Things coming together more folks
Boston area NWS disc.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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Dave C
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 868
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 4:36 pm
- Location: Middleboro, Mass.(midway between Cape Cod and Boston)
Boston area NWS disc.
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Cheesy_Poofs
- Category 1
- Posts: 376
- Joined: Wed Nov 19, 2003 5:54 pm
- Contact:
After a boring week of weather, this storm would nice. 
But LWX points out, a lot of uncertainty with this storm...here is a part of there AFD:
" MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW INCONSISTENCIES WITH THE
MIDWEEK WAVE...SPECIFICALLY WITH THE DETAILS HOW/WHEN THE WAVE
EJECTS OUT OF THE PACIFIC AND BUILDS THE CENTRAL CONUS TROUGH. EACH
MODEL IS SHOWING INCONSISTENCIES WITH EACH OTHER...RUN TO RUN...AND
INTERNALLY (ENSEMBLE MEMBERS). GIVEN THESE INCONSISTENCIES...AM NOT
READY TO FAVOR A PARTICULAR TRACK OR TIMING OF PRECIPITATION.
HOWEVER...FROM THE VARIOUS 00Z RUNS...THE GFS APPEARS TO BE THE
OUTLIER...WITH THE FASTEST SOLUTION AND PHASED FLOW...WHILE OTHER
MODELS ARE SHOWING A SLOWER WAVE WITH SPLIT FLOW. GIVEN THAT THE CDC
DAYS 6-10 EXPERIMENTAL CHARTS ARE SHOWING AN ABOVE NORMAL WEST-EAST
JET ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA (AND THIS JET IS OBSERVED CURRENTLY)...AM
MORE SUPPORTIVE OF THE SLOWER SPLIT FLOW ETA/GFS/UKMET MODELS DURING
THE MIDWEEK."
But LWX points out, a lot of uncertainty with this storm...here is a part of there AFD:
" MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW INCONSISTENCIES WITH THE
MIDWEEK WAVE...SPECIFICALLY WITH THE DETAILS HOW/WHEN THE WAVE
EJECTS OUT OF THE PACIFIC AND BUILDS THE CENTRAL CONUS TROUGH. EACH
MODEL IS SHOWING INCONSISTENCIES WITH EACH OTHER...RUN TO RUN...AND
INTERNALLY (ENSEMBLE MEMBERS). GIVEN THESE INCONSISTENCIES...AM NOT
READY TO FAVOR A PARTICULAR TRACK OR TIMING OF PRECIPITATION.
HOWEVER...FROM THE VARIOUS 00Z RUNS...THE GFS APPEARS TO BE THE
OUTLIER...WITH THE FASTEST SOLUTION AND PHASED FLOW...WHILE OTHER
MODELS ARE SHOWING A SLOWER WAVE WITH SPLIT FLOW. GIVEN THAT THE CDC
DAYS 6-10 EXPERIMENTAL CHARTS ARE SHOWING AN ABOVE NORMAL WEST-EAST
JET ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA (AND THIS JET IS OBSERVED CURRENTLY)...AM
MORE SUPPORTIVE OF THE SLOWER SPLIT FLOW ETA/GFS/UKMET MODELS DURING
THE MIDWEEK."
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