18Z ETA Thread

dg13x · #1 Postby **dg13x** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 2:56 pm

Through 24.....storm is 4mb weaker off coast and looks more disorganized w/ less precip. Any thoughts so far?

Heady Guy · #2 Postby **Heady Guy** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 2:56 pm

ETA always is high on precip

Anonymous · #3 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 2:57 pm

I think I'll take the 12z ETA instead

Anonymous · #4 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 2:59 pm

Looks interesting at 30hrs... has a 1000mb low over the Delmarva with the 0C line intruding west of the I-95 corridor, so bad for you PHL-NYC folks, but good for me around IAD since this would appear to be a good 3-4 inches of snow.

R0bb0871 · #5 Postby **R0bb0871** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 3:34 pm

I heard it's warmer too, is it?

Heady Guy · #6 Postby **Heady Guy** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 3:35 pm

Bad run for the PHL area & south. Looks like what DT was saying about the GFS run.

Colin · #7 Postby **Colin** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 3:41 pm

Bad run for areas up to NYC...

njbeachwx · #8 Postby **njbeachwx** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 3:51 pm

Colin wrote:Bad run for areas up to NYC...

Huh? at 36hours I am getting bombarded

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _036.shtml :oops:

njbeachwx · #9 Postby **njbeachwx** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 3:52 pm

at at 42 CON is getting mobbed
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _042.shtml

njbeachwx · #10 Postby **njbeachwx** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 3:53 pm

did i forge to mention all the snow @ 18?

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _018.shtml

njbeachwx · #11 Postby **njbeachwx** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 3:54 pm

Looks nice at 12 too
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _018.shtml

njbeachwx · #12 Postby **njbeachwx** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 3:55 pm

I THINK IT LOOOKS GREAT!@!! SNOW SNOW SNOW I have a little problem @ 32 hours but i can deal with a little ice and rain for 3 hours...

Anonymous · #13 Postby **Anonymous** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 3:57 pm

I don't understand what those models say. Snow for when and where?

CaluWxBill · #14 Postby **CaluWxBill** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 3:58 pm

Current Model analysis from Eta seems quite accurate with representation of current state of CAD on the East side of the apps. the Low is represented slightly stronger in Memphis than Unisys contour plot. However, Eta does a fantastic job in both moving the primary low Northward Toward MI where the current greatest falls in pressure are, and it develops the secondary low toward the Atlantic coast of Florida. This still has the looks of a MAJOR event especially for the Catskills region, just N of LI and CT. this will be one heck of an event.

ctsnowlover · #15 Postby **ctsnowlover** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 4:01 pm

1evans wrote:I don't understand what those models say. Snow for when and where?

Not a good trend for the MA, Heavy snow now further north. Gievn the blocking in place, hard to buy it, lets see what the consistent GFS says.

JCT777 · #16 Postby **JCT777** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 4:03 pm

I am not giving up on this event just yet. And even if the 18z ETA is correct, it still means a few inches of snow for my area.

njbeachwx · #17 Postby **njbeachwx** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 4:03 pm

ctsnowlover wrote:
1evans wrote:I don't understand what those models say. Snow for when and where?

Not a good trend for the MA, Heavy snow now further north. Gievn the blocking in place, hard to buy it, lets see what the consistent GFS says.

Looking at the ETA NJ is golden. :grrr:

CaluWxBill · #18 Postby **CaluWxBill** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 4:07 pm

Alright well this looks pretty good:

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njbeachwx · #19 Postby **njbeachwx** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 4:12 pm

do you have a link to that site?

CaluWxBill · #20 Postby **CaluWxBill** » Mon Jan 26, 2004 4:17 pm

njbeachwx wrote:do you have a link to that site?

No but if you tell me what you want I can produce it.

18Z ETA Thread

18Z ETA Thread

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