12z GFS/ETA RUNS NOW COMING IN... LETS SEE WHAT THEY SAY NOW

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yoda
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12z GFS/ETA RUNS NOW COMING IN... LETS SEE WHAT THEY SAY NOW

#1 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:14 am

The new 12z runs are now coming in..... lets hope the GFS and/or the ETA brings the storm back west.... because if it keeps it east, I will be very unhappy. :grr: :grr: :grr:

But we shall see... will update with model analysis as soon as it comes in.... :D

(I will use the Force to bring the storm back to the Mid-Atlantic... lol)
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#2 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:16 am

add the NGM model too, even though it goes out to only 48 hrs... it should give us a sense for this storm....
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#3 Postby greg81988 » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:19 am

what site can i find these model runs. the sites i have havent put them out yet.
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HEY GREG!!!

#4 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:22 am

Hey GREG!!!

Its the same website I thought I gave to you a while ago... but here it is again...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/

Hope this helps and lets hope the track goes westward...!!!

May the Force being the storm back! :D :D
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#5 Postby greg81988 » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:24 am

yea i have that one but i dont see where the 12 is coming out yet it still says Feb. 15 not 16. ill just wait.
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#6 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:26 am

That's what I am doing as well.... waiting and praying that the new model runs bring the storm back west.... PLEASE!!!!

I will post AS SOON AS I GET THE RUNS....
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#7 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:29 am

Is it just me, or do the new 12z runs of teh NGM, ETA, and the GFS on this website seem delayed? I mean the RUC is already in....
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#8 Postby greg81988 » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:31 am

no because on teh other sites i go to they havent come in there yet either
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#9 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:31 am

OK... we'll just sit and wait I guess....
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#10 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:35 am

Hey Greg... did you see CPC's winter maps?? Seems a little suspect... but here's the site....

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ww.shtml

Look at the Day 2 Map and also read the WW discussion below... BOTH OF US 6" possible? Hmmmmm...
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#11 Postby greg81988 » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:41 am

if you notice he said anywhere from .25 inches of liquid to 1 inch. if we are on the high end of that we will have a decent snowstorm. i hope so. hey ill write back after the 12z comes out.
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#12 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:42 am

Yes, you are right... we shall see
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#13 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:53 am

12z ETA now coming in..... says 16 Feb on it...
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#14 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 8:54 am

so does the NGM.... but I don't know if the NGM will help us much... 8-)
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#15 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 9:04 am

I'm not very familiar with the NGM model... but it appears to delay it a bit... at 36 hours the low has beginning to develop... and by 48 hrs...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _048.shtml

Any input would be greatly appreciated!
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#16 Postby greg81988 » Mon Feb 16, 2004 9:05 am

usually the NGM is always delayed and either takes the storm too far west or east.
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#17 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Feb 16, 2004 9:06 am

The 12z ETA won't come out (to the public) for another hour ...

SF
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#18 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 9:06 am

Well lets hope its not wrong in taking it west... because even though the NGM only goes out to 48 hrs... it SEEMS to hug the coast and is going N or NNE.... hopefully this trend continues on teh GFS and ETA 8-)
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#19 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 9:07 am

But SF... I already know the ETA out to 12 hrs on this website....

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/

That's what I have been using... and it is updating as we speak... its at 12 hrs. out right now
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#20 Postby yoda » Mon Feb 16, 2004 9:09 am

Its the GFS that I am thinking may be delayd still.... for the NGM and RUC are all in.... SF, what do you think of the new NGM model?
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