A Thought On Next Week

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Anonymous

A Thought On Next Week

#1 Postby Anonymous » Fri Feb 20, 2004 3:22 pm

The good news is there is the potential for a major storm next week.

That being said...

Right now, IMHO...it appears the H-pressure is too far to the West, which would prevent much CAD. Also, the system may pass to far to the South like the last one, and be more of a rain maker for the Carolina's.

That being said... things could still change for the better :D
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Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Fri Feb 20, 2004 3:38 pm

Great news...I was promoted to a snow flurry :D
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Lindaloo
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#3 Postby Lindaloo » Fri Feb 20, 2004 3:47 pm

Where are you getting this info BEF? Can you post a link?

BTW... congrats on becoming a flurry. :)
Last edited by Lindaloo on Fri Feb 20, 2004 3:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Fri Feb 20, 2004 3:49 pm

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov
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#5 Postby Lindaloo » Fri Feb 20, 2004 3:51 pm

Oh WOW!! Thank you. :)
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#6 Postby Anonymous » Fri Feb 20, 2004 3:54 pm

Your welcome, have a nice day :D
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Re: A Thought On Next Week

#7 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Feb 20, 2004 7:21 pm

BigEyedFish wrote:The good news is there is the potential for a major storm next week.

That being said...

Right now, IMHO...it appears the H-pressure is too far to the West, which would prevent much CAD. Also, the system may pass to far to the South like the last one, and be more of a rain maker for the Carolina's.

That being said... things could still change for the better :D


Yeah, however, one thing to note is this ... and it's the GFS, which is the WORST MODEL for picking up CAD, and it's already picking up on AG ... this reflects in the changes with the MRF guidance numbers and even forecasts ZR as far south as Columbia, SC and Florence, SC for a time period as thickness schemes plummet ... that's saying something, especially from this far out ...

The EURO tonight has some issues BUT is plausible the rex-block signature with a large Central Canada ridge with the s/w undercutting it to the south (which by the other models would become quite a moisture laden storm ...), which, in turn, keeps the trough positively-tilted and with no chance of full phasing, until it's too late ... another thing, the models are picking up on, which has not been discussed tonight, is the fact that there's another northern stream s/w that falls in behind it across the Carolinas, and could induce additional phasing, and/or pull the system up the coast ...

SF
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#8 Postby NJSnowFreak » Fri Feb 20, 2004 7:33 pm

Sorry couldn't read your post...that lovely pic of Tara Reid kinda distracts me :eek:
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#9 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Feb 20, 2004 8:05 pm

NJSnowFreak wrote:Sorry couldn't read your post...that lovely pic of Tara Reid kinda distracts me :eek:


Ahhhh ... that's why I haven't been posting much lately ... lack of concentration .. on weather, that is...
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Anonymous

#10 Postby Anonymous » Mon Feb 23, 2004 1:08 pm

Well it's looks like another miss for the MA...

Back on Feb. 6th, I thought the chances of a major snow storm did not look good the rest of the winter.

The clock is ticking down on this winter.
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#11 Postby JCT777 » Mon Feb 23, 2004 4:59 pm

BEF - let me be the first to congratulate you on having the right idea - at least through the end of February. I am still hopeful for another snow event in my area in March, but I would not be surprised if you end up being correct.
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ColdFront77

#12 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Feb 23, 2004 5:00 pm

The clock is ticking down for this winter, even sooner for meteorological winter.

There are always those snow events in early spring, even early astronomical spring. :)

Meteorological Winter ends in 151.00 hours
   Astronomical Winter ends in 608.82 hours
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#13 Postby Kelly » Mon Feb 23, 2004 5:07 pm

BigEyedFish wrote:Well it's looks like another miss for the MA...

Back on Feb. 6th, I thought the chances of a major snow storm did not look good the rest of the winter.

The clock is ticking down on this winter.


:roll:
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#14 Postby Chris the Weather Man » Mon Feb 23, 2004 5:42 pm

Or April ( 1982, 1997) 1997, over 2 feet of snow in NW NJ
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