumulations?
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#5 Postby Colin » Sat Jan 17, 2004 11:20 am

Ummmm, yes, 2-4" possibly. Is it snowing there now or just cloudy?
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#6 Postby Dj3 » Sat Jan 17, 2004 11:23 am

ITs showing snow on the radar but its probably evaporating before it hits the ground. thanks for your help
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initial snow

#7 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Sat Jan 17, 2004 12:46 pm

Looks ominou on doppler. But that first batch of snow is not reaching the ground. The air maybe too dry to start off this event. That combined with the short timing of this event could favor more of a 2-4" snow for nw burbs of Philly as opposed to more than 4".

Not bad for the start of 2004, especially after Wednesday nights snow. We got nothing here Wednesday night except a dusting of snow. It may turn out a bit better with time later tonite. But ice is the biggest issue down here, perhaps a prolonged 5-6 hour period of ice.

Jim
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#8 Postby Colin » Sat Jan 17, 2004 12:55 pm

Doubt it Jim...the precip extends to New Mexico! :o I don't see it being a "short event," not a long event either, but 12-16 hours IMO.
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Anonymous

#9 Postby Anonymous » Sat Jan 17, 2004 12:55 pm

so like freezing rain for the areas with deep snowpack. snow totals are what?
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ColdFront77

#10 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Jan 17, 2004 6:00 pm

Dj3 wrote:ITs showing snow on the radar but its probably evaporating before it hits the ground. thanks for your help

That was some virga about five hours ago. The latest radar sure looks more impressive now, must be snowing in the Pittsburgh area now.

Colin wrote:Doubt it Jim...the precip extends to New Mexico! :o I don't see it being a "short event," not a long event either, but 12-16
hours IMO.

The precipitation (snow and mix in the eastern portions and rain over the Ohio and Mississippi Valleys, westward through Kansas and into northern Texas and eastern New Mexico) may not be moving "the long way." - so 12 to 16 hours of precipitation sounds reasonable.

There is really no way the activity can take half to two-thirds of a day to move from eastern New Mexico/northern Texas to Pennsylvania.
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