Folks we have some new developments that frankly I did NOT expect. Therefore I will start this thread today.
Looks like things are starting to get a little more active for us here in northern Virginia.
Frankly, I am having a difficult time believing that a clipper, of all the things, is going to bring light snow to N VA tonight?!!!!! Get outa here!!! We all KNOW these things trend north!! Come ON now!!
Yup, I'll be busy here at the Jebcast Weatherplex through the weekend as the pattern stays chilly with increasing storminess.
I think you should see these...................
000
FXUS61 KLWX 231520 CCA
AFDLWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1015 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2004
UPDATE...
CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE. DROPPED THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR
THE WESTERN TIER...OTHERWISE NO CHANGES MADE IN THE SHORT TERM.
CLIPPER STILL SLATED TO COME THROUGH TONIGHT.
...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TNGT...
QUITE A VARIETY TO DEAL WITH EARLY THIS MORN. FFA WL CONT FOR XTRM
SRN AUG COUNTY FOR WEAKENED DAM WITH FAILURE POT. AREA AFFECTED
SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY SMALL IF IT DOES GO LOOKING AT TOPO
MAPS...SO WL NOT EXTEND IT ANY FURTHER AND KEEP 'XTRM SRN' WORDING.
WND CHILL ADV WL CONT FOR THE MORN HRS AS WELL WITH WCIS IN THE SNGL
DIGITS EITHER SIDE OF ZERO. CLD CVR IN THE W HAS KEPT TEMPS FM
FALLING TOO FAR.
MOVING ONTO THE SENSIBLE WX. CLIPPER SYS WL RACE SEWD TDY AND TNGT.
XPCT MOISTURE FM THIS SYS TO AFFECT WRN ZNS AROUND 00Z SPREADING
QUICKLY EWD. DESPITE SOME DRYING IN THE LLVLS DUE TO DOWNSLOPING...
PRIND THAT THERE COULD BE ACCUMULATING SN ALL THE WAY TO THE BAY.
PWATS INCRS TO AROUND .3-.5 IN WITH GOOD FORCING. BROAD F VECTOR
CONVGC OVR ROUGHLY THE NRN HALF OF THE AREA QUANTIFYING RESPONSE TO
MODERATE FRONTOGENETIC FORCING. ISENTROPIC LIFT ALSO CONTRIBUTING.
DECENT H7-H5 AND H5-H3 LYRD Q VECTOR CONVGC DEVELOPS AROUND 00Z
CONTG THRU 12Z...AND SOME INDICATIONS IN THE ETA UPR WND FIELDS THAT
A PAIR OF COUPLED SPEED MAXES WL CROSS THE AREA AROUND 06Z.
DECENT AMT OF SN ASSOC WITH THIS SYS OVR THE XTRM NRN PLAINS/NODAK
EARLY THIS MORN. THIS SYS LOOKS TO HV MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED FORCING
ASSOC WITH IT THAN THE LAST SYS WHICH PRODUCED SOME LGT ACCUMS. ALL
THAT SAID...WL GO AHEAD WITH THE ADV FOR THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS TO
MATCH SURROUNDING OFFICES. WL HOLD OFF FOR NOW ON EXTENDING THE ADV
ANY FURTHER E AS THIS IS STILL A SECOND PD EVENT. POT EXISTS FOR
SOME ACCUMULATING SN FURTHER E BUT WL LET DAY WATCH MAKE THE CALL.
WL MENTION IN SPS FOR NOW.
&&
.AVIATION...
NO BIG PROBS FOR THE FIRST 12H WITH GOOD VFR CONDS PERSISTING THRUT
THE DAY. WL MOVE INTO SOME MARGINAL VFR 01-03Z TNGT AND GRADUALLY
TWD IFR CONDS WITH SN THEREAFT. GUSTY NW WNDS WL PERSIST THRU THE
FIRST HALF OF TODAY AS WELL WITH GUSTS 20-25KT POSS.
MANNING
&&
.LONG TERM...SAT AND BEYOND...
CLIPPER DEPARTS ELY SAT. COLD BLUSTERY NW FLOW IN ITS WAKE...AGN.
SCT SHSN IN PTMC HIGHLANDS APPRS RSNBL. NOT BYD REALM OF PSBLTY THAT
A FEW SHSN CUD WORK E OF THAT...SPCLY ACRS MD DUE TO TROFFINESS...
BUT WONT TO THAT XTRM ATTM.
HIPRES RDG /SFC-H8/ WORKS INTO CWFA SAT NGT...ASSISTING IN PRTL
CLRG. HWVR...CLDS WL MAKE A QUIK RTN BFR DAWN AHD OF NXT STORM
SYSTM. THIS TIME...WE WL BE DEALING W/ A SRN STREAM SYSTM...WHICH
WL HV ACCESS TO THE GLFMEX FOR AMPLE MSTR. OVRRUNNING PCPN WL
OVRSPRD CWFA DRNG SUN. HVYST PCP LOOKS TO BE SUN AFTN...COMFORTABLE
ENUF TO JUMP POPS TO LIKELY XCPT NE MD. MASS FIELDS THEN INDC CSTL
RDVLPMNT SUN NGT... WHICH SHUD PULL MUCH OF THE MSTR OFFSHORE. OF
COURSE... TIMING DEPENDENT UPON SOLN...AND MUCH STILL NEEDS TO BE
RESOLVED. SEEMS APPARENT THAT SOME MIX PTYPE WL OCCUR. AT SAME
TIME...HV GONE W/ A COLDER SOLN THAN GDNC DUE TO ITS TENDENCY TO
BLAST WARMTH NWD TOO QUICKLY-- THIS EVENT HAS GOOD CAD POTL...AND WE
ARE STILL 3 DAYS AWAY. WINTER STORM OUTLOOK WL CONTINUE...
PER TEMPS...SHADED MAXT DWN IN THE N BUT UP IN THE S SAT DUE TO
COMPRESSIONAL WARMING. SAT NGT AND SUN HV BEEN BUMPED DWNWD...IN
SOME CASES CONSIDERABLY DRNG DAY. DONT XPCT MUCH OF A TEMP RISE SUN
W/ EVAP COOLING OF ATMOS AND EVENTUAL POTL SNWFL. IN FACT...QUITE
LIKELY THAT TEMPS WL BE STDY/SLOWLY RISING LT SUN/SUN EVE DUE TO WAA.
HV NOT MADE ANY CHGS TO XTNDD PART OF FCST.
HTS
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...SCA ALL ZNS ANZ530>537.
$$
----and-------
Severe Weather Alert from the National Weather Service
...ALBEMARLE VA-ALLEGANY MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA VA-AUGUSTA VA-BERKELEY WV- CALVERT MD-CARROLL MD-CHARLES MD-CLARKE VA-CULPEPER VA- DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DC-FAIRFAX VA-FAUQUIER VA-FREDERICK VA- FREDERICK MD-GRANT WV-GREENE VA-HAMPSHIRE WV-HARDY WV-HARFORD MD- HIGHLAND VA-HOWARD MD-JEFFERSON WV-KING GEORGE VA-LOUDOUN VA- MADISON VA-MINERAL WV-MONTGOMERY MD-MORGAN WV-NELSON VA- NORTHERN BALTIMORE MD-ORANGE VA-PAGE VA-PENDLETON WV- PRINCE GEORGES MD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA- RAPPAHANNOCK VA-ROCKINGHAM VA-SHENANDOAH VA-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD- SPOTSYLVANIA VA-ST. MARYS MD-STAFFORD VA-WARREN VA-WASHINGTON MD-
... SNOW EXPECTED TONIGHT AND LATE THIS WEEKEND...
A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY SOUTHEAST TONIGHT PRODUCING A PERIOD OF SNOW TONIGHT. A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY EARLY THIS WEEKEND BEFORE MOVING OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION LATE SATURDAY BRINGING A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BRINGING SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS TO THE REGION TONIGHT. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BETWEEN 6 AND 8 PM IN THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND BETWEEN 7 AND 9 PM EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND AN INCH ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA BEFORE SNOW TAPERS OFF AROUND SUNRISE.
ACCUMULATING SNOW IS AGAIN POSSIBLE BEGINNING SUNDAY AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS POINT THE PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE PREDOMINATELY IN THE FORM OF SNOW... EXCEPT OVER THE CENTRAL SHENANDOAH VALLEY AND FOOTHILLS WHERE A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE. SMALL CHANGES IN THE TRACK AND INTENSITY CAN RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. IF THE STORM TRAVELS FURTHER TO THE NORTH... MIXED PRECIPITATION BECOMES MORE LIKELY. IF THE STORM TAKES A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK... THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION MAY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA....
Yup folks we may have some weather to deal with here and I will be doing my best to cover it for you here at the Jebcast Weatherplex.
Look out, Lowpressure, this could be an active weekend for us. Temps last night dropped precipitously. We hit 14 overnight with a dewpoint of -6 and N winds 12 to 19 with gusts to 26.
The weather is crisp allright.
It appears that N VA may well look quite different by Sunday evening after this new southern-stream system shifts off the MA coast.
-JEB
Storm Thread for N VA begins Tonight into Jan 25/26.......
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Lowpressure
- S2K Supporter
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Anonymous
Lowpressure wrote:Jeb- it does indeed appear to be active period ahead. Clipper kinda caught us by surprise. I will be here throughout - as always, reporting from Fredericksburg over the weekend and Alexandria Monday. I am bringing the snowplow home form work. 18.2 degrees this morning at home.
Yeah you may need that plow
However, I will be shoveling all my snow!
Hey, they don't call me The Digger for nothing lol!
-JEB
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Chris the Weather Man
- Category 2
- Posts: 746
- Joined: Fri Dec 12, 2003 9:49 pm
- Location: NJ
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Anonymous
You can count on me to keep y'alls updated on this developing weather over the weekend here at the Jebcast Weatherplex in N VA.
Could get interesting. I do expect some wintry precip here, just not sure how much.
About WXBUFFJIM's thread, he mentioned mesoscale bands. It is indeed a crying shame that N VA can not get one of those mesoscale bands, at least for a quarter-hour or so, that would be so sweet, but I guess that's just the breaks.
-JEB
Could get interesting. I do expect some wintry precip here, just not sure how much.
About WXBUFFJIM's thread, he mentioned mesoscale bands. It is indeed a crying shame that N VA can not get one of those mesoscale bands, at least for a quarter-hour or so, that would be so sweet, but I guess that's just the breaks.
-JEB
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Anonymous
Okay folks, I'll cut right to the Chase with some Radars................
This is Intellicast's Long Loop radar for the Washington DC Region.
This is the National Intellicast Radar. Would you look at that Clipper precip shield.
This is the Intellicast Radar for the Washington DC Region. That clipper has a good-sized precip shield associated with it.
This is Accuweather's National Snow/Ice/Rain Radar Composite Map. I understand many of you out there take some serious umbrage with "InAccuweather", but I HAD to include it..........
Here is a page where you may click on any regional Accuweather NEXRAD site and check out its weather........
Personally, I'm kinda partial to Intellicast's National Radar.
I've also taken a shine to Intellicast's Washington DC regional radar page!
Yup folks, I do believe we have some radars to watch tonight and a little later on into this weekend over the Carolinas, Virginia, Maryland and on into Pennsylvania for the very real threat of snow, sleet and frzra to fall upon very cold ground.
-JEB
This is Intellicast's Long Loop radar for the Washington DC Region.
This is the National Intellicast Radar. Would you look at that Clipper precip shield.
This is the Intellicast Radar for the Washington DC Region. That clipper has a good-sized precip shield associated with it.
This is Accuweather's National Snow/Ice/Rain Radar Composite Map. I understand many of you out there take some serious umbrage with "InAccuweather", but I HAD to include it..........
Here is a page where you may click on any regional Accuweather NEXRAD site and check out its weather........
Personally, I'm kinda partial to Intellicast's National Radar.
I've also taken a shine to Intellicast's Washington DC regional radar page!
Yup folks, I do believe we have some radars to watch tonight and a little later on into this weekend over the Carolinas, Virginia, Maryland and on into Pennsylvania for the very real threat of snow, sleet and frzra to fall upon very cold ground.
-JEB
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Anonymous
Okay, it appears that N VA clear to the Chesapeake Bay will see some light snow with this Clipper tonight. Also on the docket is a southern stream storm that will spread a variety of wintry precipitation over the Mid Atlantic into the SNE possibly later this weekend into Monday.
One thing I have to say is that the ground temps are quite cold. I have personally been outside conducting jebwalks across grassy areas and I have verified that the ground here in N VA is FROZEN. This is very cold ground folks.
I have seen many of the local bodies of water that have ice on them because of all the nice arctic weather we've enjoyed over the past 10 days to two weeks.
Some of that ice is now 2 to 3 inches thick. But I would not advise walking on it just yet. Wait until it reaches a uniform 4 inches thick before walking on it. If I'm wrong, somebody correct me!!
There has been a lot of rain in December and then the ground froze in January. As you might imagine, there is a lot of frozen water in that saturated soil.
Last Saturday we had some moderate sleet then light to moderate frzra then a few hours of light to moderate rain into last Sunday. The high temps last Saturday hit 40 degrees, with an overnight low of 28. Sunday's high with the rain was 38. That rain did not thaw the hard-frozen soil, rather, it just ran off and pooled on the frozen soil. I walked on the grass after the rain at 38 degrees last Sunday. The grass was wet but the ground was as frozen as ever. The next arctic front simply froze all the pools of water that lay on the frozen ground from Sunday's rain. Now we have some ice in the grass that can be slid upon. I personally enjoyed sliding on some of this ice in the grass Wednesday during yet another 28-degree jebwalk. Thursday (yesterday) it was 47 degrees, but that ice did not melt. It's still there; I checked it today.
That ground is cold and frozen; not even a 38-degree rain could even begin to thaw it out.
Last Saturday's high was 40, Low, 28.
Last Sunday's high with rain was 38, Low, 22.
Monday the high was 29, the low was 19.
Tuesday the high was 28, the low was 12.
Wednesday the high was 29 (progged for 32 though), the low was 17.
Thursday (yesterday) the high was 47, then the latest arctic front dropped us to a cool, bracing 14 this morning (progged for 17 though).
That brings us to today, Friday. Well it's windy with NNW winds at 7 to 14 mph gusts to 22 (But last night we had N winds 18 to 26 with gusts to 36mph) and clear skies with a nice bracing cool high temperature of 27 degrees, with a dewpoint of -4 degrees. Temps are beginning to fall; I can see some cirrus moving in from our west. The clipper is moving ESE.
I still can not believe that clipper is not trending NORTH. It's really hard to believe folks.
Keep in mind in N VA tonight, that with the clouds increasing that we will not fall much below 18 to 21 for a low tonight. We are about to lose the sun. When the light snow falls, it will fall onto very cold roads and sidewalks and the ground is frigid and frozen. Roads WILL become slick. We may pick up an inch; a dusting is more likely, but please be careful tonight if you MUST travel. There is an outside possibility that we could get more than an inch; but that's negligible. Keep an eye on the radars in this thread, and I will post the links as we move forward in time tonight and on through this weekend. The entire Mid Atlantic and even SNE needs to stay alert through Monday. Temps over the FA are trending colder, not warmer. Where sleet and frzra do fall there will be MUCHO trouble with ice issues on the roads.
I will keep you all apprised of this developing winter weather over the next 3 days or so.
-JEB
One thing I have to say is that the ground temps are quite cold. I have personally been outside conducting jebwalks across grassy areas and I have verified that the ground here in N VA is FROZEN. This is very cold ground folks.
I have seen many of the local bodies of water that have ice on them because of all the nice arctic weather we've enjoyed over the past 10 days to two weeks.
Some of that ice is now 2 to 3 inches thick. But I would not advise walking on it just yet. Wait until it reaches a uniform 4 inches thick before walking on it. If I'm wrong, somebody correct me!!
There has been a lot of rain in December and then the ground froze in January. As you might imagine, there is a lot of frozen water in that saturated soil.
Last Saturday we had some moderate sleet then light to moderate frzra then a few hours of light to moderate rain into last Sunday. The high temps last Saturday hit 40 degrees, with an overnight low of 28. Sunday's high with the rain was 38. That rain did not thaw the hard-frozen soil, rather, it just ran off and pooled on the frozen soil. I walked on the grass after the rain at 38 degrees last Sunday. The grass was wet but the ground was as frozen as ever. The next arctic front simply froze all the pools of water that lay on the frozen ground from Sunday's rain. Now we have some ice in the grass that can be slid upon. I personally enjoyed sliding on some of this ice in the grass Wednesday during yet another 28-degree jebwalk. Thursday (yesterday) it was 47 degrees, but that ice did not melt. It's still there; I checked it today.
That ground is cold and frozen; not even a 38-degree rain could even begin to thaw it out.
Last Saturday's high was 40, Low, 28.
Last Sunday's high with rain was 38, Low, 22.
Monday the high was 29, the low was 19.
Tuesday the high was 28, the low was 12.
Wednesday the high was 29 (progged for 32 though), the low was 17.
Thursday (yesterday) the high was 47, then the latest arctic front dropped us to a cool, bracing 14 this morning (progged for 17 though).
That brings us to today, Friday. Well it's windy with NNW winds at 7 to 14 mph gusts to 22 (But last night we had N winds 18 to 26 with gusts to 36mph) and clear skies with a nice bracing cool high temperature of 27 degrees, with a dewpoint of -4 degrees. Temps are beginning to fall; I can see some cirrus moving in from our west. The clipper is moving ESE.
I still can not believe that clipper is not trending NORTH. It's really hard to believe folks.
Keep in mind in N VA tonight, that with the clouds increasing that we will not fall much below 18 to 21 for a low tonight. We are about to lose the sun. When the light snow falls, it will fall onto very cold roads and sidewalks and the ground is frigid and frozen. Roads WILL become slick. We may pick up an inch; a dusting is more likely, but please be careful tonight if you MUST travel. There is an outside possibility that we could get more than an inch; but that's negligible. Keep an eye on the radars in this thread, and I will post the links as we move forward in time tonight and on through this weekend. The entire Mid Atlantic and even SNE needs to stay alert through Monday. Temps over the FA are trending colder, not warmer. Where sleet and frzra do fall there will be MUCHO trouble with ice issues on the roads.
I will keep you all apprised of this developing winter weather over the next 3 days or so.
-JEB
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Anonymous
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FROM NWS
Severe Weather Alert from the National Weather Service
...ALBEMARLE VA-ALLEGANY MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA VA-AUGUSTA VA-BERKELEY WV- CALVERT MD-CARROLL MD-CHARLES MD-CLARKE VA-CULPEPER VA- DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DC-FAIRFAX VA-FAUQUIER VA-FREDERICK VA- FREDERICK MD-GRANT WV-GREENE VA-HAMPSHIRE WV-HARDY WV-HARFORD MD- HIGHLAND VA-HOWARD MD-JEFFERSON WV-KING GEORGE VA-LOUDOUN VA- MADISON VA-MINERAL WV-MONTGOMERY MD-MORGAN WV-NELSON VA- NORTHERN BALTIMORE MD-ORANGE VA-PAGE VA-PENDLETON WV- PRINCE GEORGES MD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA- RAPPAHANNOCK VA-ROCKINGHAM VA-SHENANDOAH VA-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD- SPOTSYLVANIA VA-ST. MARYS MD-STAFFORD VA-WARREN VA-WASHINGTON MD-
... LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED TONIGHT...
... MORE WINTRY WEATHER COMING SUNDAY...
A RAPIDLY MOVING AND WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL PRODUCE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION TONIGHT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE EARLY THIS EVENING... THEN MOVE EAST INTO THE BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON AREAS DURING THE MID AND LATE EVENING. 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS. ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN INCH ARE EXPECTED FROM LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND TO AROUND CHARLOTTESVILLE... WITH UP TO AN INCH EXPECTED ELSEWHERE INCLUDING BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON DC. SNOW WILL TAPER TO FLURRIES FROM WEST TO EAST BY DAWN.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOWER 20S FROM LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND TO THE WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA PIEDMONT. ELSEWHERE... LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 15 TO 20 DEGREE RANGE. THIS MEANS THAT ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE ON SURFACES INCLUDING ROADWAYS. USE CAUTION IF YOU ARE DRIVING TONIGHT IN ANY SNOW.
A MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTER EVENT APPEARS TO BE ON TAP FOR SUNDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY MORNING IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO OHIO BY MONDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD SNOW FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST SUNDAY MORNING AND EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT... BUT MAY CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS SOUTH OF WASHINGTON DC. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATING SNOW SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 20S SUNDAY... THEN WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S SUNDAY NIGHT. DRY MILDER WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40....
As I have already mentioned, any snow that falls will stick to roads and there will be absolutely NO SOLAR INSOLATION to help out. Temperatures will be in the upper teens to low twenties and slick roadways will present a hazard to motorists. Be very careful tonight if traveling. It's not a lot of snow...........but it will be very cold and the roads are very cold. In such a milieu, it only requires about a quarter to a half-inch of snow on that cold road to enable a car to slide. Slam on the brakes and you will not only slide, you might spin or fishtail. Exercise caution while turning and on curves and hilly terrain.
-JEB
Severe Weather Alert from the National Weather Service
...ALBEMARLE VA-ALLEGANY MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD- ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA VA-AUGUSTA VA-BERKELEY WV- CALVERT MD-CARROLL MD-CHARLES MD-CLARKE VA-CULPEPER VA- DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DC-FAIRFAX VA-FAUQUIER VA-FREDERICK VA- FREDERICK MD-GRANT WV-GREENE VA-HAMPSHIRE WV-HARDY WV-HARFORD MD- HIGHLAND VA-HOWARD MD-JEFFERSON WV-KING GEORGE VA-LOUDOUN VA- MADISON VA-MINERAL WV-MONTGOMERY MD-MORGAN WV-NELSON VA- NORTHERN BALTIMORE MD-ORANGE VA-PAGE VA-PENDLETON WV- PRINCE GEORGES MD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA- RAPPAHANNOCK VA-ROCKINGHAM VA-SHENANDOAH VA-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD- SPOTSYLVANIA VA-ST. MARYS MD-STAFFORD VA-WARREN VA-WASHINGTON MD-
... LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED TONIGHT...
... MORE WINTRY WEATHER COMING SUNDAY...
A RAPIDLY MOVING AND WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL PRODUCE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION TONIGHT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE EARLY THIS EVENING... THEN MOVE EAST INTO THE BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON AREAS DURING THE MID AND LATE EVENING. 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS. ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN INCH ARE EXPECTED FROM LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND TO AROUND CHARLOTTESVILLE... WITH UP TO AN INCH EXPECTED ELSEWHERE INCLUDING BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON DC. SNOW WILL TAPER TO FLURRIES FROM WEST TO EAST BY DAWN.
LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOWER 20S FROM LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND TO THE WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA PIEDMONT. ELSEWHERE... LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 15 TO 20 DEGREE RANGE. THIS MEANS THAT ANY SNOW THAT FALLS WILL ACCUMULATE ON SURFACES INCLUDING ROADWAYS. USE CAUTION IF YOU ARE DRIVING TONIGHT IN ANY SNOW.
A MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTER EVENT APPEARS TO BE ON TAP FOR SUNDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY MORNING IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO OHIO BY MONDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD SNOW FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST SUNDAY MORNING AND EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT... BUT MAY CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS SOUTH OF WASHINGTON DC. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATING SNOW SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 20S SUNDAY... THEN WILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S SUNDAY NIGHT. DRY MILDER WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 30S TO AROUND 40....
As I have already mentioned, any snow that falls will stick to roads and there will be absolutely NO SOLAR INSOLATION to help out. Temperatures will be in the upper teens to low twenties and slick roadways will present a hazard to motorists. Be very careful tonight if traveling. It's not a lot of snow...........but it will be very cold and the roads are very cold. In such a milieu, it only requires about a quarter to a half-inch of snow on that cold road to enable a car to slide. Slam on the brakes and you will not only slide, you might spin or fishtail. Exercise caution while turning and on curves and hilly terrain.
-JEB
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Anonymous
530pm Fri Jan 23 2004...........................
Temps are fallin' like a rock here folks.
It's 23 degrees with a dewpoint of -1. Winds are N at 5mph.
I saw cirrus and dark bands of altostratus just at sundown, to our west.
Those clouds are heading east/southeast in advance of this area of precipitation. It appears that we might get something from this clipper tonight.
-JEB
Temps are fallin' like a rock here folks.
It's 23 degrees with a dewpoint of -1. Winds are N at 5mph.
I saw cirrus and dark bands of altostratus just at sundown, to our west.
Those clouds are heading east/southeast in advance of this area of precipitation. It appears that we might get something from this clipper tonight.
-JEB
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Lowpressure
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Anonymous
730pm..................................
Temps steady at 22 degrees, dewpoints are UP to 1 degree above zero, winds are turning more ENE at 5 mph and there are more clouds over head.
This radar shows the snow getting closer and closer......................... That area of snow is sliding south and eastward with time. Watch out for light snow in about 2 hours..........
-JEB
Temps steady at 22 degrees, dewpoints are UP to 1 degree above zero, winds are turning more ENE at 5 mph and there are more clouds over head.
This radar shows the snow getting closer and closer......................... That area of snow is sliding south and eastward with time. Watch out for light snow in about 2 hours..........
-JEB
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Anonymous
830pm................................
Our temperature is steady at 22 degrees, with winds becoming easterly at 5 to 9 mph. Clouds are increasing over N VA ahead of a clipper. Looking at this radar, we can see that the area of snow ahead of and to the north of this clipper is moving generally east-southeast. It appears to have N VA right in it's cross-hairs. Hmmmm................very, very intriguing.
Whatever snow falls, WILL STICK. The roads are very cold. Accumulation will occur, right from Flake 1. There's nothing quite like Instantaneous consolidation of snowfall on the ground, due to very cold ground temperatures, or surface frigidization, as I call it. I think we will get an inch, perhaps a half-inch more.
It'll be a fine sight in the morning.
-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Our temperature is steady at 22 degrees, with winds becoming easterly at 5 to 9 mph. Clouds are increasing over N VA ahead of a clipper. Looking at this radar, we can see that the area of snow ahead of and to the north of this clipper is moving generally east-southeast. It appears to have N VA right in it's cross-hairs. Hmmmm................very, very intriguing.
Whatever snow falls, WILL STICK. The roads are very cold. Accumulation will occur, right from Flake 1. There's nothing quite like Instantaneous consolidation of snowfall on the ground, due to very cold ground temperatures, or surface frigidization, as I call it. I think we will get an inch, perhaps a half-inch more.
It'll be a fine sight in the morning.
-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Anonymous
930pm......................................
Temps are generally steady at 22 degrees. Winds are generally light out of the east at 3 to 5mph. Pressure is 29.93 and falling. Dewpoint is up one degree at 2 degrees above zero. We have cloudy skies and the clouds are lowering, reflecting light from our streetlights.
Checking on the radar again, you can see the snow (probably virga at this time) moving in over more and more real estate. It is moving generally east and east-southeast.
There is a very persistent snowband which is probably moderate snow which has been very consistent since about 6pm this evening, that is located from over Balto west-northwest in an arc through west-central Penn. This arc-band has been very persistent so far and I believe it will dump 3-5 inches overnight. We are a bit SE of it I am afraid........but we should pick up a good inch, maybe 1.5 inches from this overnight. I may be gazing out the window at a decent Currier & Ives scene come tomorrow morning
I'll keep ya all posted (no pun intended LOL LOL!!!) this evening!!!
-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Temps are generally steady at 22 degrees. Winds are generally light out of the east at 3 to 5mph. Pressure is 29.93 and falling. Dewpoint is up one degree at 2 degrees above zero. We have cloudy skies and the clouds are lowering, reflecting light from our streetlights.
Checking on the radar again, you can see the snow (probably virga at this time) moving in over more and more real estate. It is moving generally east and east-southeast.
There is a very persistent snowband which is probably moderate snow which has been very consistent since about 6pm this evening, that is located from over Balto west-northwest in an arc through west-central Penn. This arc-band has been very persistent so far and I believe it will dump 3-5 inches overnight. We are a bit SE of it I am afraid........but we should pick up a good inch, maybe 1.5 inches from this overnight. I may be gazing out the window at a decent Currier & Ives scene come tomorrow morning
I'll keep ya all posted (no pun intended LOL LOL!!!) this evening!!!
-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Anonymous
1130pm..................................
It is still 22 degrees with east winds at 5 mph.
Also the dewpoints are staying dry........still at 3 degrees above zero.
A check of the radar shows much of the precip is over MD and southern PA tonight. These places will probably pick up 2 to 5 inches of snow overnight. A careful exam of the radar, together with analysis of the overall radar trends tonight, shows that much of the qpf will pass to our north. The stuff you see to our west, will dry out in downsloping as is usually the case in VA. The models probably had the clipper placed a bit too far south. The main axis of precip will be over southern PA and also much of MD tonight. Those folks are probably in some light to mod snow right about now.
I am modifying my progs for N VA.............I think we will see a brief snow shower or flurry overnight about 3am or so. Clouds will keep us in the low 20s................giving tomorrow a good chance of topping out at 36 or so, even with considerable cloudiness, however a high in the low 40s tomorrow is not entirely out of the question.
Personally I am not too upset; I did not expect to see much more than a flurry from this feature, it is moisture-starved after all. But I was hoping for a few glimpses of graupel balls. There's always other storms.......the pattern IS cold AND stormy besides................................
One thing I would like to point out is this........Many storms are favoring the MD/PA Corridor this winter, be it clippers or all-out storms. Each winter there are "favored" places. This winter it has been PA, NJ and MD. This is observed tonight. The place that has had the most hits has been southern central PA in particular and we should see that again on Sunday.
I think N VA will enjoy a few inches of snow on Sunday/Sunday night, and I'll be quite happy. But do not be overly surprised to see MD,S/C PA, and NJ again see the very highest totals from the Sunday storm. That will verify and confirm my hypothesis that the MD, PA, NJ Corridor is indeed a "sweet spot" for the winter of 2003-04.
-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
It is still 22 degrees with east winds at 5 mph.
Also the dewpoints are staying dry........still at 3 degrees above zero.
A check of the radar shows much of the precip is over MD and southern PA tonight. These places will probably pick up 2 to 5 inches of snow overnight. A careful exam of the radar, together with analysis of the overall radar trends tonight, shows that much of the qpf will pass to our north. The stuff you see to our west, will dry out in downsloping as is usually the case in VA. The models probably had the clipper placed a bit too far south. The main axis of precip will be over southern PA and also much of MD tonight. Those folks are probably in some light to mod snow right about now.
I am modifying my progs for N VA.............I think we will see a brief snow shower or flurry overnight about 3am or so. Clouds will keep us in the low 20s................giving tomorrow a good chance of topping out at 36 or so, even with considerable cloudiness, however a high in the low 40s tomorrow is not entirely out of the question.
Personally I am not too upset; I did not expect to see much more than a flurry from this feature, it is moisture-starved after all. But I was hoping for a few glimpses of graupel balls. There's always other storms.......the pattern IS cold AND stormy besides................................
One thing I would like to point out is this........Many storms are favoring the MD/PA Corridor this winter, be it clippers or all-out storms. Each winter there are "favored" places. This winter it has been PA, NJ and MD. This is observed tonight. The place that has had the most hits has been southern central PA in particular and we should see that again on Sunday.
I think N VA will enjoy a few inches of snow on Sunday/Sunday night, and I'll be quite happy. But do not be overly surprised to see MD,S/C PA, and NJ again see the very highest totals from the Sunday storm. That will verify and confirm my hypothesis that the MD, PA, NJ Corridor is indeed a "sweet spot" for the winter of 2003-04.
-JEB!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BRING IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Anonymous
110am Sat Jan 24...........................
Still 22 degrees here, tho we did hit 21 for a second. Dewpoints are still very very dry at 4 degrees. Winds E at 7mph.
Radar shows precip now moving NE away from N VA. Downsloping is drying VA E of the MTS. Thus I am now going with cloudy and chilly overnight, 10% chc of a lone flurry. Saturday I expect variable cloudiness with high 43 degrees. MD and south central PA will pick up 1 to 4 inches overnight.
It's pretty tough to get snow with clippers in VA. Once in a great while they will slow down and dump 5 inches, but this ain't the year, Jose.
Looks great for Sunday folks. Lots of snow on tap for Sunday into Sunday night.........6 to 12 inches ending as sleet in predawn Monday. Possible 12 to 14 inch lollipop.
This will be my last transmission tonight LOL. This is Jeb, here in lovely (snowless, for now) Dale City/Woodbridge, Virginia, reporting from the Jebcast Weatherplex. Signing off for the night folks. Good Night!
Over and Out.
Still 22 degrees here, tho we did hit 21 for a second. Dewpoints are still very very dry at 4 degrees. Winds E at 7mph.
Radar shows precip now moving NE away from N VA. Downsloping is drying VA E of the MTS. Thus I am now going with cloudy and chilly overnight, 10% chc of a lone flurry. Saturday I expect variable cloudiness with high 43 degrees. MD and south central PA will pick up 1 to 4 inches overnight.
It's pretty tough to get snow with clippers in VA. Once in a great while they will slow down and dump 5 inches, but this ain't the year, Jose.
Looks great for Sunday folks. Lots of snow on tap for Sunday into Sunday night.........6 to 12 inches ending as sleet in predawn Monday. Possible 12 to 14 inch lollipop.
This will be my last transmission tonight LOL. This is Jeb, here in lovely (snowless, for now) Dale City/Woodbridge, Virginia, reporting from the Jebcast Weatherplex. Signing off for the night folks. Good Night!
Over and Out.
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Reporting here from Arlington VA, the 530 am Saturday 25 January driveway inspection revealed not a flake, not a speck on the car. It looks like Frederick ate my flurry...and more, as the weatherguessers out of DC and Baltimore report 2-4 inches in the Frederick/Hagerstown area and 1 to 1 1/2 inches in the Baltimore area.
Channels 4 (DC) and 11 (Baltimore) are both calling for the "possibility of 4 or more inches", thus leaving them an out whether the ETA or GFS materialize. Here is the AFD (trying to compromise between the promises of the ETA and the more usual result claimed by GFS 0600):
FXUS61 KLWX 240806
AFDLWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
305 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2004
.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TNGT...
CLIPPER SYS RACING TO THE SE PRODUCING SN ACROSS THE FA EARLY THIS
MORN. AREAS E OF THE MTNS AND S OF THE POTOMAC HV HAD TROUBLE
MAINTAINING SN AS BOUNDARY LYR VRY DRY AND DOWNSLOPING NOT HELPING
MATTERS MUCH. FURTHER TO THE NW OVR NC MD AND THE NRN SHEN VLY SVRL
REPORTS OF 2-4 IN SO FAR. BACK EDGE OF THE STEADY SN NR KPIT NOW AND
MAKING STEADY PROGRESS TO THE SE. STILL UNDECIDED ON WHETHER TO
CARRY POPS FOR THE MORN AND WL TAKE A LAST MIN LOOK AT RADAR TRENDS
BEFORE LETTING GO WITH THE PACKAGE.
BOUNDARY LYR TO REMAIN FAIRLY MOIST TODAY WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE
TRAPPED UNDER STG SUBSIDENCE INVSN. NOT EXPECTING A WHOLE LOT OF
CLRG UNTIL AFTN HRS. THE CLEARING WL BE SHORT LIVED HOWEVER AS CI/AC
FM STRENGTHENING SYS OVR THE SRN PLAINS WL QUICKLY OVERSPREAD THE
AREA FM THE SW.
STILL FEEL THAT PCPN WL NOT START DURING THE NIGHT TNGT AS LLVLS
REMAIN VRY DRY AND MAIN BRUNT OF THE SYS DOESN'T APCH UNTIL THE
DAYTIME HRS SUN. STG SFC RIDGE QUICKLY BUILDS TNGT HELPING TO SET
THE STAGE FOR THE BIGGER EVENT LATE IN THE WKND.
MANNING
&&
.LONG TERM...
INDICATIONS POINTING TWD PSBLTY OF A MORE SIG SNWFL EVENT SUN-SUN
NGT. THUS...WATCHES WL BE POSTED W/ THIS PKG. THX TO ALL SRRNDG
OFFICES FOR COLLAB. ETA PROVIDING A MORE POTENT SOLN THAN GFS...HWVR
ITS HISTORY W/ WINTER WX THIS SEASON HAS BEEN BETTER. THUS...ITS
SOLN IS PREFERRED. HV BACKED OFF ON ITS QPF BY ABT 25 PCT DUE TO A
WET BIAS.
STRNG AREA OF UVV IN ISEN LIFT/OVRRUNNING OVRSPREADS AREA BTWN
15-21Z. AREA AIDED BY STRONG FGEN FORCING AND LFQ OF UPR JET. IN
ADDITION...MAX UVV COINCIDES W/ AREA OF FVRBL SNW GROWTH. THUS...
SHUD BE NO PROBLEM IN MSTNG COLUMN AND CRANKING OUT PCPN. PTYPE ALSO
RATHER STRAIGHTFWD AT FIRST SINCE EVERYONE WL BE BLO FRZG THRUOUT...
AND COMBO OF EVAP COOLING AND NELY FLOW FM SFC RDG WL ENSURE IT
STAYS THAT WAY. EVENTUALLY...ENUF WAA UPSTAIRS WL PRODUCE A WARM
INTRUSION BTWN H8-7. MDL SNDGS SUGGEST THE REMAINDER OF THE ATMOS WL
STAY BLO FRZG THO...WHICH POINTS TWD SLEET. GREATER CHC OF SLEET FOR
CNRTL VA/SRN MD...WHILE AREA ALNG M-D LINE HOLDS ALMOST ALL SNW.
EVERYTHING SHUD WIND DWN AS LO PULLS OFF COAST ELY MON.
BTTM LINE...5 INCH WSW CRITERIA THREATENED PRETTY MUCH EVRYWHERE.
EVEN IF SLEET CUTS DWN ACCUM IN THE S...A MESS STILL LIKELY.
DIDNT DO MUCH TO GRIDS POST STORM. UPR TROF GOES NEG TILT ARND
GRTLKS KEEPING UNSETTLED CONDS THERE. TRAJ NOT GOOD FOR LK EFFECT
LWX CWFA THO. POPS BLO MNTNBL.
HTS
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...WINTER STORM WATCH SUN/SUN NIGHT DCZ001.
MD...WINTER STORM WATCH SUN/SUN NIGHT MDZ002>007...MDZ009>011...MDZ013
...MDZ014...MDZ016>018.
VA...WINTER STORM WATCH SUN/SUN NIGHT VAZ021...VAZ025>031...VAZ036>042
...VAZ050>057.
FLOOD WATCH VAZ025.
WV...WINTER STORM WATCH SUN/SUN NIGHT WVZ048>055.
MARINE...NONE.
$$
Channels 4 (DC) and 11 (Baltimore) are both calling for the "possibility of 4 or more inches", thus leaving them an out whether the ETA or GFS materialize. Here is the AFD (trying to compromise between the promises of the ETA and the more usual result claimed by GFS 0600):
FXUS61 KLWX 240806
AFDLWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
305 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2004
.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TNGT...
CLIPPER SYS RACING TO THE SE PRODUCING SN ACROSS THE FA EARLY THIS
MORN. AREAS E OF THE MTNS AND S OF THE POTOMAC HV HAD TROUBLE
MAINTAINING SN AS BOUNDARY LYR VRY DRY AND DOWNSLOPING NOT HELPING
MATTERS MUCH. FURTHER TO THE NW OVR NC MD AND THE NRN SHEN VLY SVRL
REPORTS OF 2-4 IN SO FAR. BACK EDGE OF THE STEADY SN NR KPIT NOW AND
MAKING STEADY PROGRESS TO THE SE. STILL UNDECIDED ON WHETHER TO
CARRY POPS FOR THE MORN AND WL TAKE A LAST MIN LOOK AT RADAR TRENDS
BEFORE LETTING GO WITH THE PACKAGE.
BOUNDARY LYR TO REMAIN FAIRLY MOIST TODAY WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE
TRAPPED UNDER STG SUBSIDENCE INVSN. NOT EXPECTING A WHOLE LOT OF
CLRG UNTIL AFTN HRS. THE CLEARING WL BE SHORT LIVED HOWEVER AS CI/AC
FM STRENGTHENING SYS OVR THE SRN PLAINS WL QUICKLY OVERSPREAD THE
AREA FM THE SW.
STILL FEEL THAT PCPN WL NOT START DURING THE NIGHT TNGT AS LLVLS
REMAIN VRY DRY AND MAIN BRUNT OF THE SYS DOESN'T APCH UNTIL THE
DAYTIME HRS SUN. STG SFC RIDGE QUICKLY BUILDS TNGT HELPING TO SET
THE STAGE FOR THE BIGGER EVENT LATE IN THE WKND.
MANNING
&&
.LONG TERM...
INDICATIONS POINTING TWD PSBLTY OF A MORE SIG SNWFL EVENT SUN-SUN
NGT. THUS...WATCHES WL BE POSTED W/ THIS PKG. THX TO ALL SRRNDG
OFFICES FOR COLLAB. ETA PROVIDING A MORE POTENT SOLN THAN GFS...HWVR
ITS HISTORY W/ WINTER WX THIS SEASON HAS BEEN BETTER. THUS...ITS
SOLN IS PREFERRED. HV BACKED OFF ON ITS QPF BY ABT 25 PCT DUE TO A
WET BIAS.
STRNG AREA OF UVV IN ISEN LIFT/OVRRUNNING OVRSPREADS AREA BTWN
15-21Z. AREA AIDED BY STRONG FGEN FORCING AND LFQ OF UPR JET. IN
ADDITION...MAX UVV COINCIDES W/ AREA OF FVRBL SNW GROWTH. THUS...
SHUD BE NO PROBLEM IN MSTNG COLUMN AND CRANKING OUT PCPN. PTYPE ALSO
RATHER STRAIGHTFWD AT FIRST SINCE EVERYONE WL BE BLO FRZG THRUOUT...
AND COMBO OF EVAP COOLING AND NELY FLOW FM SFC RDG WL ENSURE IT
STAYS THAT WAY. EVENTUALLY...ENUF WAA UPSTAIRS WL PRODUCE A WARM
INTRUSION BTWN H8-7. MDL SNDGS SUGGEST THE REMAINDER OF THE ATMOS WL
STAY BLO FRZG THO...WHICH POINTS TWD SLEET. GREATER CHC OF SLEET FOR
CNRTL VA/SRN MD...WHILE AREA ALNG M-D LINE HOLDS ALMOST ALL SNW.
EVERYTHING SHUD WIND DWN AS LO PULLS OFF COAST ELY MON.
BTTM LINE...5 INCH WSW CRITERIA THREATENED PRETTY MUCH EVRYWHERE.
EVEN IF SLEET CUTS DWN ACCUM IN THE S...A MESS STILL LIKELY.
DIDNT DO MUCH TO GRIDS POST STORM. UPR TROF GOES NEG TILT ARND
GRTLKS KEEPING UNSETTLED CONDS THERE. TRAJ NOT GOOD FOR LK EFFECT
LWX CWFA THO. POPS BLO MNTNBL.
HTS
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...WINTER STORM WATCH SUN/SUN NIGHT DCZ001.
MD...WINTER STORM WATCH SUN/SUN NIGHT MDZ002>007...MDZ009>011...MDZ013
...MDZ014...MDZ016>018.
VA...WINTER STORM WATCH SUN/SUN NIGHT VAZ021...VAZ025>031...VAZ036>042
...VAZ050>057.
FLOOD WATCH VAZ025.
WV...WINTER STORM WATCH SUN/SUN NIGHT WVZ048>055.
MARINE...NONE.
$$
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