Sun/Mon Snow Predictions

[Anonymous]

what does everyone think for this weekend and mondays storm, 6-12 seems to be the general thinking for my area of Northern Ocean County in NJ. TWC says pm snow on sunday, lt snow on monday and snow/wind on tuesday, so what do you think...

[RU848789]

I would love to get that much, but I'm worried about the warm air coming in off the ocean and turning it to rain after awhile, especially near the coast (and you're in worse shape than me on that count and in turn the folks in NW Jersey are in much better shape than I), much like this past weekend - we ended up with ~3" of heavy wet snow, which held onto about 0.25" of rain and would have been 6"+ if it hadn't changed over. The NWS and others seem to be hedging their bets on this changeover, as it's still too far out to predict well. Although if there is no changeover, it certainly seems like it will be wet enough for 6" plus of snow.

[Anonymous]

it's not changing over. The ocean temps are 32-34 and any changeover would be limited to south Jersey and along the southern coast. Us here is the central coast will not see a changeover. so hence 6-12

[Serenidad]

So whats the total for Sussex county NJ? Are we seeing 2-5 as predicted? Or 6-12?

[Colin]

I'm thinking 4-7" for you 1evans.

[verycoolnin]

http://www.geocities.com/verycoolnin/

[TBird]

Due west of Washington D.C. about 50 miles or so?

All geared up for the snow out in Fauquier County! My doggie is gonna be happy!

[Colin]

I'm thinking 4-7" for you also TBird.....

[pawlee]

(sent just this evening by our swop coordinator. this is for central IL.)

Here is the latest Weekly Hazards Assessment from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) vaild from Friday, January 23rd through Tuesday, February 3rd: http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/expert ... reats.html After several weeks of relatively tranquil weather dominated by a general northwesterly upper flow regime, a much more active weather pattern will set up across the U.S. for the next week or two. This pattern will feature an invasion of very cold air into the Plains States (rather than the Northeast as in past weeks), as well as several southern stream storm systems that could bring wintery precipitation to the Midwest.
The first southern stream system will affect central and southeast Illinois this coming weekend. We've been watching this weekend's storm evolve for several days. With each new computer model run, the storm's arrival continues to get delayed and the atmospheric temperature profile continues to get colder. At this time, it appears central Illinois is in line for a major winter storm.
An area of low pressure will develop and rapidly intensify across the Texas panhandle on Saturday, then begin tracking toward the Ohio Valley Saturday night. Precipitation will spread from southwest to northeast across the region after midnight Saturday...with all locations seeing precipitation by Sunday morning. Here is what we expect to happen by Sunday evening:
Along and south of I-70: mainly freezing rain with significant ice accumulations likely.

Between I-72 and I-70: mixture of freezing rain, sleet, and snow, with snow accumulations possible

North of I-72: mainly snow, with 2 to 4 inches possible

North of I-74: lighter snow