Last call map.

Guest · #1 Postby **Guest** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:27 pm

This is it folks.

Lowered the amounts as you can see to 6 - 10. Someone may get a foot. Shouldnt be many though.

And i remind everyone this is for the first system and has nothing to do with the second.

Be carefull and be ready for the ice everyone in those shaded areas. Its looking bad. Hopefully your all stocked up on goods.

therock1811 · #2 Postby **therock1811** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:30 pm

I'm ready! Got groceries this AM...however am not sure I want this...snow yes, ice no.

Miss Mary · #3 Postby **Miss Mary** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:35 pm

I'm ready too! Hit my local Kroger's around 7 tonight. It was very crowded, most customers were picking up 25 or so items each - milk, bread, soda pop, snacks. When we hear a snowstorm is coming, we take notice in Cincinnati. KOW, agree it looks bad. Think my family will be home tomorrow. One local Met said we may be able to get out to a very early church service but by 9 a.m. the ice should start. I don't think I want to take any chances. Ice is ice - it's dangerous.

Good luck everyone! And oh, we rarely have wood burning fires so we're stocked there, whew, in case the power goes out.

Mary

thstorm87 · #4 Postby **thstorm87** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:35 pm

would be very nice, but I dont think we will see 6-10 out of both systems together let alone the first system. More like 2-4 maybe 3-5 tops from first system.

Guest · #5 Postby **Guest** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:37 pm

thstorm87 wrote:would be very nice, but I dont think we will see 6-10 out of both systems together let alone the first system. More like 2-4 maybe 3-5 tops from first system.

And where are you located????

thstorm87 · #6 Postby **thstorm87** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:40 pm

northeast philly.

Guest · #7 Postby **Guest** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:43 pm

Ahhh ok. You should atleast get 6 inches from it.

Chris the Weather Man · #8 Postby **Chris the Weather Man** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:43 pm

Looks Good King!

sertorius · #9 Postby **sertorius** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:54 pm

King of Weather:

Awsome map-I know you focus more on the mid west and north east, but I was just wondering if you thought Lawrence and Kansas City are still under the gun for a major ice storm tonight and tomorrow?? Sorry to bother you-it seems to me based on radars and satalite images that the precip is moving more directly east and that the storm may head east into southern Texas before it heads North-thus sparing this area any major precip. Our temps are below freezing so anything that falls will freeze on contact. I also base this idea on the fact that 1. we are still in a major drought and we have only had two major precip. events in one week over the past 2 and half years and 2. these storms seem to do that alot the past 5-10 years. No real met. reasons for this, just some crazy ideas. Thanks for taking the time to answer. After saying all this, I realize we are still in an Ice Storm warning through 4 p.m. tomorrow.

verycoolnin · #10 Postby **verycoolnin** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 10:56 pm

Alright my last call map....

http://www.geocities.com/verycoolnin/

thstorm87 · #11 Postby **thstorm87** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:07 pm

well I really hope your right king, I would be pretty happy with 6 or more. Now that is from the first storm, what do you think we will get from second storm?

#12 Postby **FLguy** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:07 pm

thstorm87 wrote:well I really hope your right king, I would be pretty happy with 6 or more. Now that is from the first storm, what do you think we will get from second storm?

the second storm will effect everybody left out by the first one. let me get a few more model runs under my belt and i should be able to come up with some totals for the second event tomorrow afternoon.

thstorm87 · #13 Postby **thstorm87** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:16 pm

dt just said the second event will be all rain for 95 cities. I hope he is wrong.

BL03 · #14 Postby **BL03** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:16 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_slp_078l.gif HELLO!!!!!!!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_p24_078l.gif Nice!

#15 Postby **FLguy** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:23 pm

thstorm87 wrote:dt just said the second event will be all rain for 95 cities. I hope he is wrong.

if the high gets out of the way fast enough, and strong warm advection warms the mid levels above freezing it is possible. but the ETA may be over-aggressive with the warm advection.

Stormsfury · #16 Postby **Stormsfury** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:25 pm

At the same time, it's locking down the wedge even with the second wave of QPF's in the Carolinas ...

SF

#17 Postby **FLguy** » Sat Jan 24, 2004 11:32 pm

Stormsfury wrote:At the same time, it's locking down the wedge even with the second wave of QPF's in the Carolinas ...

SF

yep, nice catch. and the GFS rips PA/NJ

the big cities are a different story but inland sections such as MDT, UNV, AVP, ABE, MSV, BGM, ALB and others could see decent accumualtions.

BL03 · #18 Postby **BL03** » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:24 am

What about big cites? I see NYC mostly snow! Further south there could be mixes and even eastern LI there would be mixes but NYC looks ok IMO.

2001kx · #19 Postby **2001kx** » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:27 am

why isnt anyone calling for amounts like that?that would be 10-15 inches if all snow for me.is that map overdone or is it over looked?

#20 Postby **FLguy** » Sun Jan 25, 2004 12:27 am

BL03 wrote:What about big cites? I see NYC mostly snow! Further south there could be mixes and even eastern LI there would be mixes but NYC looks ok IMO.

the big cities are a tossup at this time. at least IMO. and additional heavy accumulations appear to ber out of the question for DCA and BWI. at least per the GFS. PHL and NYC are a tossup and BOX looks to be in good.

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