As usual ...
http://www.stormsfury1.com
(My forecast/prognostic discussion) ... extensive maps, and links ...
SF
Continued trends towards decent CAD for NC/VA ...
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Stormsfury
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SacrydDreamz
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Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
IN regards to the ECMWF tonight ...
I'm still NOT quite sold on the BOMB in the Plains just yet, given the ECMWF's bias (tendency) to hang back energy in the SW (only real known bias to the model) ...
Given the blocking (SEVERE Blocking on Day 6/7) with a 50/50 LOW off of NF ... I'm not so certain that the high gets shunted that quickly east in Eastern Canada...
I rely heavily on the ECMWF for MR progs, but again, I still think s/w issues in the SW are still wreaking a bit of havoc with the outputs in the MR ... however, I am very encouraged with the overall depiction of the longwave trough look, but NOT convinced of that SE Ridging ... just yet.
SF
I'm still NOT quite sold on the BOMB in the Plains just yet, given the ECMWF's bias (tendency) to hang back energy in the SW (only real known bias to the model) ...
Given the blocking (SEVERE Blocking on Day 6/7) with a 50/50 LOW off of NF ... I'm not so certain that the high gets shunted that quickly east in Eastern Canada...
I rely heavily on the ECMWF for MR progs, but again, I still think s/w issues in the SW are still wreaking a bit of havoc with the outputs in the MR ... however, I am very encouraged with the overall depiction of the longwave trough look, but NOT convinced of that SE Ridging ... just yet.
SF
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Anonymous
Nice analysis SF!!
Let's stay cautious though.
I live by this......................
"The more complicated it is, the more unlikely it is to verify."
This is so very very true especially in the Mid Atlantic where everything, so many things, have to come together for us to get snow at all.
This, in a winter where in the East, the predominant trend has been The North Trend.
-JEB
Let's stay cautious though.
I live by this......................
"The more complicated it is, the more unlikely it is to verify."
This is so very very true especially in the Mid Atlantic where everything, so many things, have to come together for us to get snow at all.
This, in a winter where in the East, the predominant trend has been The North Trend.
-JEB
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