Mt. Holly AFD

[Eddie]

Watches Out This Afternoon?

000
FXUS61 KPHI 261442 AAA
AFDPHI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
945 AM EST MON JAN 26 2004

DROPPING WRNGS ACRS THE SRN ZONES AS STEADY PCPN HAS MOVD OFF. WITH
THREAT OF LGT FRZG PCPN...KEEPING ADVYS UP ALL ZONES FOR NOW. XPC
WARMUP IN THE SERN ZONES TNGT INTO TUE.

QN NOW IS HOW MUCH OF WHAT TYPE(S) OF PCPN WL THE NXT WAVE BRING TUE
AFTN AND NGT. 06Z PROGS SHOWED PSBL SGFNT SNW AND/OR ICE ACCUMNS FOR
MUCH OF THE FCST AREA. WAITING TO SEE 12Z GUIDANCE SUITE BFR ISSUING
ANY WATCHES.

OTRW...NOT MUCH CHG TO EXISTING FCST.

ZONES AND UPDATED WSW SHOULD BE READY BY 10 AM...WITH PROBABLY
ANOTHER UPDATE IN A FEW HRS FOR WATCH.

NO CHGS ON MARINE FOR NOW.

KRAUS

[Heady Guy]

Looks like they are not sold yet.

[Eddie]

12z eta, Watches Flyin!!

[JCT777]

Gotta believe there will be a lot of watches and warnings posted by late this afternoon, even if the NWS only believes that half of the ETA's QPF will be realized.

[jdt]

12z eta, Watches Flyin!!

As usual 12z eta qpf not necessarily over done but likely over done. Still take the 2-2.5" area take half and you are still looking at a solid 10-15" were all or mostly snow falls. Could the eta qpf be right? Yes but I'd like to see more model support for it first before buying into a widespread 18-24" snow fall for interior locations.