Starting to get a bit squirmy

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
WEATHER53
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 470
Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 10:43 pm
Location: College Park, MD

Starting to get a bit squirmy

#1 Postby WEATHER53 » Sun Jan 25, 2004 7:37 pm

Radar looks good but the cloud tops on satellite are clearly more enhanced to the west and northwest and south and sotheast of DC/central Md area with no bead drawn toward us.
0 likes   
Top
neo gravitas
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 19
Joined: Fri Dec 05, 2003 12:04 pm

#2 Postby neo gravitas » Sun Jan 25, 2004 7:51 pm

Yep. I'm getting a little concerned about totals for DC. The case for decent totals:

Well Quantico is reporting three inches in under two hours. That seems suspect to me, but it looks like Staunton and other nearby areas have sene an inch/hr. Looks like a couple of areas with good dynamics in wva heading east, which could be real interesting if it holds up. Bitter cold and high ratios...

The case against:

Back edge of precip is getting close, already approaching ROA and things are just gettin' started. The delay looks like a delay only in onset, not termination.

I had predicted 5.4, I'm thinking more like 4 now...

But hey, it is finally snowing downtown, albeit uber-light....
0 likes   
Top
rainstorm

#3 Postby rainstorm » Sun Jan 25, 2004 7:59 pm

hi
0 likes   
Top
arlwx
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 294
Joined: Fri Dec 05, 2003 5:38 am

#4 Postby arlwx » Sun Jan 25, 2004 8:06 pm

And it is finally giving a few flakes at 7:50 pm in Arlington VA.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
FLguy
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 799
Joined: Mon Dec 29, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Daytona Beach FL
Contact:
Contact FLguy

Re: Starting to get a bit squirmy

#5 Postby FLguy » Sun Jan 25, 2004 8:21 pm

WEATHER53 wrote:Radar looks good but the cloud tops on satellite are clearly more enhanced to the west and northwest and south and sotheast of DC/central Md area with no bead drawn toward us.


the airmass is so dry over most of MD im surprized anything is hitting the ground. the leading edge of whats on radar isnt hitting the grount and will not until the column saturates.

this is very evident on the 22z sounding at Baltimore:

Image

notice the spread between the actual temperate and the dewpoint throughout most of the column.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

Re: Starting to get a bit squirmy

#6 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Jan 25, 2004 8:43 pm

FLguy wrote:
WEATHER53 wrote:Radar looks good but the cloud tops on satellite are clearly more enhanced to the west and northwest and south and sotheast of DC/central Md area with no bead drawn toward us.


the airmass is so dry over most of MD im surprized anything is hitting the ground. the leading edge of whats on radar isnt hitting the grount and will not until the column saturates.

this is very evident on the 22z sounding at Baltimore:

Image

notice the spread between the actual temperate and the dewpoint throughout most of the column.


Image - THAT'S some serious WEDGING!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 11 guests