18z ETA at 66 hours ... WHAT?

[Stormsfury]

A small snowstorm on the South Carolina coast? ... Well, well, well ... after this current system builds down, another h5 vort rides across the South, while a strong HIGH to the north sets up for a round of cold air damming ... in fact, the 18z ETA looks very similar to the last two runs of the ECMWF (not including tonight's since it hasn't been released tonight as of yet ...). The meridianal trough is in PRIME location for yes, a Carolina coastal snow event ... maybe, squeezing out a couple of inches, taking the ETA at face value ...

[Bane]

Let's see if this trend holds up.

[Guest]

Now this is a much better solution for you SF. Lets see this hold up. I will have more on this later myself. I need to get back into the swing of things again. LOL.

[Stephanie]

Hope you get something SF!

[rainstorm]

awesome!!

[Anonymous]

Ok this looks very promising ! The next step is to make this materialize !

But there is one thing I don't understand: They (NWS) have us clearing up 2/18 with highs in 50's. But this model above shows a possible frz precip event the same day ? I don't know what to say - I figured Monday night (2/16) we'd see a chance of frz precip since left over moisture is still expected tomorrow night from the first system. They had us all clearing up by midweek, which on the map above, is 2/18 ? Odd ! Well, I'm keeping my fingers crossed that the solution above is right !! I sincerely hope so ! Then again, things may change officially anyway as all the models possibly converge toward the above snow solution. THAT would be great news !