Just out of curiousity...........

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NCGal
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Just out of curiousity...........

#1 Postby NCGal » Mon Feb 23, 2004 12:40 pm

Are there any indications that the late week storm for Raleigh, NC could end up being a MECS???? Also I have heard that the precip will start late Wednesday night and Thursday. Any clues when it will start?? Thanks!!!
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#2 Postby QCWx » Mon Feb 23, 2004 1:09 pm

I think Raleigh may be a bit too far north for this one...If I had to draw a line where the heaviest snows would be right now, I'd guess from Greenville-Spartanburg-Gaffney-York-Monroe-Wadesboro. It could just as easily trend northward though.
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#3 Postby JCT777 » Mon Feb 23, 2004 1:35 pm

You know the storm track is suppressed when Raleigh is too far north for a late February storm.
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So I guess for Raleigh, NC..........

#4 Postby NCGal » Mon Feb 23, 2004 1:47 pm

this upcoming event will just be a rainmaker????? :cry:
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Re: So I guess for Raleigh, NC..........

#5 Postby Weather4Life23 » Mon Feb 23, 2004 1:56 pm

NCGal wrote:this upcoming event will just be a rainmaker????? :cry:
No right now it looks like we may not see anything. By supressed they mean the precip will stay south of us.
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I guess the local mets are just........

#6 Postby NCGal » Mon Feb 23, 2004 2:09 pm

mentioning it incase it changes huh? I sure wish it would snow once more this winter. Thanks.
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#7 Postby Steve H. » Mon Feb 23, 2004 2:48 pm

I wouldn't count this storm out in NC....in fact, I would almost count on it.
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#8 Postby JQ Public » Mon Feb 23, 2004 5:52 pm

Greg Fishel says that if we get precip in the triangle on thursday it WILL be frozen. Almost a guarantee? Well the temps are there will the precip?
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#9 Postby wxbrad » Mon Feb 23, 2004 10:47 pm

Latest ETA paints a deformation zone with tons of snow from GSP-CLT-FAY. Looking at the what could be the perfect set-up fro heavy snows here in the Piedmont.

Looks like a serious of low pressure waves come across SC, with each ones passage colder and colder air comes in. Then on Wednesday night a low takes the ideal track through central and southern SC while a nice 1038mb high feeds cold air south. The high sets up right over the great lakes, again great place for wedging.

Sounding looks isothermal from 950mb and up and nice deformation zone set-up along the I-85 corridor from NE GA to NC. UVV looks off the charts and QPF paints 1” liquid from Wednesday night to Thursday morning.

Then the energy shifts to the NC coast where some nice wrap around moisture could give some snow showers back over SC and NC.

Lot’s of ifs, but this is a nice set-up and pattern for big snows in the Carolinas if it all pans out. Either way quite an active Southern branch for this entire week.



http://weather.unisys.com/eta/60h/eta_4panel_60h.gif
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#10 Postby QCWx » Tue Feb 24, 2004 12:29 am

wxbrad wrote:Latest ETA paints a deformation zone with tons of snow from GSP-CLT-FAY. Looking at the what could be the perfect set-up fro heavy snows here in the Piedmont.

Looks like a serious of low pressure waves come across SC, with each ones passage colder and colder air comes in. Then on Wednesday night a low takes the ideal track through central and southern SC while a nice 1038mb high feeds cold air south. The high sets up right over the great lakes, again great place for wedging.

Sounding looks isothermal from 950mb and up and nice deformation zone set-up along the I-85 corridor from NE GA to NC. UVV looks off the charts and QPF paints 1” liquid from Wednesday night to Thursday morning.

Then the energy shifts to the NC coast where some nice wrap around moisture could give some snow showers back over SC and NC.

Lot’s of ifs, but this is a nice set-up and pattern for big snows in the Carolinas if it all pans out. Either way quite an active Southern branch for this entire week.



http://weather.unisys.com/eta/60h/eta_4panel_60h.gif


Brad, would you cut the QPF charts on the ETA in half? It's printing out absolutely incredible numbers for my locale(55MM). I cannot even begin to imagine that much snow. I cant even wrap my mind around something like that.
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#11 Postby wxbrad » Tue Feb 24, 2004 11:03 am

Looks like the QPF maybe a tad high, but this might be an attempt by the models to account for uplope into the moutians.

Looks like this mornings runs' are backing off a lot on the QPF. Don't like the flip-flop.
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